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VARRD

PyPI MCP Transport License MCP Badge

在大约 3 分钟内将任何交易想法转化为经过统计验证的优势。

pip install varrd

随心提问

varrd research "Does buying SPY after a 3-day losing streak actually work?"

varrd research "When VIX spikes above 30, is there a bounce in ES?"

varrd research "Is there a seasonal pattern in wheat before harvest?"

varrd research "What happens to gold when the dollar drops 3 days straight?"

varrd research "Does Bitcoin rally after the halving?"

varrd research "When crude oil drops 5% in a week, what happens next?"

每一个问题都会得到真实数据、带有信号标记的图表、统计测试以及明确的答案。

Related MCP server: QuantConnect MCP Server

你将获得什么

发现优势

STRONG EDGE — Statistically significant vs both zero and market baseline.

  Direction:    LONG
  Win Rate:     62%
  Sharpe:       1.45
  Signals:      247

  Trade Setup:
    Entry:       $5,150.25
    Stop Loss:   $5,122.00
    Take Profit: $5,192.50
    Risk/Reward: 1:1.5

无优势

NO EDGE — Neither test passed. No tradeable signal found.

You found out for 25 cents instead of $25,000 in live losses.

两者都是有价值的结果。


为什么我不能直接让 Claude / ChatGPT 来做这件事?

因为正确测试交易想法非常困难,而且有十几种方法会意外产生看起来很棒但在实际生产中却会亏损的虚假结果。

LLM 本身会很乐意为你编写回测,向你展示漂亮的权益曲线,并告诉你它有 70% 的胜率。问题在于:这一切都不是真实的。LLM 没有市场数据,没有测试环境,也没有防止过度拟合、挑选数据或胡编乱造的护栏。

即使你给 LLM 提供真实数据(例如在 Claude Code 或 Cursor 中),它仍然无法正确完成这项工作。原因如下:

测试交易想法时可能出现的问题——以及 VARRD 如何处理:

  • 过度拟合 (Overfitting) — 不断调整策略直到它在历史数据上看起来很好。VARRD 会保留未见过的数据并对其进行一次性测试。在查看结果后,你无法重新运行它。

  • 挑选结果 (Cherry-picking results) — 测试 50 种变体并只展示获胜的那一个。VARRD 会跟踪你运行的每一次测试,并随着测试次数的增加自动提高显著性门槛。

  • p-hacking — 操纵数字直到得到“显著”结果。VARRD 会针对多重比较进行校正,确保幸运的结果不会被当作真实结果通过。

  • 前瞻偏差 (Lookahead bias) — 在公式中意外使用未来数据。VARRD 在沙盒内核中运行,这在结构上使其成为不可能。

  • 测试类型错误 — 有些想法需要远期收益分析,有些则需要带有止损和目标的全面模拟。VARRD 拥有一支专门的代理团队,负责为每个问题确定正确的测试方法。

  • 跨市场污染 — 在一个市场进行测试,但信号实际上来自另一个市场。VARRD 会隔离并对齐跨市场和时间框架的数据。

  • 捏造统计数据 — LLM 会为了听起来自信而编造数字。在 VARRD 中,每一个统计数据都来自确定性的计算。AI 负责解释结果,从不生成结果。

  • 基于 ATR 的头寸规模调整 — 真正的优势需要真正的风险管理。VARRD 根据实际波动率而非任意百分比来计算止损和止盈。

  • 展示当前正在发生的情况 — 如果你无法看到信号何时触发,那么经过验证的优势就毫无用处。VARRD 会扫描实时数据,并准确告诉你信号何时处于活跃状态,并提供最新的入场和出场水平。

LLM 是没有实验室的大脑。 它可以推理交易想法,但无法在受控环境中测试它们。VARRD 就是那个实验室——它是专门构建的基础设施,每一项测试都被跟踪,每一个结果都经过验证,并且那十几种意外作弊的方法在系统层面(而非提示词层面)被拦截。


快速入门 — Python

from varrd import VARRD

v = VARRD()  # auto-creates free account, $2 in credits

# Research a trading idea
r = v.research("When RSI drops below 25 on ES, is there a bounce?")
r = v.research("test it", session_id=r.session_id)

print(r.context.edge_verdict)  # "STRONG EDGE" / "NO EDGE"

# Get exact trade levels
r = v.research("show me the trade setup", session_id=r.session_id)
# What's firing right now across all your strategies?
signals = v.scan(only_firing=True)
for s in signals.results:
    print(f"{s.name}: {s.direction} {s.market} @ ${s.entry_price}")
# Morning briefing — today's news connected to your specific edges
b = v.briefing()
print(b.news)
# "**ES selling accelerates into the open** Three consecutive lower highs..."
# "↳ Your ES mean-reversion setups are live territory here..."
# Let VARRD discover edges autonomously
result = v.discover("mean reversion on futures")
print(result.edge_verdict, result.market, result.win_rate)

快速入门 — CLI

# Full research workflow (auto-follows chart → test → trade setup)
varrd research "When wheat drops 3 days in a row, is there a snap-back?"

# What's firing right now?
varrd scan --only-firing

# Personalized market briefing — news filtered to your edge library
varrd briefing

# Search saved strategies
varrd search "momentum on grains"

# Let VARRD discover edges on its own
varrd discover "mean reversion on futures"

与 AI 代理配合使用

Claude Desktop / Claude Code / Cursor

选项 1 — 直接 HTTP (Claude Code, Cursor, OpenBB):

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "varrd": {
      "transport": {
        "type": "streamable-http",
        "url": "https://app.varrd.com/mcp"
      }
    }
  }
}

选项 2 — 通过 mcp-remote (Claude Desktop, 任何 stdio 客户端):

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "varrd": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["-y", "mcp-remote", "https://app.varrd.com/mcp"]
    }
  }
}

无需 API 密钥。然后只需提问:“当美联储利率决议后黄金飙升时,是否存在某种模式?”

OpenBB Workspace

VARRD 作为 MCP 服务器直接插入 OpenBB Workspace:

  1. 打开 Workspace → 点击 MCP 服务器面板中的“+”

  2. 输入 https://app.varrd.com/mcp

  3. VARRD 的工具将出现在你的 Copilot 中 — 研究想法、扫描信号、搜索策略

OpenBB 为你提供数据。VARRD 告诉你你的想法是否有优势。

交易机器人 (Freqtrade, Jesse, Hummingbot, OctoBot, NautilusTrader)

VARRD 在你部署策略之前验证其是否具有真正的优势。适用于任何机器人:

from varrd import VARRD
from varrd.freqtrade import generate_strategy

v = VARRD()
result = v.discover("RSI oversold reversal on BTC")

if result.has_edge:
    hyp = v.get_hypothesis(result.hypothesis_id)
    strategy_code, config = generate_strategy(hyp)
    # Drop into your bot's strategies/ folder and run it

机器人

VARRD 接入方式

Freqtrade

varrd.freqtrade 生成带有 ATR 止损的即用型 IStrategy 文件

Jesse

varrd.jesse 生成带有 ATR 止损的即用型 Strategy 文件

Hummingbot

在部署到做市之前验证方向性信号

OctoBot

通过 VARRD 的 MCP 服务器预先验证任何触手策略

NautilusTrader

实时部署前的统计优势验证

模式:先验证,后部署。大多数策略无法通过统计测试——花 0.25 美元发现这一点比花 25,000 美元要好得多。

CrewAI

from crewai import Agent, Task, Crew

researcher = Agent(
    role="Trading Researcher",
    goal="Find statistically validated trading edges",
    backstory="You are a quantitative researcher who tests trading ideas rigorously.",
    mcps=[{"type": "streamable-http", "url": "https://app.varrd.com/mcp"}]
)

task = Task(
    description="Research whether RSI oversold conditions on ES lead to a bounce within 5 days.",
    agent=researcher,
    expected_output="Edge verdict with trade setup if edge is found."
)

crew = Crew(agents=[researcher], tasks=[task])
result = crew.kickoff()

LangChain / LangGraph

from langchain_mcp_adapters.client import MultiServerMCPClient
from langgraph.prebuilt import create_react_agent
from langchain_anthropic import ChatAnthropic

model = ChatAnthropic(model="claude-sonnet-4-20250514")

async with MultiServerMCPClient({
    "varrd": {"url": "https://app.varrd.com/mcp", "transport": "streamable_http"}
}) as client:
    agent = create_react_agent(model, client.get_tools())
    result = await agent.ainvoke({"messages": [
        {"role": "user", "content": "Does gold rally when the dollar drops 3 days in a row?"}
    ]})

Raw MCP (任何客户端)

# Any MCP-compatible client can connect to:
https://app.varrd.com/mcp
# Transport: Streamable HTTP | No auth required | $2 free credits

8 项统计护栏(基础设施强制执行)

每一项测试都会自动通过这些护栏。你无法跳过它们。

护栏

防止的内容

K-Tracking

测试同一想法的 50 种变体?显著性门槛自动提高。

Bonferroni 校正

多重比较惩罚。杜绝 p-hacking。

OOS 锁定

样本外 (Out-of-sample) 测试仅限一次。查看结果后无法重新运行。

前瞻检测

捕获意外使用未来数据的公式。

工具计算,AI 解释

每个数字都来自真实数据。AI 从不捏造统计数据。

图表 → 批准 → 测试

在消耗统计能力之前,你先查看并批准该模式。

指纹去重

无法对同一公式/市场/周期进行两次重复测试。

禁止 OOS 后优化

参数在样本外验证后即锁定。


数据覆盖范围

资产类别

市场

时间框架

期货 (CME)

ES, NQ, CL, GC, SI, ZW, ZC, ZS, ZB, TY, HG, NG + 20 更多

1小时及以上

股票 / ETF

任何美股

日线

加密货币 (Binance)

BTC, ETH, SOL + 更多

10分钟及以上

总计 15,000+ 种工具。

MCP 工具

工具

成本

功能

research

~$0.25

多轮量化研究。编排 15 个内部工具。

autonomous_research

~$0.25

AI 为你发现优势。给它一个主题,获得验证结果。

scan

免费

针对实时数据扫描策略。提供最新的入场/止损/目标价格。

search

免费

通过关键词或自然语言查找策略。

get_hypothesis

免费

任何策略的完整详细信息。

check_balance

免费

查看积分和可用套餐。

buy_credits

免费

使用 Base 链上的 USDC 或 Stripe 购买积分。

reset_session

免费

终止损坏的会话并重新开始。

定价

  • 注册即送 $2 — 足以进行 6–8 次研究会话

  • 研究: 每个测试的想法约 $0.20–0.30

  • 发现 (自主):约 $0.20–0.30

  • ELROND 委员会 (8 位专家调查员):约 $0.40–0.60

  • 多市场 (3+ 市场):约 $1

  • 扫描、搜索、余额: 始终免费

  • 积分包: 通过 Stripe 购买 $5 / $20 / $50

  • 积分永不过期


示例

查看 examples/ 获取可运行的脚本:

给 AI 代理构建者

查看 AGENTS.md 获取完整的集成指南 — 工具参考、响应格式、身份验证和工作流模式。


链接

Available Tools

9 tools
autonomous_varrd_aiAInspect

Point VARRD's autonomous AI in a direction and let it discover edges for you. Give it a topic and it draws from one of the most comprehensive market structure knowledge graphs ever built — containing ideologies and theories, not statistics — so it generates genuinely novel hypotheses rather than overfitting to what already worked.

BEST FOR: Exploring a space broadly. Give it 'momentum on grains' and it might test wheat seasonal patterns, corn spread reversals, or soybean crush ratio momentum. It propagates from your seed idea into related concepts you might not think of.

Returns a complete result — edge or no edge, stats, trade setup. Each call tests ONE hypothesis through the full pipeline (~$0.25/idea). Call again for another idea.

Use 'varrd_ai' instead when YOU have a specific idea to test and want full control over each step.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
topicYesResearch topic or trading idea (e.g. 'BTC 240min short setups', 'momentum on grains', 'mean reversion after VIX spikes').
contextNoPrior conversation context — recent user queries to use as research inspiration. Optional.
marketsNoFocus on specific markets (e.g. ['ES', 'NQ']). Omit for VARRD to choose.
test_typeNoType of statistical test. Default: event_study.event_study
search_modeNofocused = stay close to topic. explore = creative freedom. Default: focused.focused
asset_classesNoLimit to specific asset classes. Default: all.

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
textNoFull research result with edge verdict
contextNohas_edge, edge_verdict, workflow_state
widgetsNoChart, test results, trade setup
session_idNo

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Beyond the annotations (readOnlyHint=false, openWorldHint=true, idempotentHint=false, destructiveHint=false), the description adds crucial behavioral details: each call tests exactly ONE hypothesis, costs ~$0.25/idea, and propagates from the seed idea into related concepts. It also explains the output: 'edge or no edge, stats, trade setup.' These are not present in the schema, providing genuine transparency.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is well-structured with clear sections ('BEST FOR', 'Returns', alternative tool). It is slightly verbose with marketing phrases like 'comprehensive market structure knowledge graphs ever built', but every sentence carries information. Front-loaded with the core purpose, and examples aid comprehension. A minor trim could improve conciseness, but it is not wasteful.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's complexity (6 parameters, output schema exists, annotations present), the description provides sufficient context for an AI agent to decide when to invoke it. It covers what the tool does, example usage, cost, output summary, and the distinction from a sibling tool. The output schema handles return values, so no further elaboration is needed. This is a complete description.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3. The description adds illustrative meaning to the 'topic' parameter via the 'momentum on grains' example, but does not enhance understanding of other parameters like 'context', 'markets', 'test_type', or 'search_mode'. It does not contradict or significantly add beyond the schema descriptions, so a 3 is appropriate.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's purpose: 'Point VARRD's autonomous AI in a direction and let it discover edges for you.' It explains that it generates and tests hypotheses, and explicitly distinguishes this from the sibling tool 'varrd_ai' for controlled testing. The verb 'discover' and resource 'edges' make the primary function unambiguous.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

It explicitly says 'BEST FOR: Exploring a space broadly' and provides concrete examples of when to use it. It also gives a clear exclusion criterion: 'Use 'varrd_ai' instead when YOU have a specific idea to test and want full control over each step.' This is textbook usage guidance.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

buy_creditsAInspect

Buy credits for the edge library and AI research. Default $5 minimum. Free — no credits consumed to call this.

TWO PAYMENT METHODS: card (default): Returns a Stripe Checkout link for your user to click and pay. After payment, call check_balance to confirm credits were added. crypto: USDC on Base. Fully autonomous — no human needed. Three steps: 1. buy_credits(payment_method='crypto') → returns deposit address + payment_intent_id 2. Send USDC to the deposit address (use your wallet tool) 3. buy_credits(payment_intent_id='pi_...') → confirms payment, credits added instantly If you have wallet access, this is the fastest path — fully machine-to-machine.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
amount_centsNoAmount in cents (default 500 = $5.00). Minimum $5.
payment_methodNoPayment method: 'card' (default, Stripe Checkout) or 'crypto' (USDC on Base).card
payment_intent_idNoFor crypto: Stripe PaymentIntent ID from a previous buy_credits call. Pass after sending USDC to confirm.

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
depositNoUSDC deposit address for crypto payment
checkout_urlNoStripe Checkout link for card payment
current_balance_centsNo

TDQS

A5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Discloses that the tool is free (no credits consumed), returns a Stripe Checkout link for card, and provides a deposit address and payment_intent_id for crypto. It also explains the two-step confirmation behavior, offering context beyond the annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is well-organized with clear headings and numbered steps, making it scannable. Every sentence provides actionable information without waste.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Covers the full payment lifecycle, including fallback to check_balance, exact call sequence for crypto, and the condition of instant credit addition after confirmation. Given the complexity of a payment tool, this is complete.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The schema already describes all three parameters, but the description adds operational meaning by explaining the two-phase crypto flow (first with payment_method='crypto', then with payment_intent_id to confirm) and the default amount_cents. This makes the parameters' roles clear in context.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool 'Buys credits for the edge library and AI research' and details the two payment methods. It also distinguishes itself from the sibling check_balance by referencing it for post-payment confirmation.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Provides explicit when-to-use guidance: card for user-mediated Stripe payment, crypto for autonomous machine-to-machine flow when wallet access is available. It also instructs the agent to call check_balance after card payment, naming a sibling alternative.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

check_balanceA
Read-onlyIdempotent
Inspect

Check your credit balance and see available credit packs. Free — no credits consumed. Also auto-detects completed payments — call this after your user pays via a checkout link to confirm credits were added. If payment went through, the response includes recovered_cents.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No parameters

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
credit_packsNoAvailable credit packs for purchase
balance_centsNoCurrent credit balance in cents
recovered_centsNoCredits recovered from completed payments (if any)

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Beyond annotations (readOnlyHint, idempotentHint, destructiveHint), the description adds valuable context: 'Free — no credits consumed' and the auto-detection behavior with 'recovered_cents' in the response. This enriches the agent's understanding of side effects and return values.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Three focused sentences, each earning its place: first states the core purpose, second addresses cost, third provides a critical usage scenario and expected response. No redundancy or filler.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

The description fully covers the tool's purpose, usage context, and important behavioral nuances. With output schema available and annotations present, no additional explanation is needed for a zero-parameter tool.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The tool has zero parameters and the schema is empty, so there's nothing to explain. Baseline for 0 params is 4, and the description appropriately mentions the response field 'recovered_cents' which aligns with the output schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description uses specific verbs ('Check', 'see', 'auto-detects') and clearly identifies the resource ('credit balance', 'credit packs', 'completed payments'). It distinguishes from siblings like buy_credits by focusing on checking and payment confirmation, not purchasing.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly states the tool is free and safe to use, and gives a concrete scenario ('call this after your user pays via a checkout link to confirm credits were added'). This provides clear when-to-use guidance and implies alternatives like buy_credits for purchasing.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

get_briefedA
Read-only
Inspect

Get a personalized market news briefing based on your validated edge library. Profiles your strategies, searches today's news for the instruments and setups you actually trade, and writes a concise digest connecting each headline to your specific book.

Each news item includes a ↳ line tying it to your actual positions and edges (e.g. 'your ES momentum setups', 'your GC mean-reversion edge').

Requires at least 5 strong edges in your library. Costs credits.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No parameters

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
newsNoPersonalized market news digest
profileNoTrader profile based on edge library
strong_countNoNumber of strong edges in library

TDQS

A4.7/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

The description goes beyond the annotations by disclosing important behavioral traits: it 'Costs credits', requires a specific prerequisite ('at least 5 strong edges'), and explains the process ('Profiles your strategies, searches today's news...'). It also describes the output format with '↳ lines'. These details are not present in the annotations and add significant transparency.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is concise and well-structured: the first sentence gives the main purpose, the second explains the output detail, and the third states prerequisites and cost. Every sentence adds value, and there is no wasted text.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given that the tool has no parameters and an output schema exists, the description is complete. It covers the core behavior, prerequisites, cost, and what the user can expect in the output. No gaps are apparent.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The tool has zero parameters, so the baseline for parameter semantics is 4. The description adds no param-specific information because there are no params, which is acceptable; schema coverage is 100% by default.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's function: 'Get a personalized market news briefing based on your validated edge library.' The verb 'get' plus the resource 'briefing' is specific and distinguishes it from sibling tools like general 'search' or 'varrd_ai'. It also explains the unique value proposition of tying headlines to the user's positions and edges.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides clear context for when to use the tool: it requires 'at least 5 strong edges in your library' and is intended for a personalized briefing. However, it does not explicitly mention alternatives or when not to use it, so it falls just short of the 'explicit when/when-not' benchmark.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

get_hypothesisA
Read-onlyIdempotent
Inspect

Get full detail for a specific hypothesis/strategy. Returns formula, entry/exit rules, direction, performance metrics (win rate, Sharpe, profit factor, max drawdown), version history, and trade levels. Everything an agent needs to understand and act on a strategy.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
hypothesis_idYesThe hypothesis ID (from search or scan results).

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
nameNo
formulaNo
win_rateNo
directionNo
hypothesis_idNo
horizon_resultsNo

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

The description aligns with annotations (readOnlyHint, idempotentHint) and adds behavioral detail about returned data (performance metrics, version history, trade levels), fully disclosing what the tool does beyond safety properties.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is two sentences with clear front-loading. The second sentence is somewhat general ('Everything an agent needs...') but not overly verbose. Minor improvement possible.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the low parameter count, full schema coverage, presence of output schema, and comprehensive annotations, the description fully covers what the agent needs to know about this simple retrieval tool.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, and the description adds the context that hypothesis_id comes from 'search or scan results,' which is helpful for correct invocation. However, no additional parameter-specific details are given.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description explicitly states 'Get full detail for a specific hypothesis/strategy' and enumerates specific content (formula, entry/exit rules, performance metrics, etc.), making the purpose very clear and distinguishing it from siblings like 'search'.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description implies the tool is used after discovery via search/scan ('from search or scan results'), providing clear usage context. However, it does not explicitly state when not to use it or mention alternatives beyond the sibling list.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

reset_sessionA
DestructiveIdempotent
Inspect

Kill a broken research session and start fresh. Use this when a session gets stuck, produces errors, or enters a bad state. Free — no credits consumed. After resetting, call research without a session_id to start a new clean session.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
session_idYesThe session_id to reset.

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
resetNo
messageNo

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already mark the tool as destructive and idempotent. The description adds valuable behavioral context beyond these hints: it notes the operation is free ('Free — no credits consumed') and that the old session is effectively discarded, letting the agent plan accordingly.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is three sentences long, front-loaded with the purpose, and each sentence earns its place: what it does, when to use it, cost, and next step. No filler or redundancy.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's simplicity (one required parameter), existing annotations, and an output schema, the description is complete. It covers when to use, cost implications, and the aftermath, leaving no critical gaps.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so the parameter description already explains session_id. The description adds context by specifying this is a 'research session' and explains that the next call should omit session_id, giving the parameter semantic meaning beyond the schema's generic wording.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with 'Kill a broken research session and start fresh' — a specific verb and resource that clearly states what the tool does. It distinguishes reset_session from sibling tools like search or buy_credits by focusing on session lifecycle management.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

It explicitly states when to use the tool ('when a session gets stuck, produces errors, or enters a bad state') and provides a clear next step ('call research without a session_id'). The guidance is practical and unambiguous, covering the primary use case and follow-up action.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

varrd_aiAInspect

Talk to VARRD AI (~$0.25/turn). Describe any trading idea in plain language and the system handles everything — loading decades of market data, charting your pattern, running statistical tests, backtesting with stops, and generating exact trade setups.

MULTI-TURN: First call creates a session. Keep calling with the same session_id, following context.next_actions each time.

  1. Your idea -> VARRD charts pattern

  2. 'test it' -> statistical test (event study or backtest)

  3. 'show me the trade setup' -> exact entry/stop/target prices

HYPOTHESIS INTEGRITY (critical): VARRD tests ONE hypothesis at a time — one formula, one setup. Never combine multiple setups into one formula or ask to 'test all' — each idea must be tested as a separate hypothesis for the statistics to be valid. Say 'start a new hypothesis' between ideas to reset cleanly.

  • ALLOWED: Test the SAME setup across multiple markets ('test this on ES, NQ, and CL') — same formula, different data.

  • NOT ALLOWED: Test multiple DIFFERENT formulas/setups at once — each is a separate hypothesis requiring its own chart-test-result cycle. If ELROND council returns 4 setups, test each one separately: chart setup 1 -> test -> results -> 'start new hypothesis' -> chart setup 2 -> etc.

KEY CAPABILITIES you can ask for:

  • 'Use the ELROND council on [market]' -> 8 expert investigators

  • 'Optimize the stop loss and take profit' -> SL/TP grid search

  • 'Test this on ES, NQ, and CL' -> multi-market testing

  • 'Simulate trading this with 1.5 ATR stop' -> backtest with stops

EDGE VERDICTS in context.edge_verdict after testing:

  • STRONG EDGE: Significant vs zero AND vs market baseline

  • MARGINAL: Significant vs zero only (beats nothing, but real signal)

  • PINNED: Significant vs market only (flat returns but different from market)

  • NO EDGE: Neither significant test passed

TERMINAL STATES: Stop when context.has_edge is true (edge found) or false (no edge — valid result). Always read context.next_actions.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
messageYesYour trading idea, research question, or instruction (e.g. 'test it', 'show trade setup').
session_idNoSession ID from a previous call. Omit to start a new research session.

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
textNoAI response text
contextNoWorkflow state, edge verdict, next actions
widgetsNoChart, event study, backtest, or trade setup widgets
session_idNoSession ID for multi-turn conversation

TDQS

A4.7/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Beyond annotations (readOnlyHint=false, openWorldHint=true), the description discloses cost (~$0.25/turn), the multi-turn session state, the 'ONE hypothesis at a time' constraint, edge verdict categories, and terminal states. This is rich behavioral context not captured in structured fields.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Though lengthy, the description is sectioned logically (MULTI-TURN, HYPOTHESIS INTEGRITY, KEY CAPABILITIES, EDGE VERDICTS, TERMINAL STATES) and every sentence carries functional guidance for a complex tool. It is front-loaded with the core purpose and then details the workflow without fluff.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a complex multi-turn tool, the description covers the full lifecycle: session creation, hypothesis testing, allowed/not-allowed patterns, verdict interpretation, and stopping criteria. It references context fields (has_edge, next_actions, edge_verdict) and assumes an output schema, so the agent is fully equipped to use the tool correctly.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, but the description adds value by giving concrete message examples ('test it', 'show me the trade setup') and clarifying session_id behavior (omit to start new). This supports the schema without redundancy, though it doesn't define parameter constraints beyond what's already present.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with a clear statement: "Talk to VARRD AI... Describe any trading idea in plain language and the system handles everything..." It enumerates specific capabilities (charting, statistical tests, backtesting, trade setups) and distinguishes from siblings by emphasizing interactive multi-turn research rather than autonomous execution.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides an explicit multi-turn protocol, including 'First call creates a session. Keep calling with the same session_id, following context.next_actions each time.' It also gives allowed/not-allowed examples for hypothesis testing, but doesn't explicitly reference sibling tools as alternatives, so it lacks explicit when-not/alternatives.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

varrd_edgesA
Read-onlyIdempotent
Inspect

THE PRIMARY TOOL — start here. FREE at depth=0, always safe to call.

Live feed of THIS USER'S OWN statistically validated trading edges — the ones on their account — running 24/7 against real market data. See which of YOUR edges are firing right now, get trade levels, or audit the full methodology. Scoped to the connected account: if the user has no edges yet, this returns none (it is NOT a general/shared library).

THREE TIERS: depth=0 (FREE — call this first): See which of YOUR edges are firing right now, pending bar close, or actively in trades. Markets and status only — no direction, no stats. Get a sense of what's live. depth=1 ($0.50): Unlock direction, occurrence count, EV/trade, stop-loss, take-profit, hold horizon, and current entry prices for ALL active edges in one request. depth=2 ($1 per edge, $5 for all): Full methodology — the actual formula, setup code, how the edge was discovered, edge decay analysis, complete performance analytics (Sharpe, drawdown, equity curve, profit factor). Machine-readable so any AI can audit the statistical rigor. Includes drill-down sections (free after purchase): setup_code, horizons, analytics, occurrences, and view (interactive chart link for your user, 15 min).

Every edge in this library is Bonferroni-corrected, tested against both zero returns and market baseline, with K-tracking to prevent p-hacking. Out-of-sample validated. Full transparency.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
depthNo0=free (markets + status), 1=$0.50 (direction, stats, trade levels for ALL active edges), 2=$1/edge or $5/all (full methodology + performance). Cheaper than a coffee.
marketNoFilter by market symbol (e.g. 'ES', 'GC'). Omit to see all.
statusNoFilter by status: 'firing', 'pending', 'active', or omit for all.
edge_idNoSpecific edge ID for depth 1 or 2 detail. Omit to see all edges.
sectionNoDrill into a specific section of a depth=2 edge (free after purchase). Options: setup_code, horizons, analytics, occurrences, view. Omit to get the overview directory.
directionNoFilter by direction: 'LONG' or 'SHORT'.
timeframeNoFilter by timeframe: '60min', '120min', '240min', '480min', 'daily', 'weekly'.
asset_classNoFilter by asset class: 'futures', 'equities', 'crypto'.

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already mark readOnlyHint, idempotentHint, and destructiveHint, and the description agrees fully. It adds substantial behavioral context: free at depth 0, always safe to call, pricing tiers, account scoping, validation methodology, and drill-down behavior after purchase. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is front-loaded with the most important instruction ('start here') and organized clearly into tiers and validation notes. It is longer than minimal, with some redundant marketing phrases like 'Full transparency' and repeated validation claims, but the structure makes the content scannable and decision-relevant.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a tool with 8 optional parameters, no output schema, and multi-tier pricing, the description is remarkably complete: it covers scoping, pricing, return contents per depth, filter semantics, no-edge behavior, and output sections. An agent has enough context to call the tool correctly and set user expectations.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3. The description adds real value by explaining the business semantics of depth tiers, what each tier unlocks, and the drill-down sections, which helps an agent choose parameters. It does not deeply elaborate on market, status, or timeframe syntax, but the schema already covers those.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

Description opens with a specific verb+resource: it is a live feed of the user's own statistically validated trading edges, scoped to the connected account. It clearly distinguishes itself from a general/shared library and tells the agent this is the primary starting point.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Strong when-to-use guidance is present: 'THE PRIMARY TOOL — start here' and 'call this first', plus a clear exclusion that if the user has no edges it returns none and is not a general library. However, it does not explicitly name sibling tools as alternatives or explain when to prefer varrd_ai, search, or get_hypothesis.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

Tool Schema Changelog

Recent tool additions, removals, and schema changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. 1 tool updatev0.4.3
    • Changedvarrd_edges1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -{
        -  "properties": {
        -    "text": {
        -      "description": "Formatted edge data (depth 0/1) or directory overview (depth 2)",
        -      "type": "string"
        -    }
        -  },
        -  "type": "object"
        -}New value: +null
  2. 9 tool updatesv0.4.2
    • Changedautonomous_varrd_ai1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "context": {
        +      "description": "has_edge, edge_verdict, workflow_state",
        +      "type": "object"
        +    },
        +    "session_id": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "text": {
        +      "description": "Full research result with edge verdict",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "widgets": {
        +      "description": "Chart, test results, trade setup",
        +      "type": "array"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedbuy_credits1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "checkout_url": {
        +      "description": "Stripe Checkout link for card payment",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "current_balance_cents": {
        +      "type": "integer"
        +    },
        +    "deposit": {
        +      "description": "USDC deposit address for crypto payment",
        +      "type": "object"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedcheck_balance1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "balance_cents": {
        +      "description": "Current credit balance in cents",
        +      "type": "integer"
        +    },
        +    "credit_packs": {
        +      "description": "Available credit packs for purchase",
        +      "type": "array"
        +    },
        +    "recovered_cents": {
        +      "description": "Credits recovered from completed payments (if any)",
        +      "type": "integer"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedget_briefed1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "news": {
        +      "description": "Personalized market news digest",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "profile": {
        +      "description": "Trader profile based on edge library",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "strong_count": {
        +      "description": "Number of strong edges in library",
        +      "type": "integer"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedget_hypothesis1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "direction": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "formula": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "horizon_results": {
        +      "type": "array"
        +    },
        +    "hypothesis_id": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "name": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "win_rate": {
        +      "type": "number"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedreset_session1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "message": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "reset": {
        +      "type": "boolean"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedsearch1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "method": {
        +      "description": "Search method: embedding or keyword",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "query": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "results": {
        +      "description": "Matching strategies with win rate, Sharpe, similarity",
        +      "type": "array"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedvarrd_ai1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "context": {
        +      "description": "Workflow state, edge verdict, next actions",
        +      "type": "object"
        +    },
        +    "session_id": {
        +      "description": "Session ID for multi-turn conversation",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "text": {
        +      "description": "AI response text",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "widgets": {
        +      "description": "Chart, event study, backtest, or trade setup widgets",
        +      "type": "array"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedvarrd_edges1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "text": {
        +      "description": "Formatted edge data (depth 0/1) or directory overview (depth 2)",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
  3. 7 tool updatesv0.3.4
    • Removedautonomous_research
    • Addedautonomous_varrd_ai
    • Changedbuy_credits2 fields changed
      • changedInput schema / properties / payment_intent_id / description
        Previous value: -"Stripe PaymentIntent ID from a previous buy_credits call. Pass this after sending USDC to confirm payment and receive credits."New value: +"For crypto: Stripe PaymentIntent ID from a previous buy_credits call. Pass after sending USDC to confirm."
      • addedInput schema / properties / payment_method
        Added value: +{
        +  "default": "card",
        +  "description": "Payment method: 'card' (default, Stripe Checkout) or 'crypto' (USDC on Base).",
        +  "type": "string"
        +}
    • Removedresearch
    • Removedscan
    • Addedvarrd_ai
    • Addedvarrd_edges
  4. 9 tool updatesv1.0.0
    • First observedautonomous_research
    • First observedbuy_credits
    • First observedcheck_balance
    • First observedget_briefed
    • First observedget_hypothesis
    • First observedresearch
    • First observedreset_session
    • First observedscan
    • First observedsearch

TDQS

A4.3/5.0

Scored across 9 tools

Disambiguation4/5

Most tools have clearly distinct purposes: varrd_edges for live edges, varrd_ai for interactive research, autonomous_varrd_ai for one-shot discovery, search/get_hypothesis for retrieving saved strategies, check_balance/buy_credits for payments, reset_session for session control, get_briefed for news. The only mild overlap is between varrd_ai and autonomous_varrd_ai, but descriptions clarify the difference well.

Naming Consistency2/5

Naming is inconsistent. Some tools follow verb_noun (get_hypothesis, check_balance, buy_credits, reset_session, get_briefed), some are prefixed with 'varrd_' (varrd_edges, varrd_ai), and 'search' is a bare noun. The mixed prefixes and verb styles create no clear pattern.

Tool Count5/5

Nine tools is well-scoped for a trading research platform covering edge monitoring, AI research, autonomous discovery, strategy retrieval, payments, session management, and news briefing. Each tool has a clear role and the count is within the ideal 3-15 range.

Completeness4/5

The surface covers the core workflows: discovering edges, researching ideas, retrieving saved strategies, managing credits, and getting news. Minor gaps exist, such as no explicit tool to delete or edit hypotheses, but agents can work around these via the search and get_hypothesis tools.

Maintenance

ActivitySlowing
ResponsivenessUnresponsive

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