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vikranthviki

Causal Decision Agent

by vikranthviki

nonlinear_icp

Read-only

Discover causal predictors of an outcome from multi-environment data using nonlinear invariant causal prediction.

Instructions

Alias for icp(..., method='nonlinear') -- Heinze-Deml et al. 2018. Assumptions: Causal Markov condition and faithfulness (PC/GES/FCI); Causal sufficiency for PC/GES (no latent confounders); FCI relaxes this; Acyclicity; LiNGAM additionally assumes a linear non-Gaussian model. Pre-conditions: Constraint-/score-based discovery needs i.i.d. observational data with enough samples for reliable conditional-independence tests; Invariance-based discovery (ICP) needs data labelled by environment / intervention. Failure modes: Unstable skeleton / many undirected edges -- faithfulness or sample size is the likely culprit -> Increase the sample, relax the CI-test threshold, or switch to FCI if latent confounders are plausible. Alternatives: sp.pc_algorithm, sp.fci, sp.ges, sp.lingam. Typical minimum N: 500.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
XYesFeature matrix or covariate DataFrame.
yYesOutcome variable column name or outcome array.
alphaNoSignificance level for confidence intervals and tests.
detailNoPayload depth: 'minimal' (~150 tokens) for sub-step calls where only the point estimate is needed; 'standard' (~1K tokens) for diagnostics + coefficient table; 'agent' (~2K tokens, default) adds violations / next_steps / suggested_functions so the LLM can plan its next call without another round-trip.agent
as_handleNoIf true, cache the fitted result on the server and return result_id + result_uri alongside the JSON payload so a subsequent tools/call can chain without re-running.
data_pathNoAbsolute path or URL to a data file. Supported: .csv / .tsv / .txt (delimited), .parquet / .pq, .feather / .arrow, .xlsx / .xls, .dta (Stata), .json / .jsonl. Schemes: file://, s3://, gs://, https://.
result_idNoOptional handle to a previously-fitted result (returned by an earlier call when as_handle=true). Tools that operate on a fitted object accept this in place of re-supplying data_path + columns.
environmentYesenvironment parameter (np.ndarray).
data_columnsNoOptional column projection. Parquet/Feather/Stata loaders honour this for fast partial reads.
data_sample_nNoOptional uniform random subsample size (seed=0, deterministic) — useful on huge panels.

Output Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No arguments

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. First observedv0.1.0

TDQS

A4.3/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare `readOnlyHint: true`, so the safety profile is known. The description adds useful behavioral context: statistical assumptions (Causal Markov, faithfulness, acyclicity, sufficiency), preconditions for ICP, and failure symptoms like 'unstable skeleton / many undirected edges'. It does not describe the exact return payload, but the output schema covers that. This is a solid behavioral picture beyond the structured annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is dense but compact, covering alias identity, assumptions, preconditions, failure modes, alternatives, and minimum sample size in a few sentences. It front-loads the core identity and then structures supporting context logically. It could be slightly more readable with bullet-like separation, but every clause earns its place.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a 10-parameter causal discovery tool, the description covers the essential contextual ground: assumptions, preconditions, failure modes, alternatives, and sample-size guidance. The output schema and full parameter schema handle the mechanical details. Nothing critical is missing for an agent to decide whether to call this tool and how to interpret an unstable result.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3. The description adds meaning beyond the schema by explaining that ICP requires data labelled by environment/intervention, which directly clarifies the `environment` parameter, and by providing 'typical minimum N: 500' for the `X`/sample-size context. It does not individually explain `X` or `y`, but the schema already does.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose4/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description identifies this as an alias for `icp(..., method='nonlinear')`, which clearly points to nonlinear invariant causal prediction, and it lists related sibling methods as alternatives. It does not state the core objective in a standalone verb+resource phrase, but it is unambiguous for an agent familiar with ICP. The distinction from `pc_algorithm`, `fci`, `ges`, and `lingam` is explicit.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description names explicit alternatives (`sp.pc_algorithm`, `sp.fci`, `sp.ges`, `sp.lingam`) and gives decision-relevant context: ICP needs environment/intervention labels, while FCI is recommended if latent confounders are plausible. Failure-mode guidance ('Increase the sample, relax the CI-test threshold, or switch to FCI') tells the agent how to respond to bad results. This is strong when-to-use versus when-not-to-use guidance.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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