PredictionMarketsPicks Quant is an MCP server providing institutional-grade quant tools for prediction markets (Kalshi/Polymarket). It offers 22 tools total (15 free, 7 Pro). Core free tools include: calculate_ev (expected value edge and signals), kelly_size (optimal Kelly stake), bayes_update (Bayesian probability updating), convert_probability (odds conversions), base_rate_gap (market vs historical base rates), combo_edge (parlay grading). Additional free tools (hosted) provide NFL power ratings, win probabilities, and a full 2026 fantasy football draft assistant (draft board, best available, player outlooks, comparisons, sleepers/busts, draft recommendations, ADP gaps). Pro tools (API key required, hosted) include: find_arbitrage (cross-platform arbitrage), market_pulse (US macro health scores), commodity_edge (silver/bitcoin strike edges), scan_mispricings (Polymarket mispricing scanner), nfl_edge (model vs. market on lines/futures), nfl_prop_edge (player prop edges), and edge_alerts (live edge feed).
Provides edge detection and trade signals for Bitcoin price prediction markets on Kalshi, including commodity edge and alert feeds.
Provides analysis of MLB prediction market contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket, including arbitrage detection, model edges, and mispricing scans.
Provides analysis of NBA prediction market contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket, including arbitrage detection, model edges, and mispricing scans.
Provides analysis of NHL prediction market contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket, including arbitrage detection, model edges, and mispricing scans.
A hosted Model Context Protocol server that gives AI agents institutional-grade quant tools for Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets — expected value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, probability conversion, cross-platform arbitrage, live edge signals, NFL model-vs-market edges, and a full 2026 fantasy football draft assistant. 22 tools — 15 free, 7 Pro.
Endpoint (Streamable HTTP): https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp
Registry name: com.predictionmarketspicks/quant (Model Context Protocol registry)
Docs / landing page: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp
Manifest: server.json · also served at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/.well-known/mcp/server.json
Type: Cloud service ☁️ · TypeScript 📇
Watch the 40-second walkthrough — connect the server with one command, then ask in plain English and get quarter-Kelly position sizing from kelly_size and a model-vs-Kalshi edge read from nfl_edge, returned inside the chat.
This repo is the public home and documentation for the hosted server. The server is live — no install, no build. Point any MCP client at the endpoint above.
It also ships a local, self-contained build of the six free calculators (src/) — a stdio MCP server with no network access that runs in any sandbox. See Run the free tier locally. The four Pro tools read live PMP edge engines and are only available on the hosted endpoint.
Related MCP server: SimpleFunctions
The free tier is a set of stateless quant calculators. Pro tools read PredictionMarketsPicks' live edge engines and require an API key.
Tool | Tier | What it does |
| Free | Expected-value edge on a contract from market price + your probability; returns edge % and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read. |
| Free | Optimal Kelly position size (full / half / quarter / eighth) from win probability, price, and bankroll, with a risk rating. |
| Free | Update a prior with one or more pieces of evidence via Bayes' theorem; returns the posterior and the per-step chain. |
| Free | Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds (American odds carry no commas). |
| Free | Compare a market price to the historical base rate for a class of events; returns the gap in points + sample-size quality. |
| Free | Grade a same-game multi-leg combo: EV %, fair vs offered odds, and a negative-correlation-trap flag. Renders as an interactive card in supported hosts. |
| Free | Gridiron Edge Rating (GER) for all 32 NFL teams — a defense-adjusted power rating with offense/defense/special-teams splits. |
| Free | Turn an NFL spread and total into win probability, projected score, cover probability, and over/under probability. |
| Free | The 2026 half-PPR fantasy draft board — every player ranked, blending the projection model with consensus ADP. |
| Free | Best players still on the board given the current pick and who's already gone. |
| Free | One player's 2026 outlook: projected points, floor/ceiling, boom/bust odds, and a SLEEPER / BUST read. |
| Free | Compare 2–4 players side by side — projection, floor/ceiling, ADP, and draft round. |
| Free | The biggest gaps between the model and consensus ADP for 2026. |
| Free | The single best pick right now given your roster and pick number. |
| Free | Players whose Average Draft Position swings most between platforms — consensus vs ESPN, Sleeper, Yahoo. |
| Pro | Cross-platform price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same sports contract (NBA, NHL, MLB, World Cup). |
| Pro | US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime, plus six category scores. |
| Pro | Largest model edge on a Kalshi weekly-silver or twice-daily bitcoin strike, as a trade ticket (side, price, criterion, edge, tier, ¼-Kelly). |
| Pro | Polymarket contracts trading away from the PMP model, with direction, edge in points, and quarter-Kelly sizing. |
| Pro | Where the PMP NFL model disagrees with live Kalshi prices — game lines, win-total futures, MVP, championship. |
| Pro | NFL player-prop edges — model projection vs the Kalshi prop line (passing, rushing, receiving yards). |
| Pro | The edge alerts our models generate on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, and mispricings — as a live feed. |
All tool descriptions and outputs use prediction-market terminology (trader / position / contract / market analysis).
Claude Code
claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcpClaude.ai, ChatGPT, or Cursor — add a custom connector / MCP server with the URL:
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcpThe 15 free tools work with no key. Pro tools require a PredictionMarketsPicks API key — see https://predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp.
The six core free calculators run entirely offline as a stdio MCP server — no key, no network. Useful for air-gapped agents, testing, or sandboxed hosts.
npm install
npm start # stdio MCP server: 6 free tools
npm run smoke # end-to-end self-testOr with Docker:
docker build -t pmp-mcp-quant .
docker run --rm -i pmp-mcp-quantPoint a stdio MCP client at node src/index.js (or the container). The local build ships the six core calculators only; the other 16 tools (draft assistant, NFL models, and the Pro edge engines) read live PMP data and are hosted-only — use the endpoint above.
Built by PredictionMarketsPicks — independent quant tools and edge analysis for Kalshi and Polymarket, published by The 7 Oracles.
MIT — see LICENSE. The hosted service and its live data are operated by PredictionMarketsPicks; this repository covers the server's public interface and documentation.
Unclaimed servers have limited discoverability.
If you are the server author, to access and configure the admin panel.
Read-only MCP server for live Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless odds; Manifold sentiment.
Polymarket MCP — prediction-market data via Gamma + CLOB public APIs.
market-spread MCP — cross-venue prediction-market landscape scanner.
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