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vikranthviki

Causal Decision Agent

by vikranthviki

rd_lasso

Read-only

Estimates causal effects in regression discontinuity designs using LASSO-assisted post-double-selection to control for many covariates and produce robust inference.

Instructions

LASSO-assisted RD via post-double-selection. Assumptions: Conditional expectations of potential outcomes are continuous at the cutoff; Units cannot precisely manipulate the running variable around the cutoff (no sorting); For fuzzy designs: monotonicity of treatment take-up at the cutoff. Pre-conditions: A continuous running/forcing variable with a known cutoff that (sharply or fuzzily) assigns treatment; Enough observations in a neighbourhood of the cutoff to fit a local polynomial. Failure modes: Density of the running variable jumps at the cutoff (manipulation / sorting) -> Run a McCrary / density test (rdplotdensity); if manipulation is present the design is invalid near the cutoff; Estimate swings with the bandwidth -- results are not robust -> Report a bandwidth-sensitivity curve and use a data-driven MSE-optimal bandwidth. Alternatives: sp.rdrobust, sp.rdrandinf, sp.rdbwselect. Typical minimum N: 500.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
cNoRD cutoff.
hNoBandwidth (auto-selected if None).
xYesRunning variable.
yYesOutcome variable.
covsNoCandidate covariates (can be large set).
alphaNoSignificance level.
detailNoPayload depth: 'minimal' (~150 tokens) for sub-step calls where only the point estimate is needed; 'standard' (~1K tokens) for diagnostics + coefficient table; 'agent' (~2K tokens, default) adds violations / next_steps / suggested_functions so the LLM can plan its next call without another round-trip.agent
kernelNoKernel for local linear regression ('triangular', 'uniform', 'epanechnikov').triangular
cv_foldsNoCross-validation folds for LASSO penalty selection.
as_handleNoIf true, cache the fitted result on the server and return result_id + result_uri alongside the JSON payload so a subsequent tools/call can chain without re-running.
data_pathYesAbsolute path or URL to a data file. Supported: .csv / .tsv / .txt (delimited), .parquet / .pq, .feather / .arrow, .xlsx / .xls, .dta (Stata), .json / .jsonl. Schemes: file://, s3://, gs://, https://.
result_idNoOptional handle to a previously-fitted result (returned by an earlier call when as_handle=true). Tools that operate on a fitted object accept this in place of re-supplying data_path + columns.
data_columnsNoOptional column projection. Parquet/Feather/Stata loaders honour this for fast partial reads.
data_sample_nNoOptional uniform random subsample size (seed=0, deterministic) — useful on huge panels.

Output Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No arguments

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. First observedv0.1.0

TDQS

A4.3/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations declare readOnlyHint=true and the description does not contradict this. It adds valuable behavioral context beyond the annotation by listing validity assumptions and failure modes—manipulation/sorting and bandwidth sensitivity—which directly affect how results should be interpreted. It could go further by describing the exact return payload, but the output schema covers that.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is dense but well organized into labeled blocks: assumptions, pre-conditions, failure modes, alternatives, and minimum N. Every section earns its place and the most identifying phrase is front-loaded. An agent can scan it quickly and extract the needed guidance without wading through filler.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a 14-parameter causal-inference tool, the description covers the essential selection and invocation context: assumptions, preconditions, failure modes, remedies, alternatives, and sample-size guidance. Combined with the complete input schema and the presence of an output schema, an agent has enough to decide when to call it and what to expect.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so all 14 parameters are already documented in the input schema. The description adds some contextual framing, such as data-driven MSE-optimal bandwidth and candidate covariates for post-double-selection, but it does not systematically enrich individual parameter meanings. Baseline 3 is appropriate.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The opening phrase specifies exactly what the tool does—LASSO-assisted RD via post-double-selection—and distinguishes it from siblings like rdrobust and rdrandinf by naming the LASSO machinery. The alternatives list reinforces differentiation. Although it lacks a direct verb, the method label is precise and domain-appropriate.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description gives explicit pre-conditions (continuous running variable, known cutoff, enough observations) and assumptions, plus a typical minimum N. Failure modes tell the agent when the design is invalid and what to do, and alternatives are named. However, it does not give a crisp decision rule for when to choose rd_lasso over rdrobust or rdrandinf.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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