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vikranthviki

Causal Decision Agent

by vikranthviki

matrix_completion

Read-only

Estimate causal effects from panel data via matrix completion, producing validated verdicts for rollout, hold, or investigate decisions.

Instructions

Matrix-completion causal panel estimator (Athey et al., 2021). Validation: validated evidence tier (known-truth, reference, external-parity, or Monte Carlo artifact).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
dYesd parameter (str).
yYesOutcome variable column name or outcome array.
timeYesTime period column.
unitYesUnit identifier column.
detailNoPayload depth: 'minimal' (~150 tokens) for sub-step calls where only the point estimate is needed; 'standard' (~1K tokens) for diagnostics + coefficient table; 'agent' (~2K tokens, default) adds violations / next_steps / suggested_functions so the LLM can plan its next call without another round-trip.agent
as_handleNoIf true, cache the fitted result on the server and return result_id + result_uri alongside the JSON payload so a subsequent tools/call can chain without re-running.
data_pathYesAbsolute path or URL to a data file. Supported: .csv / .tsv / .txt (delimited), .parquet / .pq, .feather / .arrow, .xlsx / .xls, .dta (Stata), .json / .jsonl. Schemes: file://, s3://, gs://, https://.
result_idNoOptional handle to a previously-fitted result (returned by an earlier call when as_handle=true). Tools that operate on a fitted object accept this in place of re-supplying data_path + columns.
data_columnsNoOptional column projection. Parquet/Feather/Stata loaders honour this for fast partial reads.
data_sample_nNoOptional uniform random subsample size (seed=0, deterministic) — useful on huge panels.

Output Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No arguments

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. First observedv0.1.0

TDQS

C2.9/5.0
Behavior2/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

The annotations already declare readOnlyHint=true and openWorldHint=false, and the description adds no behavioral detail such as how the estimator handles missing counterfactuals, what assumptions it imposes, or what the returned fit represents. The 'validated evidence tier' line is an evaluation meta-statement rather than a disclosure of tool behavior.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is short, front-loaded with the estimator identity, and contains no filler. It loses a point because the lead sentence is a noun phrase rather than an active statement and the validation sentence has uncertain operational value for tool invocation.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness2/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a 10-parameter causal estimator embedded among dozens of panel, DiD, and synthetic-control siblings, the description is too thin: it gives no input expectations, no when-to-use decision rule, and no behavioral assumptions. The rich schema and output schema partly compensate, but the description alone is not enough to confidently select this tool over close alternatives.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so the schema already documents the parameters and the tool description contributes no parameter-level meaning beyond that. The baseline 3 applies; the tautological 'd parameter (str)' is a schema weakness, not something the tool description compensates for.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose4/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The noun phrase 'Matrix-completion causal panel estimator' names the method and the estimation task well enough for an agent to infer that this tool estimates causal effects in panel data using matrix completion. It lacks an explicit active verb and provides no differentiation from near-neighbor siblings such as mc_panel or robust_synth, so it stops short of a top score.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines2/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

No sentence explains when matrix_completion should be preferred or avoided relative to the many sibling panel estimators. The citation and 'Validation' line are not usage guidance, so the agent must infer applicability from the tool name alone.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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