PredictionMarketsPicks MCP

Name: PredictionMarketsPicks Quant
Author: predictionmarketspicks

A hosted Model Context Protocol server that gives AI agents institutional-grade quant tools for Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets — expected value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, probability conversion, cross-platform arbitrage, and live edge signals.

Endpoint (Streamable HTTP): https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp
Registry name: com.predictionmarketspicks/quant (Model Context Protocol registry)
Docs / landing page: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp
Manifest: server.json · also served at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/.well-known/mcp/server.json
Type: Cloud service ☁️ · TypeScript 📇

This repo is the public home and documentation for the hosted server. The server is live — no install, no build. Point any MCP client at the endpoint above.

Tools

The free tier is a set of stateless quant calculators. Pro tools read PredictionMarketsPicks' live edge engines and require an API key.

Tool	Tier	What it does
`calculate_ev`	Free	Expected-value edge on a contract from market price + your probability; returns edge % and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.
`kelly_size`	Free	Optimal Kelly position size (full / half / quarter / eighth) from win probability, price, and bankroll, with a risk rating.
`bayes_update`	Free	Update a prior with one or more pieces of evidence via Bayes' theorem; returns the posterior and the per-step chain.
`convert_probability`	Free	Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds (American odds carry no commas).
`base_rate_gap`	Free	Compare a market price to the historical base rate for a class of events; returns the gap in points + sample-size quality.
`combo_edge`	Free	Grade a same-game multi-leg combo: EV %, fair vs offered odds, and a negative-correlation-trap flag.
`find_arbitrage`	Pro	Cross-platform price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same sports contract (NBA, NHL, MLB, World Cup).
`market_pulse`	Pro	US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime, plus six category scores.
`commodity_edge`	Pro	Largest model edge on a Kalshi weekly-silver or twice-daily bitcoin strike, as a trade ticket (side, price, criterion, edge, tier, ¼-Kelly).
`scan_mispricings`	Pro	Polymarket contracts trading away from the PMP model, with direction, edge in points, and quarter-Kelly sizing.

All tool descriptions and outputs use prediction-market terminology (trader / position / contract / market analysis).

Related MCP server: SimpleFunctions

Connect

Claude Code

claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp

Claude.ai, ChatGPT, or Cursor — add a custom connector / MCP server with the URL:

https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp

The free calculators work with no key. Pro tools require a PredictionMarketsPicks API key — see https://predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp.

About

Built by PredictionMarketsPicks — independent quant tools and edge analysis for Kalshi and Polymarket, published by The 7 Oracles.

License

MIT — see LICENSE. The hosted service and its live data are operated by PredictionMarketsPicks; this repository covers the server's public interface and documentation.

This server cannot be installed

A

license - permissive license

-

quality - not tested

C

maintenance

How are these scores calculated?

Maintenance

–Maintainers

–Response time

–Release cycle

–Releases (12mo)

Commit activity

Resources

GitHub Repository

Need Help?

Related Servers

Unclaimed servers have limited discoverability.

Looking for Admin?

If you are the server author, to access and configure the admin panel.

PredictionMarketsPicks Quant