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forecast_hourly

Get hourly shutdown-risk forecasts for any country. Returns risk curves with finer-than-daily granularity for events like elections or protests.

Instructions

Sub-daily (hourly) shutdown-risk forecast for a country. Returns risk curve at finer-than-daily granularity for the next horizon. Use when daily resolution is too coarse (e.g. election day, protest window).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
country_codeYesISO 3166-1 alpha-2 country code
Behavior3/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

No annotations are provided, so the description carries full burden. It states it returns a risk curve but doesn't reveal the horizon length, data freshness, or limitations. The output type is mentioned but not detailed.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Extremely concise two-sentence description. First sentence states purpose with key attributes; second provides usage guidance. No wasted words.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness3/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Lacks specification of forecast horizon ('next horizon' is vague) and details about the returned risk curve. With no output schema, more context on output format is needed. Adequate but incomplete.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100% with one parameter (country_code) already well-described in the schema. The description adds no further parameter meaning, so baseline of 3 is appropriate.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose4/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly identifies the tool as a sub-daily (hourly) shutdown-risk forecast for a country, distinct from daily forecasts. However, it doesn't explicitly differentiate from sibling forecast tools like forecast_domain or forecast_region, which may also operate at hourly granularity.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly advises use when daily resolution is too coarse, with concrete examples (election day, protest window). It lacks exclusion criteria or alternatives among siblings, but provides a clear use case.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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