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forecast_zero_shot

Generate zero-shot forecasts for countries with limited data by applying regime-similarity transfer learning. Ideal for countries lacking long event history.

Instructions

Zero-shot forecast for tail / low-data countries that the main XGBoost model cannot reliably score. Uses regime-similarity transfer learning. Best for countries without long event history.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
country_codeYesISO 3166-1 alpha-2 country code
Behavior2/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

No annotations provided; description does not disclose behavioral traits (e.g., idempotency, side effects, rate limits, permissions). Only mentions methodology, which is not behavioral. Minimal transparency beyond purpose.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Two concise, front-loaded sentences with no redundancy. Each sentence adds value: purpose and technique in first, target audience in second.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Adequate for a simple tool with one parameter. Explains what, who, and how. Missing output format description, but acceptable given no output schema and straightforward nature.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100% with clear description of country_code. Description adds no further parameter-level detail; baseline score of 3 applies.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

Clearly states it provides zero-shot forecasts for low-data countries, using regime-similarity transfer learning. Distinguishes from main XGBoost model and other forecast tools via target audience (tail/low-data countries).

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Specifies when to use (for countries without long event history, where main model fails). Does not explicitly name alternatives or state when not to use, but context implies other forecast tools are for high-data scenarios.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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