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NBA Markets Desk

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Kalshi NBA props and game lines vs DraftKings, FanDuel and Novig, plus who gains when a star sits.

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Status
Healthy
Uptime
100.0% over the last 24 hours
Last Tested
Transport
Streamable HTTP · MCP 2025-11-25
URL
Repository
predictionmarketspicks/mcp
GitHub Stars
0
Server Listing
PredictionMarketsPicks Quant
ChatGPT
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Claude
–

TDQS

A4.1/5.0

Scored across 7 tools

Disambiguation4/5

Each tool has a clear primary action, but calculate_ev and kelly_size both operate on probability and price for trade evaluation, and find_arbitrage overlaps conceptually with the board tools' cheapest-venue comparisons. The detailed descriptions and example queries mitigate most confusion, leaving the set mostly distinct.

Naming Consistency4/5

All names use snake_case and are readable, with generic financial tools using verb_noun patterns and NBA-specific tools sharing an nba_ prefix. The minor deviations are kelly_size being noun-based and the mixed generic versus NBA-prefixed conventions, but the overall pattern is predictable.

Tool Count5/5

Seven tools is well within the appropriate range and each tool maps to a distinct analytical task in the market desk workflow. The set feels intentionally scoped rather than padded or thin.

Completeness4/5

The core analytical workflow is covered: probability conversion, EV, Kelly sizing, arbitrage detection, NBA game/prop boards, and injury context. However, non-NBA board tools are absent even though find_arbitrage covers NFL/NHL/MLB, and there is no event/market discovery or execution/portfolio layer.

Available Tools

7 tools
calculate_evCalculate EV EdgeA
Read-only
Inspect

Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read, with that venue's fee.

Inputs: venue, marketPrice, novigMarket, venuePrices, +1 more. Returns: signal, edge_pp, sources, edge_pct, +8 more

convert_probabilityConvert Probability / OddsA
Read-only
Inspect

Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".

Inputs: value, format. Returns: sources, tell_user, timestamp, needs_input, +5 more

find_arbitrageFind Sports Arbitrage GapsA
Read-only
Inspect

Use for "where is the arbitrage" and "Kalshi vs Polymarket price gaps". Cross-venue gaps on the same NFL, NBA, NHL or MLB game: Kalshi against Polymarket US (the exchange US traders use, fees included), Polymarket international as a reference. Gap in pp, WATCH/ARB signal, cheaper venue, settlement_match; near misses when nothing clears. Free: the top 3 gaps in full; Pro returns the whole board.

Inputs: minGap.

kelly_sizeKelly Position SizeA
Read-only
Inspect

Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".

Inputs: venue, bankroll, fraction, marketPrice, +2 more. Returns: rating, sources, tell_user, timestamp, +6 more

nba_game_boardNBA Game Line Board (Kalshi vs the books)A
Read-only
Inspect

Use for "Knicks moneyline on Kalshi vs the books" and "cheapest place for the Celtics spread tonight". Kalshi NBA moneyline, spread and total beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same line: the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.

Inputs: game, team, limit, market.

nba_injury_impactNBA Injury Report + Who Benefits (with/without splits)A
Read-only
Inspect

Use for "Embiid's out tonight — who benefits?" and "who's out in the NBA today". Today's NBA absences from the official injury report, and for each absent star the teammates whose minutes, points, rebounds, assists and usage rose in past games without him (last two seasons, sample size on every row), beside today's Kalshi prop prices. Questionable players fork into plays/sits branches until ruled. Historical splits only, no projection.

Inputs: game, stat, team, player.

nba_prop_boardNBA Prop Price Board (Kalshi vs the books)A
Read-only
Inspect

Use for "where is LeBron's points line cheapest tonight". Every Kalshi NBA player-prop strike (points, rebounds, assists, threes) beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same strike: the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.

Inputs: game, team, limit, player, +1 more.

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