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NHL Markets Desk

by com.predictionmarketspicks
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Server Details

NHL on Kalshi: tonight's games and goal scorers vs a model, plus Stanley Cup odds vs Polymarket.

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Status
Healthy
Uptime
100.0% over the last 24 hours
Last Tested
Transport
Streamable HTTP · MCP 2025-11-25
URL
Repository
predictionmarketspicks/mcp
GitHub Stars
0
Server Listing
PredictionMarketsPicks Quant
ChatGPT
–
Claude
–

TDQS

A4.1/5.0

Scored across 6 tools

Disambiguation4/5

Each tool has a reasonably distinct role: EV calculation, unit conversion, arbitrage scanning, Kelly sizing, NHL picks, and track record. The main risk is overlap between calculate_ev (single-contract edge) and find_arbitrage (cross-venue gaps), plus nhl_edge surfacing 'Model · Fair' data that agents might confuse with calculate_ev's output, but the descriptions draw the boundaries clearly enough.

Naming Consistency4/5

All six names use lowercase snake_case, which is consistent throughout. Four follow verb_noun (calculate_ev, convert_probability, find_arbitrage, kelly_size) while nhl_edge and track_record are noun phrases, a minor but readable deviation.

Tool Count5/5

Six tools is well-scoped for a niche markets/analytics desk, with each tool earning its place: two calculators, one parser, one scanner, one data feed, and one performance log. Nothing feels redundant or missing at the count level.

Completeness4/5

The surface covers the core workflow of pricing, converting, sizing, arbitraging, getting picks, and validating the model. Minor gaps exist: no way to list or search available NHL/sports markets directly (you must already know the contract), and no position/bet logging to pair with kelly_size and track_record.

Available Tools

6 tools
calculate_evCalculate EV EdgeA
Read-only
Inspect

Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read, with that venue's fee.

Inputs: venue, marketPrice, novigMarket, venuePrices, +1 more. Returns: signal, edge_pp, sources, edge_pct, +8 more

convert_probabilityConvert Probability / OddsA
Read-only
Inspect

Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".

Inputs: value, format. Returns: sources, tell_user, timestamp, needs_input, +5 more

find_arbitrageFind Sports Arbitrage GapsA
Read-only
Inspect

Use for "where is the arbitrage" and "Kalshi vs Polymarket price gaps". Cross-venue gaps on the same NFL, NBA, NHL or MLB game: Kalshi against Polymarket US (the exchange US traders use, fees included), Polymarket international as a reference. Gap in pp, WATCH/ARB signal, cheaper venue, settlement_match; near misses when nothing clears. Free: the top 3 gaps in full; Pro returns the whole board.

Inputs: minGap.

kelly_sizeKelly Position SizeA
Read-only
Inspect

Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".

Inputs: venue, bankroll, fraction, marketPrice, +2 more. Returns: rating, sources, tell_user, timestamp, +6 more

nhl_edgeNHL Edge — Goal Light model vs KalshiA
Read-only
Inspect

Use for "NHL predictions tonight" and "Stanley Cup odds". Tonight's NHL games on Kalshi — moneyline, puck line, totals, period markets — as Market · Model · Fair, starting goalies checked first. market=goals: anytime and first-goal contracts; market=futures: Cup, conference and division markets on Kalshi and Polymarket (international book) vs a 10,000-season sim. Free.

Inputs: team, limit, market.

track_recordTrack Record — our graded signals, winners and losersA
Read-only
Inspect

Use for "how accurate is your model" and "what's your track record". Every graded PredictionMarketsPicks signal per engine (bitcoin, gold, silver, oil, weather, NHL) and the daily editorial call (POTD): W-L, net P/L, a 95% win-rate range and the current model era, and the NFL model's 2026 live record (published game positions and prop PLAYs) beside its backtest. WATCH calls are reported apart.

Inputs: lane.

Tool Schema Changelog

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