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vikranthviki

Causal Decision Agent

by vikranthviki

rd_distribution

Read-only

Estimate distributional treatment effects in sharp or fuzzy regression discontinuity designs, with built-in diagnostics for manipulation and bandwidth sensitivity to guide valid causal conclusions.

Instructions

Distribution-valued sharp RDD. Assumptions: Conditional expectations of potential outcomes are continuous at the cutoff; Units cannot precisely manipulate the running variable around the cutoff (no sorting); For fuzzy designs: monotonicity of treatment take-up at the cutoff. Pre-conditions: A continuous running/forcing variable with a known cutoff that (sharply or fuzzily) assigns treatment; Enough observations in a neighbourhood of the cutoff to fit a local polynomial; running variable x is continuous with support on both sides of c. Failure modes: Density of the running variable jumps at the cutoff (manipulation / sorting) -> Run a McCrary / density test (rdplotdensity); if manipulation is present the design is invalid near the cutoff; Estimate swings with the bandwidth -- results are not robust -> Report a bandwidth-sensitivity curve and use a data-driven MSE-optimal bandwidth; McCrary density test p < 0.05 -> Use donut-hole RD (donut=) or partial-identification bounds. Alternatives: sp.rdrobust, sp.rdrandinf, sp.rdbwselect, sp.rd_honest. Typical minimum N: 500.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
yYesOutcome variable column name or outcome array.
alphaNoSignificance level for confidence intervals and tests.
cutoffNocutoff parameter (float).
detailNoPayload depth: 'minimal' (~150 tokens) for sub-step calls where only the point estimate is needed; 'standard' (~1K tokens) for diagnostics + coefficient table; 'agent' (~2K tokens, default) adds violations / next_steps / suggested_functions so the LLM can plan its next call without another round-trip.agent
kernelNoKernel function used for weighting or smoothing.triangular
runningYesrunning parameter (str).
as_handleNoIf true, cache the fitted result on the server and return result_id + result_uri alongside the JSON payload so a subsequent tools/call can chain without re-running.
bandwidthNoBandwidth used for local smoothing or kernel weighting.
data_pathYesAbsolute path or URL to a data file. Supported: .csv / .tsv / .txt (delimited), .parquet / .pq, .feather / .arrow, .xlsx / .xls, .dta (Stata), .json / .jsonl. Schemes: file://, s3://, gs://, https://.
quantilesNoDefaults to (0.1, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, 0.9).
result_idNoOptional handle to a previously-fitted result (returned by an earlier call when as_handle=true). Tools that operate on a fitted object accept this in place of re-supplying data_path + columns.
data_columnsNoOptional column projection. Parquet/Feather/Stata loaders honour this for fast partial reads.
data_sample_nNoOptional uniform random subsample size (seed=0, deterministic) — useful on huge panels.

Output Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No arguments

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. First observedv0.1.0

TDQS

A3.9/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already mark the tool as read-only, so the description's job is to add context beyond safety. It adds statistical assumptions, manipulation checks, bandwidth-sensitivity guidance, and follow-up alternatives, all of which go well beyond the annotations. There is no contradiction with readOnlyHint.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Longer than average, but it is organized into labeled sections (assumptions, preconditions, failure modes, alternatives, minimum N) and nearly every sentence carries useful information. The opening phrase is terse and front-loaded, with no filler or tautology.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's complexity and the presence of an output schema, the description covers the key statistical context: assumptions, validity preconditions, failure modes, remediation paths, and a sample-size threshold. The main omission is a plain-language statement of what the distribution-valued estimate actually represents and how it should be interpreted.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so a baseline of 3 is appropriate even though the description itself says little about parameter formats. It does reinforce the meaning of cutoff and running variable and the importance of sample size near the cutoff, but it adds no concrete parameter-format guidance beyond the schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose4/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description identifies a specific resource—a sharp regression-discontinuity design—and a distinguishing scope ('distribution-valued') that separates it from average-effect RD tools like rdrobust. However, it is phrased as a noun phrase rather than an explicit verb statement of what the tool computes, and 'distribution-valued' is not unpacked.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description gives explicit preconditions, assumptions, failure modes, and a typical minimum N, plus named alternatives for follow-up actions such as density tests, donut-hole RD, or bounds. It stops short of directly saying 'use rdrobust for average effects, use this for distributional effects,' so the choice among the listed alternatives is mostly implicit.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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