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vikranthviki

Causal Decision Agent

by vikranthviki

breakdown_frontier

Read-only

Assess how much violation of an identifying assumption a causal conclusion can survive. Computes a breakdown frontier yielding an interval of treatment effects under weak assumptions.

Instructions

Masten-Poirier (2021) breakdown frontier for qualitative conclusions. Validation: validated evidence tier (known-truth, reference, external-parity, or Monte Carlo artifact). Assumptions: Only weak (set-identifying) assumptions are imposed; the result is an interval, not a point; Lee bounds add monotonicity of selection; Oster's delta adds proportional selection on observed vs. unobserved. Pre-conditions: The data needed for the point-identifying analysis, plus the weakest credible identifying restriction; For Lee bounds: a binary selection/attrition indicator. Failure modes: Bounds are too wide to be informative -> Add a credible auxiliary restriction (monotone treatment response, instrument) to tighten the bounds. Alternatives: sp.oster_delta, sp.lee_bounds, sp.manski_bounds. Typical minimum N: 100.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
seYesStandard error of the estimate.
alphaNoSignificance level for confidence intervals and tests.
detailNoPayload depth: 'minimal' (~150 tokens) for sub-step calls where only the point estimate is needed; 'standard' (~1K tokens) for diagnostics + coefficient table; 'agent' (~2K tokens, default) adds violations / next_steps / suggested_functions so the LLM can plan its next call without another round-trip.agent
n_gridNoGrid resolution for the frontier.
estimateYesPoint estimate of the treatment effect.
as_handleNoIf true, cache the fitted result on the server and return result_id + result_uri alongside the JSON payload so a subsequent tools/call can chain without re-running.
data_pathNoAbsolute path or URL to a data file. Supported: .csv / .tsv / .txt (delimited), .parquet / .pq, .feather / .arrow, .xlsx / .xls, .dta (Stata), .json / .jsonl. Schemes: file://, s3://, gs://, https://.
result_idNoOptional handle to a previously-fitted result (returned by an earlier call when as_handle=true). Tools that operate on a fitted object accept this in place of re-supplying data_path + columns.
assumptionNoLabel for the identifying assumption being relaxed. Currently supports a generic linear violation model applicable to ``'parallel_trends'``, ``'exclusion_restriction'``, or ``'selection_on_observables'``.parallel_trends
data_columnsNoOptional column projection. Parquet/Feather/Stata loaders honour this for fast partial reads.
data_sample_nNoOptional uniform random subsample size (seed=0, deterministic) — useful on huge panels.
max_violationNoMaximum magnitude of the assumption violation to explore.

Output Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No arguments

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. First observedv0.1.0

TDQS

A3.9/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Beyond the readOnlyHint annotation, the description discloses key behavioral traits: the result is an interval, not a point; assumptions are weak; failure modes are described (bounds too wide); and typical minimum N is noted. This gives the agent a clear picture of what the tool returns and when it may be uninformative, without contradicting the annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is well-structured with labeled sections (Validation, Assumptions, Pre-conditions, Failure modes, Alternatives, Typical minimum N) and front-loads the core purpose. Each section provides useful information, but the text is somewhat dense; a few details (e.g., validation tiers) could be trimmed without loss of essential guidance.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With an output schema present and high schema coverage, the description provides sufficient context: purpose, assumptions, pre-conditions, failure modes, alternatives, and minimum sample size. It covers the domain-specific knowledge an agent needs to call the tool correctly, though it does not go into error-handling or output interpretation (covered by schema).

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The input schema has 100% description coverage, so the baseline is 3. The description does not directly map parameters (e.g., assumption, n_grid, detail) to the full schema, but it does provide conceptual context around the identifying assumption and pre-conditions. It adds some semantic value but does not compensate beyond the schema's thorough documentation.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose4/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description names a specific method (Masten-Poirier breakdown frontier) and its purpose (qualitative conclusions), and explicitly lists sibling alternatives (sp.oster_delta, sp.lee_bounds, sp.manski_bounds), making it distinguishable. It does not include an explicit verb like 'computes' or 'calculates', but the tool name and context clearly imply the action.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides clear context by detailing assumptions (weak set-identifying, interval result, Lee/Oster additions), pre-conditions (data for point-identifying analysis, binary selection for Lee bounds), and failure modes (bounds too wide -> add auxiliary restriction). It names alternatives and their distinguishing properties, but does not explicitly state 'use this when X' or 'use alternative Y instead when Z', leaving some inference to the agent.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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