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vikranthviki

Causal Decision Agent

by vikranthviki

focal_cate

Read-only

Estimate conditional average treatment effects from observational data with a doubly-robust cross-fitted estimator, supporting heterogeneous effect analysis.

Instructions

Functional doubly-robust CATE estimator. Validation: validated evidence tier (known-truth, reference, external-parity, or Monte Carlo artifact). Assumptions: Unconfoundedness given the covariates; Overlap / positivity across the covariate space; Nuisance functions are estimated consistently; cross-fitting controls overfitting bias. Pre-conditions: Covariates, a treatment indicator, and an outcome for each unit; Enough data to fit flexible nuisance models with sample-splitting / cross-fitting. Failure modes: CATE estimates are unstable or extrapolate beyond the covariate support -> Restrict to the overlap region, increase data, or use a doubly-robust learner (DR-/R-learner). Alternatives: sp.dml, sp.causal_forest, sp.tmle. Typical minimum N: 500.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
seedNoRandom seed for reproducible stochastic steps.
treatYesTreatment indicator or first-treatment-period column.
detailNoPayload depth: 'minimal' (~150 tokens) for sub-step calls where only the point estimate is needed; 'standard' (~1K tokens) for diagnostics + coefficient table; 'agent' (~2K tokens, default) adds violations / next_steps / suggested_functions so the LLM can plan its next call without another round-trip.agent
as_handleNoIf true, cache the fitted result on the server and return result_id + result_uri alongside the JSON payload so a subsequent tools/call can chain without re-running.
data_pathYesAbsolute path or URL to a data file. Supported: .csv / .tsv / .txt (delimited), .parquet / .pq, .feather / .arrow, .xlsx / .xls, .dta (Stata), .json / .jsonl. Schemes: file://, s3://, gs://, https://.
result_idNoOptional handle to a previously-fitted result (returned by an earlier call when as_handle=true). Tools that operate on a fitted object accept this in place of re-supplying data_path + columns.
test_dataNoDefaults to ``data``.
y_columnsYesOutcome columns; len = number of function points.
covariatesYesCovariate matrix, DataFrame, or column names.
data_columnsNoOptional column projection. Parquet/Feather/Stata loaders honour this for fast partial reads.
data_sample_nNoOptional uniform random subsample size (seed=0, deterministic) — useful on huge panels.

Output Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No arguments

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. First observedv0.1.0

TDQS

A4.7/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Since readOnlyHint=true is already declared, the description adds substantial behavioral context beyond the annotations: unconfoundedness, overlap, consistent nuisance estimation, cross-fitting, failure modes, and a typical minimum N of 500. This is far more than a bare 'estimates CATE' statement and helps the agent anticipate statistical conditions and failure risks.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The first sentence establishes the estimator's purpose, and the remaining content is organized into scannable labeled sections: Validation, Assumptions, Pre-conditions, Failure modes, Alternatives, and Typical minimum N. Every section carries useful information, with no filler or repeated schema content.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a complex statistical tool with 11 parameters and an output schema, the description covers the statistical assumptions, data requirements, failure modes, alternatives, and sample-size guidance. There is no need to describe return values because an output schema is provided, and annotations already convey the read-only safety profile.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3, but the description adds value by framing the required covariates/treatment/outcome in statistical terms and by giving a concrete 'Typical minimum N: 500' guideline. This goes beyond the schema's field-level descriptions and helps an agent judge whether the data are sufficient.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with 'Functional doubly-robust CATE estimator,' which precisely identifies the operation and target quantity without being a tautology. It also sets the tool apart by naming alternative estimators (sp.dml, sp.causal_forest, sp.tmle), so an agent can immediately place it among sibling tools.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description lists explicit alternatives and gives clear preconditions ('Covariates, a treatment indicator, and an outcome for each unit; Enough data to fit flexible nuisance models'). It doesn't provide a detailed decision rule for choosing among the named alternatives, but the assumptions and failure-mode guidance strongly imply when this estimator is appropriate.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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