schedule_risk
Assess schedule risk for task estimates by computing p50/p80/p95 confidence intervals from historical accuracy data. Delivers risk level and actionable recommendations for better planning.
Instructions
Assess schedule risk for an estimate using historical accuracy data.
Computes confidence intervals (p50/p80/p95) based on your team's MAPE. Returns risk level and actionable recommendations. Uses industry baseline (25% MAPE) when no historical data is available.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| estimated_hours | Yes | The estimated effort in hours to assess risk for. | |
| task_type | No | Optional task type to refine historical accuracy lookup. | |
| team_id | No | Optional team identifier to scope historical data. | |
| complexity | No | Task complexity from 1 (trivial) to 5 (extreme). Higher complexity widens confidence intervals. | |
| ai_native | No | Degree of AI assistance: 0.0 = fully human, 1.0 = fully AI-native, 0.5 = hybrid. Accepts boolean for backward compatibility (true=1.0, false=0.0). |