8. CALCULATING MEASURES OF ERROR FOR
DERIVED ESTIMATES
The U.S. Census Bureau publishes a wide range of American Community Survey (ACS) estimates through the data
products provided in data.census.gov and the ACS Summary File. However, for some applications, data users may
still need to construct custom ACS estimates and their associated margins of error (MOEs). For example, users
may want to aggregate data across geographic areas or population subgroups, or may need to derive proportions,
ratios, and percent change measures that are not provided in published ACS data products.
TIP: Data users can also aggregate data across geographic areas—or across population subgroups—to produce
more reliable estimates in cases where the underlying component areas have estimates with relatively large
standard errors (SEs).
When such derived estimates are generated, the user must calculate the associated MOEs. As described in the
section on “Understanding Error and Determining Statistical Significance,” MOEs are needed to calculate SEs
and coefficients of variation (CVs) and to determine statistical significance. The steps outlined in the sections
below illustrate how to calculate the MOEs for derived counts, proportions, percentages, ratios, and percent
change, which can then be translated into SEs and CVs.
Calculating Measures of Error for Aggregated Count Data
Aggregating Data Across Geographic Areas
For some applications, data users may want to know the number of people with certain characteristics within a
particular geographic region that is not included as a standard geographic area in ACS products. For example,
a user may be interested in the number of never-married females within a tri-county area. The example below
shows how to calculate the MOE, SE, and CV for such a derived estimate.
To calculate the MOE for aggregated count data:
1. Obtain the MOE of each component estimate.
2. Square the MOE of each component estimate.
3. Sum the squared MOEs.
4. Take the square root of the sum of the squared MOEs.
The result is the MOE for the aggregated count. Algebraically, the MOE for the aggregated count is calculated
as:
(1)
The example below shows how to calculate the MOE and SE for the estimated number of never-married females
living in the three Virginia counties/independent cities that border Washington, DC (Fairfax and Arlington coun-
ties, Alexandria City) from the 2015 ACS 1-year estimates.
Table 8.1. Data for Example 1 From Three Virginia Counties/Independent Cities: 2015
Characteristic
Never-married females living in Fairfax County
(Component 1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Never-married females living in Arlington County
(Component 2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Never-married females living in Alexandria City
(Component 3) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Estimate
135,173
43,104
24,842
MOE
±3,860
±2,642
±1,957
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, data.census.gov, Table B12001: “Sex by Marital Status for the Population 15 Years and Over.”
Understanding and Using American Community Survey Data 59
What All Data Users Need to Know 59
U.S. Census BureauThe aggregate estimate is:
Obtain MOEs of the component estimates:
MOE (Fairfax) = ±3,860
MOE (Arlington) = ±2,642
MOE (Alexandria) = ±1,957
Using formula (1), calculate the MOE for the aggregate estimate:
Thus, the derived estimate of the number of never-married females living in the three Virginia counties/indepen-
dent cities that border Washington, DC, is 203,119, and the MOE for the estimate is ±5,070.
The SE of this derived estimate can be calculated from the SEs of the component estimates as follows:
1. Calculate the SE of each component estimate from its MOE using:
SE (Fairfax) = 3,860 / 1.645 = 2,347
SE (Arlington) = 2,642 / 1.645 = 1,606
SE (Alexandria) = 1,957 / 1.645 = 1,190
2. Calculate the SE of the aggregate estimate:
With the three component estimates in this example, this becomes:
To assess the reliability of this derived estimate, users may find it helpful to calculate the CV as follows:
(2)
(3)
(4)
60 Understanding and Using American Community Survey Data
60 What All Data Users Need to Know
U.S. Census Bureau
This CV indicates that the sampling error of this estimate is very small relative to the estimate itself, so the num-
ber of never-married females residing in the Virginia tri-county area bordering Washington, DC, can be consid-
ered a very reliable estimate.
However, users should note that this method for calculating the MOE and SE for aggregated count data is an
approximation, and caution is warranted because this method does not consider the correlation or covariance
between the component estimates. This method may result in an overestimate or underestimate of the derived
estimate’s SE depending on whether the component estimates are highly correlated in either a positive or nega-
tive direction. As a result, the approximated SE may not match the result from a direct calculation of the SE that
does include a measure of covariance, such as the following:
(5)
Data users should also be aware that as the number of estimates involved in a sum or difference increases, the
results of the approximation formula become increasingly different from the SE derived directly from the ACS
microdata. Users are encouraged to work with the fewest number of estimates possible. If there are estimates
involved in a sum that are controlled in the weighting, then the approximate SE can be increasingly different.
Several examples are provided to demonstrate issues associated with approximating the SEs when summing
large numbers of estimates together in the latest ACS Worked Examples for Approximating Margins of Error
document.64
Aggregating Data Across Population Subgroups
For some applications, data users may wish to combine data across population subgroups, especially in ACS
tables where some groups have low counts and large MOEs. Before aggregating categories in a Detailed Table
to create a derived estimate, users should check to make sure there is not a collapsed version of the same table
already available in data.census.gov or the ACS Summary File. The MOEs in the published, collapsed tables will
be more accurate than those users can approximate using the methods described in this section.
The example below illustrates the results from aggregating household income categories from a Detailed Table
in data.census.gov for Loudoun County, Virginia, from the 2015 ACS 1-year estimates. Income categories are
organized into three subgroups for the purpose of this example.
64 U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (ACS), Worked Examples for Approximating Margins of Error, <www.census.gov
/programs-surveys/acs/technical-documentation/code-lists.html>.
Understanding and Using American Community Survey Data 61
What All Data Users Need to Know 61
U.S. Census Bureau Table 8.2. Data for Examp
le 2 From Loudo
un County, Virginia: 2015
Household
Income Category
Less than $10,000 . . . . . . .
$10,000 to $14,999 . . . . . .
$15,000 to $19,999 . . . . . .
$20,000 to $24,999 . . . . .
$25,000 to $29,999 . . . . .
$30,000 to $34,999 . . . . .
$35,000 to $39,999 . . . . .
$40,000 to $44,999 . . . . .
$45,000 to $49,999 . . . . .
$50,000 to $59,999 . . . . .
$60,000 to $74,999 . . . . .
$75,000 to $99,999 . . . . .
$100,000 to $124,999. . . .
$125,000 to $149,999 . . . .
$150,000 to $199,999 . . . .
$200,000 or more . . . . . .
Subgroup #
Estimate
–
–
1
1
2
2
3
3
3
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
2,163
1,178
1,502
1,995
1,756
1,781
2,708
1,981
2,581
6,590
6,861
14,391
14,790
12,735
18,167
29,380
MOE
±812
±504
±743
±722
±685
±631
±1,007
±647
±996
±1,109
±1,288
±1,810
±1,944
±1,341
±1,890
±2,053
SE
494
306
452
439
416
384
612
393
605
674
783
1,100
1,182
815
1,149
1,248
CV
22.8
26.0
30.1
22.0
23.7
21.5
22.6
19.9
23.5
10.2
11.4
7.6
8.0
6.4
6.3
4.2
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, data.census.gov, Table B19001: “Household Income in the Past 12 Months (In 2015 Inflation-Adjusted Dollars).”
After calculating the SEs and CVs shown in Table 8.2, a data user might want to combine some of the household
income categories in the lower end of the income distribution to reduce the CVs and create more reliable esti-
mates. For example, the income categories in Subgroup 1 ($15,000 to $19,999 and $20,000 to $24,999) could be
combined to form the first new subgroup, the two in Subgroup 2 ($25,000 to $29,999 and $30,000 to $34,999)
to form a second new subgroup, and the three in Subgroup 3 ($35,000 to $39,999, $40,000 to $44,999, and
$45,000 to $49,999) to form a third new subgroup. Following the same steps used to combine data across three
geographic areas in Example 1, derived estimates and MOEs for the three new subgroups could be calculated as
follows:
1. Aggregate counts to form new subgroup estimates:
• Subgroup 1 ($15,000 to $24,999) = 1,502 + 1,995 = 3,497
• Subgroup 2 ($25,000 to $34,999) = 1,756 + 1,781 = 3,537
• Subgroup 3 ($35,000 to $49,999) = 2,708 + 1,981 + 2,581 = 7,270
2. Using formula (1), calculate MOEs for each new subgroup estimate:
2
MOE (Subgroup 1) = ±√(743)
MOE (Subgroup 2) = ±√(685)
= ±√1,073,333 = ±1,036
2
+ (722)
MOE (Subgroup 1) = ±√(743)
2
MOE (Subgroup 1) = ±√(743)
2
2
+ (722)
2
+ (722)
2
+ (631)
MOE (Subgroup 2) = ±√(685)
2
MOE (Subgroup 2) = ±√(685)
MOE (Subgroup 3) = ±√(1,007)
2
+ (647)
MOE (Subgroup 3) = ±√(1,007)
2
MOE (Subgroup 3) = ±√(1,007)
= ±√867,386 = ±931
= ±√1,073,333 = ±1,036
= ±√1,073,333 = ±1,036
2
+ (631)
2
+ (631)
2
= ±√867,386 = ±931
= ±√867,386 = ±931
2
2
2
2
+ (996)
=
+ (996)
+ (647)
2
2
+ (996)
+ (647)
=
=
2
2
62 Understanding and Using American Community Survey Data
±√2,424,674 = ±1,557
62 What All Data Users Need to Know
±√2,424,674 = ±1,557
±√2,424,674 = ±1,557
MOE(Q̂) = 100 ∗ [
MOE(Q̂) = 100 ∗ [
MOE(Q̂) = 100 ∗ [
630,498
1
1
√(5,070)
√(5,070)
√(5,070)
2
− [(0.322)
2
2
∗ (831)
]] = 0.8%
2
− [(0.322)
− [(0.322)
2
∗ (831)
∗ (831)
2
]] = 0.8%
]] = 0.8%
2
2
2
630,498
630,498
2
2
2
MOE(X̂1 + X̂2 + X̂3) = ±√(391)
MOE(X̂1 + X̂2 + X̂3) = ±√(391)
MOE(X̂1 + X̂2 + X̂3) = ±√(391)
2
+ (572)
2
+ (459)
2
= ±√690,746 = ±831
2
+ (572)
+ (572)
2
2
+ (459)
+ (459)
2
= ±√690,746 = ±831
= ±√690,746 = ±831
2
1
1
MOE(P̂) =
√[MOE(X̂)]
1
MOE(P̂) =
MOE(P̂) =
Ŷ
√[MOE(X̂)]
√[MOE(X̂)]
∗ [MOE(Ŷ)]
2
− (P̂
− (P̂
2
∗ [MOE(Ŷ)]
∗ [MOE(Ŷ)]
)
2
2
)
)
2
2
− (P̂
2
1
Ŷ
Ŷ
U.S. Census Bureau
MOE (Subgroup 1) = ±√(743)
+ (722)
= ±√1,073,333 = ±1,036
2
2
MOE (Subgroup 2) = ±√(685)
2
2
+ (631)
= ±√867,386 = ±931
MOE (Subgroup 3) = ±√(1,007)
2
+ (647)
2
+ (996)
2
=
3. Calculate the SE of each new subgroup estimate using formula (2):
±√2,424,674 = ±1,557
• SE (Subgroup 1) = 1,036 / 1.645 = 630
• SE (Subgroup 2) = 931 / 1.645 = 566
• SE (Subgroup 3) = 1,557 / 1.645 = 947
MOE(Q̂) = 100 ∗ [
1
630,498
4. Using formula (4), calculate the CV for each new subgroup estimate:
√(5,070)
2
− [(0.322)
2
2
∗ (831)
]] = 0.8%
• CV (Subgroup 1) = (630 / 3,497) * 100 = (0.180) * 100 = 18.0 percent
MOE(X̂1 + X̂2 + X̂3) = ±√(391)
• CV (Subgroup 2) = (566 / 3,537) * 100 = (0.160) * 100 = 16.0 percent
• CV (Subgroup 3) = (947 / 7,270) * 100 = (0.130) * 100 = 13.0 percent
2
+ (459)
+ (572)
2
2
2
2
2
= ±√690,746 = ±831
MOE(P̂) =
√[MOE(X̂)]
− (P̂
∗ [MOE(Ŷ)]
)
Aggregating across income categories increases the reliability of the new subgroup estimates relative to the
original component estimates. For example, the CV for the $15,000 to $19,999 category is 30 percent. When
this category is combined with the $20,000 to $24,999 category, the CV for the derived estimate for the new
Subgroup 1 drops to 18 percent—lower than the original CV for this category by itself. Similarly, the CVs for the
component estimates of Subgroup 3 range from 20 percent to 24 percent, while the CV for the derived estimate
for Subgroup 3 ($35,000 to $49,999) is only 13 percent.
1
Ŷ
Data.census.gov includes a collapsed income distribution within Demographic Profile DP03 that makes it possi-
ble to assess the difference in results from the approximation method illustrated above versus a direct estimation
method that accounts for covariance between the component estimates of the subgroups. The relevant portion
of this data.census.gov table, from the 2015 ACS 1-year estimates, is shown in Table 8.3 below.
Table 8.3. Data From Demographic Profile DP03 for Loudoun County, Virginia: 2015
Household
income category
$15,000 to $24,999 . . . .
$25,000 to $34,999 . . . .
$35,000 to $49,999 . . . .
Subgroup #
Estimate
MOE
1
2
3
3,497
3,537
7,270
±1,037
±973
±1,554
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, data.census.gov, Table DP03: “Selected Economic Characteristics.”
SE
630
591
945
CV
18.0
16.7
13.0
While the MOEs, SEs, and CVs for new Subgroup 1 and Subgroup 3 are almost identical to those derived from
the approximation method, this is not the case for new Subgroup 2. The user-derived MOE is ±931 compared
with the published MOE of ±973, and the derived CV is only 16.0 percent compared with a CV of 16.7 percent
based on the published MOE for Subgroup 2. The approximation method slightly underestimates the MOE and
SE for Subgroup 2 because it does not account for some covariance between the two component estimates.
Although the differences between the user-derived and published MOE’s are small in this example, they can vary
substantially in other cases, particularly for linear combinations of multiple estimates. Examples illustrating this
problem are provided in the ACS Worked Examples for Approximating Margins of Error document (see section
on “Issues with Approximating the Standard Error of Linear Combinations of Multiple Estimates”).65
Calculating Measures of Error for User-Derived Proportions and Percentages
When data users create derived estimates for aggregated count data, they are often interested in calculating
additional measures such as proportions and percentages. For example, the user who calculated the number of
never-married females in the tri-county area in northern Virginia might also want to know what proportion of all
females in this region have never been married. With proportions, the numerator is a subset of the denomina-
tor. In this case, the number of never-married females is a subset of all females. This derived proportion would
65 U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (ACS), Worked Examples for Approximating Margins of Error, <www.census.gov
/programs-surveys/acs/technical-documentation/code-lists.html>.
Understanding and Using American Community Survey Data 63
What All Data Users Need to Know 63
U.S. Census Bureau
be calculated as the number of never-married females aged 15 and older divided by the total number of females
aged 15 and older. This proportion could also be converted to a percentage by multiplying by 100. The 2015
ACS 1-year estimates of the total number of females aged 15 and older in Fairfax County, Arlington County, and
Alexandria City and their respective MOEs are shown in Table 8.4.
Table 8.4. Data for Example 3 From Three Virginia Counties/Independent Cities: 2015
Characteristic
Total females aged 15 and older living in
Fairfax County (Component 1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Total females aged 15 and older living in
Arlington County (Component 2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Total females aged 15 and older living in
Alexandria City (Component 3) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
MOE (Subgroup 1) = ±√(743)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, data.census.gov, Table B12001: “Sex b
2
Estimate
466,037
97,360
67,101
MOE
±391
±572
±459
+ (722)
= ±√1,073,333 = ±1,036
y Marital Status for the Population 15 Years and Over.”
2
2
2
MOE (Subgroup 2) = ±√(685)
2
+ (631)
2
= ±√867,386 = ±931
Using the data for never-married females from Example 1 in this section with the data in Table 8.4 yields the
+ (722)
following:
MOE (Subgroup 1) = ±√(743)
= ±√1,073,333 = ±1,036
2
2
2
MOE (Subgroup 2) = ±√(685)
MOE (Subgroup 3) = ±√(1,007)
2
+ (631)
Proportion = (Never-married females / Total females)
±√2,424,674 = ±1,557
2
(203,119 / (466,037 + 97,360 + 67,101)) = (203,119 / 630,498) = 0.322
+ (647)
=
= ±√867,386 = ±931
+ (996)
2
2
2
MOE (Subgroup 3) = ±√(1,007)
+ (647)
+ (996)
=
To calculate the MOE of this proportion, we need the MOEs of the numerator (203,119) and the denominator
(630,498). We already calculated the MOE of the number of never-married females in Example 1 in this section
as ±5,070. Using formula (1), the MOE of the denominator is calculated as:
− [(0.322)
±√2,424,674 = ±1,557
MOE(Q̂) = 100 ∗ [
]] = 0.8%
√(5,070)
∗ (831)
2
2
2
1
630,498
MOE(Q̂) = 100 ∗ [
MOE(X̂1 + X̂2 + X̂3) = ±√(391)
1
630,498
2
√(5,070)
2
+ (572)
2
− [(0.322)
]] = 0.8%
, then the MOE of this proportion is approximated as:
= ±√690,746 = ±831
+ (459)
∗ (831)
2
2
2
If we define the proportion as
1
MOE(X̂1 + X̂2 + X̂3) = ±√(391)
Ŷ
MOE(P̂) =
2
2
√[MOE(X̂)]
+ (572)
2
2
2
− (P̂
+ (459)
2
2
= ±√690,746 = ±831
)
2
∗ [MOE(Ŷ)]
2
+ (722)
2
− (P̂
However, the Census Bureau provides ACS estimates as percentages rather than proportions in data.census.gov.
+ (631)
For this example, the proportion of never-married females (0.322) can be converted to the percentage of never-
married females (32.2%) by multiplying by 100. If we define this percentage as
MOE (Subgroup 1) = ±√(743)
√[MOE(X̂)]
MOE (Subgroup 2) = ±√(685)
= ±√1,073,333 = ±1,036
)
= ±√867,386 = ±931
∗ [MOE(Ŷ)]
MOE(P̂) =
1
Ŷ
2
2
2
MOE (Subgroup 3) = ±√(1,007)
.
+ (647)
2
2
then the
2
=
+ (996)
(6)
Substituting the estimates for the numerator and denominator, and their respective MOEs in formula (6), and
±√2,424,674 = ±1,557
multiplying by 100 yields:
MOE(Q̂) = 100 ∗ [
1
630,498
2
2
2
√(5,070)
− [(0.322)
∗ (831)
]] = 0.8%
MOE(X̂1 + X̂2 + X̂3) = ±√(391)
Users should note that if the value under the square root is negative, then substitute a “plus” for the “minus” sign
under the square root in formula (6). This modified formula is the same as the formula for the MOE of a ratio,
which will be discussed in the next section.
+ (572)
Using formula (2), the SE of the percentage estimate of never-married females is 0.80 / 1.645 = 0.488. CVs can
also be calculated for derived percentages using formula (4) and are interpreted in the same way as for derived
count estimates. In this example, the CV for the percentage of never-married females is (0.488 / 32.2) * 100 = 1.5
percent, indicating that this is a very reliable estimate with a standard error that is much smaller than the esti-
mated percentage.
= ±√690,746 = ±831
√[MOE(X̂)]
∗ [MOE(Ŷ)]
MOE(P̂) =
+ (459)
− (P̂
1
Ŷ
)
2
2
2
2
2
2
64 Understanding and Using American Community Survey Data
64 What All Data Users Need to Know
U.S. Census Bureau
Calculating Measures of Error for Derived Ratios
Ratios are used to compare two estimates where the numerator is not a subset of the denominator. For example,
the data user in Example 1 may want to compare the number of never-married males in the tri-county area to the
number of never-married females. To do this, the user must first obtain the component estimates and MOEs for
males, and calculate the derived estimate and MOE of the number of never-married males in the tri-county area.
These data, from the 2015 ACS 1-year estimates, are shown in Table 8.5 below.
Table 8.5. Data for Example 4 From Three Virginia Counties/Independent Cities: 2015
Characteristic
Never-married males living in Fairfax County
(Component 1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Never-married males living in Arlington County
(Component 2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Never-married males living in Alexandria City
(Component 3) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Estimate
156,720
44,613
25,507
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, data.census.gov, Table B12001: “Sex by Marital Status for the Population 15 Years and Over.”
MOE
±4,222
±2,819
±2,259
Using the derived estimate and MOE calculated in Example 1 in this section, and the data from Table 8.5, the ratio
would be calculated as:
Ratio = (Never-married males / Never-married females)
Ratio = ((156,720 + 44,613 + 25,507) / 203,119) = (226,840 / 203,119) = 1.117
This means that there were approximately 112 never-married men for every 100 never-married women living in
the three Virginia counties in 2015.
Using formula (1), the MOE of the derived estimate of never-married males is calculated as:
A ratio has a slightly different estimator for the MOE than a proportion. If
never-married males and
as:
= the number of never-married females, then the MOE of this ratio is approximated
, where
= the number of
Substituting the estimates for the numerator and denominator, and their respective MOEs in this formula yields:
(7)
Using formula (2), the SE of the ratio is 0.039 / 1.645 = 0.024. Using formula (4), the CV for the ratio of never-
married males to never-married females is (0.024 / 1.117) * 100 = 2.1 percent, indicating that this is a very reliable
estimate with an SE that is much smaller than the value of the estimated ratio.
Understanding and Using American Community Survey Data 65
What All Data Users Need to Know 65
U.S. Census Bureau
Calculating Measures of Error for Derived Estimates of Percent Change
One of the most important benefits of annual releases of ACS estimates is the ability it provides for data users
to analyze change over time. A frequent application is to calculate the percent change from one time period to
another. For example, users may want to calculate the percent change from a 2009–2013 ACS 5-year estimate to
a 2014–2018 ACS 5-year estimate. Normally, the current estimate is compared with the older estimate.
If the current estimate =
and the earlier estimate =
, then the MOE for percent change is calculated as follows:
(8)
Formula (8) reduces to a ratio, so the ratio formula (7) described in the section above should be used to calcu-
late the MOE. As a caveat, users should be aware that this formula does not take into account the correlation
when calculating a change between two overlapping time periods. To calculate standard errors for overlapping
ACS multiyear estimates see the section on “Understanding Error and Determining Statistical Significance.”
Calculating Measures of Error for the Product of Two Estimates
In some instances, data users may need to derive an estimate by multiplying a published count by a published
percentage. For example, a data user might be interested in the number of 1-unit detached owner-occupied
housing units in a geographic area. In 2015, the number of owner-occupied housing units in the United States
was 74,506,512 with an MOE of 228,238, and the percent of 1-unit detached owner-occupied housing units was
82.4 (0.824) with an MOE of 0.1 percent (0.001).66 So, the number of 1-unit detached owner-occupied housing
units was 74,506,512 * 0.824 = 61,393,366. The formula to calculate the MOE of a product is:
Substituting the estimates and their respective MOEs in formula (9) yields:
(9)
To obtain the lower and upper bounds of the 90 percent confidence interval around 61,393,366, add and subtract
the MOE from 61,393,366. Thus, the 90 percent confidence interval for this estimate is [61,393,366 – 202,289] to
[61,393,366 + 202,289] or 61,191,077 to 61,595,655. Using formula (2), the SE of the product is 202,289 / 1.645 =
122,972. Using formula (4), the coefficient of variation for this derived estimate is (122,972 / 61,393,366) * 100 =
0.2 percent, indicating that the derived estimate is very reliable.
66 U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 1-year estimates in data.census.gov, Table S2504: “Physical Housing Characteristics for Occupied Housing Units.”
66 Understanding and Using American Community Survey Data
66 What All Data Users Need to Know
U.S. Census BureauCalculating Measures of Error Using Variance Replicate Tables
Advanced users may be interested in the Variance Replicate Tables, first released for the 2010–2014 ACS 5-year
data in July 2016.67 These augmented ACS Detailed Tables include sets of 80 replicate estimates, which allow
users to calculate measures of error for derived estimates using the same methods that are used to produce
the published MOEs in data.census.gov. These methods incorporate the covariance between estimates that the
approximation formulas in this document leave out.
The Variance Replicate Tables are available for a subset of the 5-year Detailed Tables for 11 geographic summary
levels, including the nation, states, counties, census tracts, and block groups. These tables will be released on an
annual basis, shortly after the release of the standard 5-year data products.
Variance Replicate Documentation, including lists of tables and summary levels, is available on the Census
Bureau’s Web site.68
67 U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (ACS), Variance Replicate Tables, <www.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/data/variance
-tables.html>.
68 U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (ACS), Variance Replicate Tables Documentation, <www.census.gov/programs-surveys
/acs/technical-documentation/variance-tables.html>.
Understanding and Using American Community Survey Data 67
What All Data Users Need to Know 67
U.S. Census Bureau