plan_risk_model
Analyzes a deterministic Excel workbook and generates an ordered checklist to convert it into a Monte Carlo risk model, identifying outputs, existing distributions, and uncertain inputs.
Instructions
ModelRisk: One-call blueprint for turning a deterministic workbook into a Monte Carlo risk model. Reports what's already there (declared outputs, existing distributions), the ranked hard-coded cells that look like uncertain inputs, and an ordered, state-aware checklist of next actions (wrap outputs, fit/propose distributions, correlate, audit, simulate, interpret). Read-only — it plans, it doesn't modify. Run this first when asked to 'add uncertainty' or 'make this a risk model'.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| workbook_name | Yes |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| steps | Yes | Ordered, state-aware next actions. | |
| outputs | Yes | Names of cells already wrapped with VoseOutput. | |
| workbook | Yes | ||
| readiness | Yes | 'ready', 'needs-outputs', 'needs-inputs', or 'empty'. | |
| output_count | Yes | ||
| input_candidates | Yes | Ranked hard-coded numeric cells that look like uncertain inputs. | |
| distribution_count | Yes | Vose distribution cells already present. | |
| input_candidate_count | Yes |