Varrd
VARRD
どんなトレーディングアイデアも、約3分で統計的に検証されたエッジに変えましょう。
pip install varrd何でも質問してください
varrd research "Does buying SPY after a 3-day losing streak actually work?"
varrd research "When VIX spikes above 30, is there a bounce in ES?"
varrd research "Is there a seasonal pattern in wheat before harvest?"
varrd research "What happens to gold when the dollar drops 3 days straight?"
varrd research "Does Bitcoin rally after the halving?"
varrd research "When crude oil drops 5% in a week, what happens next?"すべての質問に対して、実際のデータ、シグナルがマークされたチャート、統計的テスト、そして明確な回答が得られます。
Related MCP server: QuantConnect MCP Server
得られる結果
エッジが見つかった場合
STRONG EDGE — Statistically significant vs both zero and market baseline.
Direction: LONG
Win Rate: 62%
Sharpe: 1.45
Signals: 247
Trade Setup:
Entry: $5,150.25
Stop Loss: $5,122.00
Take Profit: $5,192.50
Risk/Reward: 1:1.5エッジが見つからなかった場合
NO EDGE — Neither test passed. No tradeable signal found.
You found out for 25 cents instead of $25,000 in live losses.どちらも価値のある結果です。
なぜClaudeやChatGPTに直接聞くだけではいけないのですか?
トレーディングのアイデアを適切にテストすることは非常に難しく、見た目は素晴らしいが運用では損失を出すような偽の結果を誤って生成してしまう方法がいくつも存在するからです。
LLM単体では、喜んでバックテストを作成し、美しい資産曲線を見せ、勝率70%だと言ってくれるでしょう。問題は、そのどれもが本物ではないということです。LLMは市場データを持たず、テスト環境も持たず、過学習やチェリーピッキング、あるいは単なる数値の捏造を防ぐガードレールもありません。
たとえLLMに実際のデータを与えたとしても(Claude CodeやCursorのように)、適切に実行することはできません。理由は以下の通りです。
トレーディングアイデアをテストする際に何が問題になるのか — そしてVARRDがどう対処するか:
過学習 — 過去のデータで良く見えるように戦略を微調整すること。VARRDは未知のデータを保持し、一度だけテストを行います。結果を見た後に再実行することはできません。
結果のチェリーピッキング — 50通りのバリエーションをテストし、勝ったものだけを見せること。VARRDは実行したすべてのテストを追跡し、テスト回数が増えるほど自動的に有意性の基準を引き上げます。
pハッキング — 「有意な」結果が出るまで数値を操作すること。VARRDは多重比較を補正するため、まぐれの結果が本物として通ることはありません。
ルックアヘッドバイアス — 誤って計算式に未来のデータを使ってしまうこと。VARRDはサンドボックス化されたカーネルで実行されるため、構造的に不可能です。
誤ったテストタイプ — フォワードリターン分析が必要なアイデアもあれば、ストップやターゲットを用いた完全なシミュレーションが必要なアイデアもあります。VARRDには、各質問に対して適切なテストを決定する専門エージェントチームがいます。
市場間汚染 — ある市場でテストしているのに、シグナルが実際には別の市場から来ていること。VARRDは市場や時間枠をまたいでデータを分離し、調整します。
捏造された統計 — LLMは自信ありげに聞こえるよう数値を捏造します。VARRDでは、すべての統計は決定論的な計算から導かれます。AIは結果を解釈するだけで、生成することはありません。
ATRベースのポジションサイジング — 本物のエッジには本物のリスク管理が必要です。VARRDは恣意的なパーセンテージではなく、実際のボラティリティに基づいてストップロスとテイクプロフィットを計算します。
今何が起きているかを表示する — 検証されたエッジも、いつ発動しているか分からなければ無意味です。VARRDはライブデータをスキャンし、シグナルがアクティブなタイミングを、新鮮なエントリーおよびエグジットレベルとともに正確に伝えます。
LLMはラボのない脳です。 トレーディングのアイデアについて推論することはできますが、制御された環境でテストすることはできません。VARRDはラボです。すべてのテストが追跡され、すべての結果が検証され、誤って不正を行ってしまうような数十の方法が、プロンプトレベルではなくシステムレベルでブロックされる、専用のインフラストラクチャです。
クイックスタート — Python
from varrd import VARRD
v = VARRD() # auto-creates free account, $2 in credits
# Research a trading idea
r = v.research("When RSI drops below 25 on ES, is there a bounce?")
r = v.research("test it", session_id=r.session_id)
print(r.context.edge_verdict) # "STRONG EDGE" / "NO EDGE"
# Get exact trade levels
r = v.research("show me the trade setup", session_id=r.session_id)# What's firing right now across all your strategies?
signals = v.scan(only_firing=True)
for s in signals.results:
print(f"{s.name}: {s.direction} {s.market} @ ${s.entry_price}")# Morning briefing — today's news connected to your specific edges
b = v.briefing()
print(b.news)
# "**ES selling accelerates into the open** Three consecutive lower highs..."
# "↳ Your ES mean-reversion setups are live territory here..."# Let VARRD discover edges autonomously
result = v.discover("mean reversion on futures")
print(result.edge_verdict, result.market, result.win_rate)クイックスタート — CLI
# Full research workflow (auto-follows chart → test → trade setup)
varrd research "When wheat drops 3 days in a row, is there a snap-back?"
# What's firing right now?
varrd scan --only-firing
# Personalized market briefing — news filtered to your edge library
varrd briefing
# Search saved strategies
varrd search "momentum on grains"
# Let VARRD discover edges on its own
varrd discover "mean reversion on futures"AIエージェントでの利用
Claude Desktop / Claude Code / Cursor
オプション1 — 直接HTTP (Claude Code, Cursor, OpenBB):
{
"mcpServers": {
"varrd": {
"transport": {
"type": "streamable-http",
"url": "https://app.varrd.com/mcp"
}
}
}
}オプション2 — mcp-remote経由 (Claude Desktop, stdioクライアント):
{
"mcpServers": {
"varrd": {
"command": "npx",
"args": ["-y", "mcp-remote", "https://app.varrd.com/mcp"]
}
}
}APIキーは不要です。あとはこう聞くだけです:"Is there a pattern when gold spikes after a Fed rate decision?"
OpenBB Workspace
VARRDはOpenBB WorkspaceにMCPサーバーとして直接プラグインします:
Workspaceを開く → MCPサーバーパネルの「+」をクリック
https://app.varrd.com/mcpを入力VARRDのツールがCopilotに表示されます — アイデアのリサーチ、シグナルのスキャン、戦略の検索が可能になります
OpenBBがデータを提供し、VARRDがあなたのアイデアにエッジがあるかどうかを判定します。
トレーディングボット (Freqtrade, Jesse, Hummingbot, OctoBot, NautilusTrader)
VARRDは、デプロイする前に戦略に本物のエッジがあるかを検証します。あらゆるボットで動作します:
from varrd import VARRD
from varrd.freqtrade import generate_strategy
v = VARRD()
result = v.discover("RSI oversold reversal on BTC")
if result.has_edge:
hyp = v.get_hypothesis(result.hypothesis_id)
strategy_code, config = generate_strategy(hyp)
# Drop into your bot's strategies/ folder and run itボット | VARRDの接続方法 |
| |
| |
マーケットメイキングにデプロイする前に方向性シグナルを検証 | |
VARRDのMCPサーバーを通じてあらゆるテントクル戦略を事前検証 | |
ライブデプロイ前の統計的エッジ検証 |
パターンは「まず検証、次にデプロイ」です。ほとんどの戦略は統計的テストを生き残れません。25,000ドル失う前に、0.25ドルでそれを知る方が賢明です。
CrewAI
from crewai import Agent, Task, Crew
researcher = Agent(
role="Trading Researcher",
goal="Find statistically validated trading edges",
backstory="You are a quantitative researcher who tests trading ideas rigorously.",
mcps=[{"type": "streamable-http", "url": "https://app.varrd.com/mcp"}]
)
task = Task(
description="Research whether RSI oversold conditions on ES lead to a bounce within 5 days.",
agent=researcher,
expected_output="Edge verdict with trade setup if edge is found."
)
crew = Crew(agents=[researcher], tasks=[task])
result = crew.kickoff()LangChain / LangGraph
from langchain_mcp_adapters.client import MultiServerMCPClient
from langgraph.prebuilt import create_react_agent
from langchain_anthropic import ChatAnthropic
model = ChatAnthropic(model="claude-sonnet-4-20250514")
async with MultiServerMCPClient({
"varrd": {"url": "https://app.varrd.com/mcp", "transport": "streamable_http"}
}) as client:
agent = create_react_agent(model, client.get_tools())
result = await agent.ainvoke({"messages": [
{"role": "user", "content": "Does gold rally when the dollar drops 3 days in a row?"}
]})Raw MCP (任意のクライアント)
# Any MCP-compatible client can connect to:
https://app.varrd.com/mcp
# Transport: Streamable HTTP | No auth required | $2 free credits8つの統計的ガードレール (インフラストラクチャによる強制)
すべてのテストは自動的にこれらを通過します。スキップすることはできません。
ガードレール | 防ぐもの |
K-Tracking | 同じアイデアの50通りのバリエーションをテスト?有意性の基準が自動的に上昇します。 |
Bonferroni Correction | 多重比較のペナルティ。pハッキングを防止。 |
OOS Lock | アウトオブサンプルは一度きり。結果を見た後の再実行は不可。 |
Lookahead Detection | 誤って未来のデータを使用する計算式を検知。 |
Tools Calculate, AI Interprets | すべての数値は実際のデータから。AIが統計を捏造することはありません。 |
Chart → Approve → Test | 統計的パワーを消費する前にパターンを確認・承認。 |
Fingerprint Dedup | 同じ計算式/市場/期間の再テストを禁止。 |
No Post-OOS Optimization | アウトオブサンプル検証後にパラメータをロック。 |
データカバレッジ
アセットクラス | 市場 | 時間枠 |
先物 (CME) | ES, NQ, CL, GC, SI, ZW, ZC, ZS, ZB, TY, HG, NG + 他20種 | 1時間以上 |
株式 / ETF | 米国株式全般 | 日次 |
暗号資産 (Binance) | BTC, ETH, SOL + 他 | 10分以上 |
合計15,000以上の銘柄。
MCPツール
ツール | コスト | 機能 |
| ~$0.25 | マルチターンのクオンツリサーチ。15の内部ツールを統合。 |
| ~$0.25 | AIがエッジを発見。トピックを与えれば検証済み結果を取得。 |
| 無料 | ライブデータに対して戦略をスキャン。最新のエントリー/ストップ/ターゲット価格。 |
| 無料 | キーワードや自然言語で戦略を検索。 |
| 無料 | 戦略の詳細情報を取得。 |
| 無料 | クレジットと利用可能なパックを確認。 |
| 無料 | Base上のUSDCまたはStripeでクレジットを購入。 |
| 無料 | 壊れたセッションを終了し、新しく開始。 |
料金
サインアップ時に2ドル分無料 — 6〜8回の研究セッション分
リサーチ: アイデア1件のテストにつき約0.20〜0.30ドル
ディスカバリー (自律型): 約0.20〜0.30ドル
ELROND council (8人の専門調査員): 約0.40〜0.60ドル
マルチマーケット (3市場以上): 約1ドル
スキャン、検索、残高確認: 常に無料
クレジットパック: Stripe経由で5ドル / 20ドル / 50ドル
クレジットに有効期限はありません
例
実行可能なスクリプトについては examples/ を参照してください:
quick_start.py— 5行ですべての戦略をスキャンresearch_idea.py— 完全なマルチターンリサーチワークフローmulti_idea_loop.py— ループ内で多くのアイデアをテストscan_portfolio.py— トレードレベル付きのポートフォリオスキャンmcp_config.json— Claude Desktop / Cursor用MCP設定
AIエージェント開発者向け
完全な統合ガイド(ツールリファレンス、レスポンス形式、認証、ワークフローパターン)については AGENTS.md を参照してください。
リンク
Webアプリ: app.varrd.com
ウェブサイト: varrd.com
MCPエンドポイント:
https://app.varrd.com/mcpPyPI: pypi.org/project/varrd
Available Tools
9 toolsautonomous_varrd_aiAInspect
Point VARRD's autonomous AI in a direction and let it discover edges for you. Give it a topic and it draws from one of the most comprehensive market structure knowledge graphs ever built — containing ideologies and theories, not statistics — so it generates genuinely novel hypotheses rather than overfitting to what already worked.
BEST FOR: Exploring a space broadly. Give it 'momentum on grains' and it might test wheat seasonal patterns, corn spread reversals, or soybean crush ratio momentum. It propagates from your seed idea into related concepts you might not think of.
Returns a complete result — edge or no edge, stats, trade setup. Each call tests ONE hypothesis through the full pipeline (~$0.25/idea). Call again for another idea.
Use 'varrd_ai' instead when YOU have a specific idea to test and want full control over each step.
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| topic | Yes | Research topic or trading idea (e.g. 'BTC 240min short setups', 'momentum on grains', 'mean reversion after VIX spikes'). | |
| context | No | Prior conversation context — recent user queries to use as research inspiration. Optional. | |
| markets | No | Focus on specific markets (e.g. ['ES', 'NQ']). Omit for VARRD to choose. | |
| test_type | No | Type of statistical test. Default: event_study. | event_study |
| search_mode | No | focused = stay close to topic. explore = creative freedom. Default: focused. | focused |
| asset_classes | No | Limit to specific asset classes. Default: all. |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|
| text | No | Full research result with edge verdict |
| context | No | has_edge, edge_verdict, workflow_state |
| widgets | No | Chart, test results, trade setup |
| session_id | No |
TDQS
Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?
Beyond the annotations (readOnlyHint=false, openWorldHint=true, idempotentHint=false, destructiveHint=false), the description adds crucial behavioral details: each call tests exactly ONE hypothesis, costs ~$0.25/idea, and propagates from the seed idea into related concepts. It also explains the output: 'edge or no edge, stats, trade setup.' These are not present in the schema, providing genuine transparency.
Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.
Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?
The description is well-structured with clear sections ('BEST FOR', 'Returns', alternative tool). It is slightly verbose with marketing phrases like 'comprehensive market structure knowledge graphs ever built', but every sentence carries information. Front-loaded with the core purpose, and examples aid comprehension. A minor trim could improve conciseness, but it is not wasteful.
Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.
Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?
Given the tool's complexity (6 parameters, output schema exists, annotations present), the description provides sufficient context for an AI agent to decide when to invoke it. It covers what the tool does, example usage, cost, output summary, and the distinction from a sibling tool. The output schema handles return values, so no further elaboration is needed. This is a complete description.
Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.
Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?
Schema coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3. The description adds illustrative meaning to the 'topic' parameter via the 'momentum on grains' example, but does not enhance understanding of other parameters like 'context', 'markets', 'test_type', or 'search_mode'. It does not contradict or significantly add beyond the schema descriptions, so a 3 is appropriate.
Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.
Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?
The description clearly states the tool's purpose: 'Point VARRD's autonomous AI in a direction and let it discover edges for you.' It explains that it generates and tests hypotheses, and explicitly distinguishes this from the sibling tool 'varrd_ai' for controlled testing. The verb 'discover' and resource 'edges' make the primary function unambiguous.
Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.
Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?
It explicitly says 'BEST FOR: Exploring a space broadly' and provides concrete examples of when to use it. It also gives a clear exclusion criterion: 'Use 'varrd_ai' instead when YOU have a specific idea to test and want full control over each step.' This is textbook usage guidance.
Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.
buy_creditsAInspect
Buy credits for the edge library and AI research. Default $5 minimum. Free — no credits consumed to call this.
TWO PAYMENT METHODS: card (default): Returns a Stripe Checkout link for your user to click and pay. After payment, call check_balance to confirm credits were added. crypto: USDC on Base. Fully autonomous — no human needed. Three steps: 1. buy_credits(payment_method='crypto') → returns deposit address + payment_intent_id 2. Send USDC to the deposit address (use your wallet tool) 3. buy_credits(payment_intent_id='pi_...') → confirms payment, credits added instantly If you have wallet access, this is the fastest path — fully machine-to-machine.
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| amount_cents | No | Amount in cents (default 500 = $5.00). Minimum $5. | |
| payment_method | No | Payment method: 'card' (default, Stripe Checkout) or 'crypto' (USDC on Base). | card |
| payment_intent_id | No | For crypto: Stripe PaymentIntent ID from a previous buy_credits call. Pass after sending USDC to confirm. |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|
| deposit | No | USDC deposit address for crypto payment |
| checkout_url | No | Stripe Checkout link for card payment |
| current_balance_cents | No |
TDQS
Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?
Discloses that the tool is free (no credits consumed), returns a Stripe Checkout link for card, and provides a deposit address and payment_intent_id for crypto. It also explains the two-step confirmation behavior, offering context beyond the annotations.
Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.
Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?
The description is well-organized with clear headings and numbered steps, making it scannable. Every sentence provides actionable information without waste.
Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.
Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?
Covers the full payment lifecycle, including fallback to check_balance, exact call sequence for crypto, and the condition of instant credit addition after confirmation. Given the complexity of a payment tool, this is complete.
Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.
Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?
The schema already describes all three parameters, but the description adds operational meaning by explaining the two-phase crypto flow (first with payment_method='crypto', then with payment_intent_id to confirm) and the default amount_cents. This makes the parameters' roles clear in context.
Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.
Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?
The description clearly states the tool 'Buys credits for the edge library and AI research' and details the two payment methods. It also distinguishes itself from the sibling check_balance by referencing it for post-payment confirmation.
Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.
Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?
Provides explicit when-to-use guidance: card for user-mediated Stripe payment, crypto for autonomous machine-to-machine flow when wallet access is available. It also instructs the agent to call check_balance after card payment, naming a sibling alternative.
Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.
check_balanceARead-onlyIdempotentInspect
Check your credit balance and see available credit packs. Free — no credits consumed. Also auto-detects completed payments — call this after your user pays via a checkout link to confirm credits were added. If payment went through, the response includes recovered_cents.
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
No parameters | |||
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|
| credit_packs | No | Available credit packs for purchase |
| balance_cents | No | Current credit balance in cents |
| recovered_cents | No | Credits recovered from completed payments (if any) |
TDQS
Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?
Beyond annotations (readOnlyHint, idempotentHint, destructiveHint), the description adds valuable context: 'Free — no credits consumed' and the auto-detection behavior with 'recovered_cents' in the response. This enriches the agent's understanding of side effects and return values.
Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.
Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?
Three focused sentences, each earning its place: first states the core purpose, second addresses cost, third provides a critical usage scenario and expected response. No redundancy or filler.
Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.
Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?
The description fully covers the tool's purpose, usage context, and important behavioral nuances. With output schema available and annotations present, no additional explanation is needed for a zero-parameter tool.
Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.
Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?
The tool has zero parameters and the schema is empty, so there's nothing to explain. Baseline for 0 params is 4, and the description appropriately mentions the response field 'recovered_cents' which aligns with the output schema.
Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.
Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?
The description uses specific verbs ('Check', 'see', 'auto-detects') and clearly identifies the resource ('credit balance', 'credit packs', 'completed payments'). It distinguishes from siblings like buy_credits by focusing on checking and payment confirmation, not purchasing.
Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.
Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?
Explicitly states the tool is free and safe to use, and gives a concrete scenario ('call this after your user pays via a checkout link to confirm credits were added'). This provides clear when-to-use guidance and implies alternatives like buy_credits for purchasing.
Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.
get_briefedARead-onlyInspect
Get a personalized market news briefing based on your validated edge library. Profiles your strategies, searches today's news for the instruments and setups you actually trade, and writes a concise digest connecting each headline to your specific book.
Each news item includes a ↳ line tying it to your actual positions and edges (e.g. 'your ES momentum setups', 'your GC mean-reversion edge').
Requires at least 5 strong edges in your library. Costs credits.
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
No parameters | |||
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|
| news | No | Personalized market news digest |
| profile | No | Trader profile based on edge library |
| strong_count | No | Number of strong edges in library |
TDQS
Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?
The description goes beyond the annotations by disclosing important behavioral traits: it 'Costs credits', requires a specific prerequisite ('at least 5 strong edges'), and explains the process ('Profiles your strategies, searches today's news...'). It also describes the output format with '↳ lines'. These details are not present in the annotations and add significant transparency.
Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.
Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?
The description is concise and well-structured: the first sentence gives the main purpose, the second explains the output detail, and the third states prerequisites and cost. Every sentence adds value, and there is no wasted text.
Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.
Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?
Given that the tool has no parameters and an output schema exists, the description is complete. It covers the core behavior, prerequisites, cost, and what the user can expect in the output. No gaps are apparent.
Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.
Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?
The tool has zero parameters, so the baseline for parameter semantics is 4. The description adds no param-specific information because there are no params, which is acceptable; schema coverage is 100% by default.
Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.
Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?
The description clearly states the tool's function: 'Get a personalized market news briefing based on your validated edge library.' The verb 'get' plus the resource 'briefing' is specific and distinguishes it from sibling tools like general 'search' or 'varrd_ai'. It also explains the unique value proposition of tying headlines to the user's positions and edges.
Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.
Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?
The description provides clear context for when to use the tool: it requires 'at least 5 strong edges in your library' and is intended for a personalized briefing. However, it does not explicitly mention alternatives or when not to use it, so it falls just short of the 'explicit when/when-not' benchmark.
Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.
get_hypothesisARead-onlyIdempotentInspect
Get full detail for a specific hypothesis/strategy. Returns formula, entry/exit rules, direction, performance metrics (win rate, Sharpe, profit factor, max drawdown), version history, and trade levels. Everything an agent needs to understand and act on a strategy.
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| hypothesis_id | Yes | The hypothesis ID (from search or scan results). |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|
| name | No | |
| formula | No | |
| win_rate | No | |
| direction | No | |
| hypothesis_id | No | |
| horizon_results | No |
TDQS
Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?
The description aligns with annotations (readOnlyHint, idempotentHint) and adds behavioral detail about returned data (performance metrics, version history, trade levels), fully disclosing what the tool does beyond safety properties.
Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.
Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?
The description is two sentences with clear front-loading. The second sentence is somewhat general ('Everything an agent needs...') but not overly verbose. Minor improvement possible.
Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.
Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?
Given the low parameter count, full schema coverage, presence of output schema, and comprehensive annotations, the description fully covers what the agent needs to know about this simple retrieval tool.
Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.
Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?
Schema coverage is 100%, and the description adds the context that hypothesis_id comes from 'search or scan results,' which is helpful for correct invocation. However, no additional parameter-specific details are given.
Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.
Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?
The description explicitly states 'Get full detail for a specific hypothesis/strategy' and enumerates specific content (formula, entry/exit rules, performance metrics, etc.), making the purpose very clear and distinguishing it from siblings like 'search'.
Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.
Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?
The description implies the tool is used after discovery via search/scan ('from search or scan results'), providing clear usage context. However, it does not explicitly state when not to use it or mention alternatives beyond the sibling list.
Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.
reset_sessionADestructiveIdempotentInspect
Kill a broken research session and start fresh. Use this when a session gets stuck, produces errors, or enters a bad state. Free — no credits consumed. After resetting, call research without a session_id to start a new clean session.
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| session_id | Yes | The session_id to reset. |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|
| reset | No | |
| message | No |
TDQS
Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?
Annotations already mark the tool as destructive and idempotent. The description adds valuable behavioral context beyond these hints: it notes the operation is free ('Free — no credits consumed') and that the old session is effectively discarded, letting the agent plan accordingly.
Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.
Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?
The description is three sentences long, front-loaded with the purpose, and each sentence earns its place: what it does, when to use it, cost, and next step. No filler or redundancy.
Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.
Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?
Given the tool's simplicity (one required parameter), existing annotations, and an output schema, the description is complete. It covers when to use, cost implications, and the aftermath, leaving no critical gaps.
Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.
Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?
Schema coverage is 100%, so the parameter description already explains session_id. The description adds context by specifying this is a 'research session' and explains that the next call should omit session_id, giving the parameter semantic meaning beyond the schema's generic wording.
Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.
Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?
The description opens with 'Kill a broken research session and start fresh' — a specific verb and resource that clearly states what the tool does. It distinguishes reset_session from sibling tools like search or buy_credits by focusing on session lifecycle management.
Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.
Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?
It explicitly states when to use the tool ('when a session gets stuck, produces errors, or enters a bad state') and provides a clear next step ('call research without a session_id'). The guidance is practical and unambiguous, covering the primary use case and follow-up action.
Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.
searchARead-onlyIdempotentInspect
Search your saved hypotheses by keyword or natural language query. Returns matching strategies ranked by relevance, with key stats (win rate, Sharpe, edge status). Use this to find strategies you've already validated.
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| limit | No | Max results to return. | |
| query | Yes | Search query — keywords or natural language (e.g. 'momentum strategies', 'RSI oversold'). | |
| market | No | Optional market filter. |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|
| query | No | |
| method | No | Search method: embedding or keyword |
| results | No | Matching strategies with win rate, Sharpe, similarity |
TDQS
Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?
Annotations already declare readOnlyHint=true and destructiveHint=false, so the safety profile is known. The description adds meaningful behavioral context: it searches only saved hypotheses (scope) and returns ranked results with key stats (win rate, Sharpe, edge status), which is not in annotations. It does not mention pagination or rate limits, but it adds enough beyond annotations to warrant a 4.
Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.
Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?
The description is two sentences, front-loaded with the core action, and every sentence earns its place. It states what the tool does, what it returns, and when to use it without any redundant filler.
Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.
Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?
With strong annotations, a fully described schema, and an output schema present, the description delivers the essential purpose, usage, and return behavior. For a simple search tool with one required parameter, this is complete and leaves no obvious gaps.
Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.
Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?
Schema description coverage is 100%, with each parameter (query, limit, market) already well-described. The description reinforces the query parameter's purpose ('keyword or natural language query') but does not add new syntactic details or clarify parameter behavior beyond the schema, so it sits at the baseline of 3.
Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.
Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?
The description clearly states the tool's function: 'Search your saved hypotheses by keyword or natural language query.' It specifies the resource (saved hypotheses), the action (search), and the method (keyword or natural language). It also mentions the output ('returns matching strategies ranked by relevance'), which distinguishes it from siblings like get_hypothesis.
Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.
Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?
The description provides explicit usage context: 'Use this to find strategies you've already validated.' This tells the agent when to invoke this tool (for searching existing validated strategies) but does not explicitly name alternatives or exclusion cases, so it falls short of the highest bar.
Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.
varrd_aiAInspect
Talk to VARRD AI (~$0.25/turn). Describe any trading idea in plain language and the system handles everything — loading decades of market data, charting your pattern, running statistical tests, backtesting with stops, and generating exact trade setups.
MULTI-TURN: First call creates a session. Keep calling with the same session_id, following context.next_actions each time.
Your idea -> VARRD charts pattern
'test it' -> statistical test (event study or backtest)
'show me the trade setup' -> exact entry/stop/target prices
HYPOTHESIS INTEGRITY (critical): VARRD tests ONE hypothesis at a time — one formula, one setup. Never combine multiple setups into one formula or ask to 'test all' — each idea must be tested as a separate hypothesis for the statistics to be valid. Say 'start a new hypothesis' between ideas to reset cleanly.
ALLOWED: Test the SAME setup across multiple markets ('test this on ES, NQ, and CL') — same formula, different data.
NOT ALLOWED: Test multiple DIFFERENT formulas/setups at once — each is a separate hypothesis requiring its own chart-test-result cycle. If ELROND council returns 4 setups, test each one separately: chart setup 1 -> test -> results -> 'start new hypothesis' -> chart setup 2 -> etc.
KEY CAPABILITIES you can ask for:
'Use the ELROND council on [market]' -> 8 expert investigators
'Optimize the stop loss and take profit' -> SL/TP grid search
'Test this on ES, NQ, and CL' -> multi-market testing
'Simulate trading this with 1.5 ATR stop' -> backtest with stops
EDGE VERDICTS in context.edge_verdict after testing:
STRONG EDGE: Significant vs zero AND vs market baseline
MARGINAL: Significant vs zero only (beats nothing, but real signal)
PINNED: Significant vs market only (flat returns but different from market)
NO EDGE: Neither significant test passed
TERMINAL STATES: Stop when context.has_edge is true (edge found) or false (no edge — valid result). Always read context.next_actions.
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| message | Yes | Your trading idea, research question, or instruction (e.g. 'test it', 'show trade setup'). | |
| session_id | No | Session ID from a previous call. Omit to start a new research session. |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|
| text | No | AI response text |
| context | No | Workflow state, edge verdict, next actions |
| widgets | No | Chart, event study, backtest, or trade setup widgets |
| session_id | No | Session ID for multi-turn conversation |
TDQS
Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?
Beyond annotations (readOnlyHint=false, openWorldHint=true), the description discloses cost (~$0.25/turn), the multi-turn session state, the 'ONE hypothesis at a time' constraint, edge verdict categories, and terminal states. This is rich behavioral context not captured in structured fields.
Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.
Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?
Though lengthy, the description is sectioned logically (MULTI-TURN, HYPOTHESIS INTEGRITY, KEY CAPABILITIES, EDGE VERDICTS, TERMINAL STATES) and every sentence carries functional guidance for a complex tool. It is front-loaded with the core purpose and then details the workflow without fluff.
Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.
Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?
For a complex multi-turn tool, the description covers the full lifecycle: session creation, hypothesis testing, allowed/not-allowed patterns, verdict interpretation, and stopping criteria. It references context fields (has_edge, next_actions, edge_verdict) and assumes an output schema, so the agent is fully equipped to use the tool correctly.
Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.
Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?
Schema coverage is 100%, but the description adds value by giving concrete message examples ('test it', 'show me the trade setup') and clarifying session_id behavior (omit to start new). This supports the schema without redundancy, though it doesn't define parameter constraints beyond what's already present.
Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.
Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?
The description opens with a clear statement: "Talk to VARRD AI... Describe any trading idea in plain language and the system handles everything..." It enumerates specific capabilities (charting, statistical tests, backtesting, trade setups) and distinguishes from siblings by emphasizing interactive multi-turn research rather than autonomous execution.
Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.
Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?
The description provides an explicit multi-turn protocol, including 'First call creates a session. Keep calling with the same session_id, following context.next_actions each time.' It also gives allowed/not-allowed examples for hypothesis testing, but doesn't explicitly reference sibling tools as alternatives, so it lacks explicit when-not/alternatives.
Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.
varrd_edgesARead-onlyIdempotentInspect
THE PRIMARY TOOL — start here. FREE at depth=0, always safe to call.
Live feed of THIS USER'S OWN statistically validated trading edges — the ones on their account — running 24/7 against real market data. See which of YOUR edges are firing right now, get trade levels, or audit the full methodology. Scoped to the connected account: if the user has no edges yet, this returns none (it is NOT a general/shared library).
THREE TIERS: depth=0 (FREE — call this first): See which of YOUR edges are firing right now, pending bar close, or actively in trades. Markets and status only — no direction, no stats. Get a sense of what's live. depth=1 ($0.50): Unlock direction, occurrence count, EV/trade, stop-loss, take-profit, hold horizon, and current entry prices for ALL active edges in one request. depth=2 ($1 per edge, $5 for all): Full methodology — the actual formula, setup code, how the edge was discovered, edge decay analysis, complete performance analytics (Sharpe, drawdown, equity curve, profit factor). Machine-readable so any AI can audit the statistical rigor. Includes drill-down sections (free after purchase): setup_code, horizons, analytics, occurrences, and view (interactive chart link for your user, 15 min).
Every edge in this library is Bonferroni-corrected, tested against both zero returns and market baseline, with K-tracking to prevent p-hacking. Out-of-sample validated. Full transparency.
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| depth | No | 0=free (markets + status), 1=$0.50 (direction, stats, trade levels for ALL active edges), 2=$1/edge or $5/all (full methodology + performance). Cheaper than a coffee. | |
| market | No | Filter by market symbol (e.g. 'ES', 'GC'). Omit to see all. | |
| status | No | Filter by status: 'firing', 'pending', 'active', or omit for all. | |
| edge_id | No | Specific edge ID for depth 1 or 2 detail. Omit to see all edges. | |
| section | No | Drill into a specific section of a depth=2 edge (free after purchase). Options: setup_code, horizons, analytics, occurrences, view. Omit to get the overview directory. | |
| direction | No | Filter by direction: 'LONG' or 'SHORT'. | |
| timeframe | No | Filter by timeframe: '60min', '120min', '240min', '480min', 'daily', 'weekly'. | |
| asset_class | No | Filter by asset class: 'futures', 'equities', 'crypto'. |
TDQS
Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?
Annotations already mark readOnlyHint, idempotentHint, and destructiveHint, and the description agrees fully. It adds substantial behavioral context: free at depth 0, always safe to call, pricing tiers, account scoping, validation methodology, and drill-down behavior after purchase. No contradiction with annotations.
Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.
Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?
The description is front-loaded with the most important instruction ('start here') and organized clearly into tiers and validation notes. It is longer than minimal, with some redundant marketing phrases like 'Full transparency' and repeated validation claims, but the structure makes the content scannable and decision-relevant.
Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.
Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?
For a tool with 8 optional parameters, no output schema, and multi-tier pricing, the description is remarkably complete: it covers scoping, pricing, return contents per depth, filter semantics, no-edge behavior, and output sections. An agent has enough context to call the tool correctly and set user expectations.
Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.
Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?
Schema description coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3. The description adds real value by explaining the business semantics of depth tiers, what each tier unlocks, and the drill-down sections, which helps an agent choose parameters. It does not deeply elaborate on market, status, or timeframe syntax, but the schema already covers those.
Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.
Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?
Description opens with a specific verb+resource: it is a live feed of the user's own statistically validated trading edges, scoped to the connected account. It clearly distinguishes itself from a general/shared library and tells the agent this is the primary starting point.
Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.
Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?
Strong when-to-use guidance is present: 'THE PRIMARY TOOL — start here' and 'call this first', plus a clear exclusion that if the user has no edges it returns none and is not a general library. However, it does not explicitly name sibling tools as alternatives or explain when to prefer varrd_ai, search, or get_hypothesis.
Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.
Tool Schema Changelog
Recent tool additions, removals, and schema changes observed during successful MCP inspections.
1 tool update
v0.4.3- Changed
varrd_edges1 field changed- changed
Output schema / (root)Previous value: -{ - "properties": { - "text": { - "description": "Formatted edge data (depth 0/1) or directory overview (depth 2)", - "type": "string" - } - }, - "type": "object" -}New value: +null
9 tool updates
v0.4.2- Changed
autonomous_varrd_ai1 field changed- changed
Output schema / (root)Previous value: -nullNew value: +{ + "properties": { + "context": { + "description": "has_edge, edge_verdict, workflow_state", + "type": "object" + }, + "session_id": { + "type": "string" + }, + "text": { + "description": "Full research result with edge verdict", + "type": "string" + }, + "widgets": { + "description": "Chart, test results, trade setup", + "type": "array" + } + }, + "type": "object" +}
- Changed
buy_credits1 field changed- changed
Output schema / (root)Previous value: -nullNew value: +{ + "properties": { + "checkout_url": { + "description": "Stripe Checkout link for card payment", + "type": "string" + }, + "current_balance_cents": { + "type": "integer" + }, + "deposit": { + "description": "USDC deposit address for crypto payment", + "type": "object" + } + }, + "type": "object" +}
- Changed
check_balance1 field changed- changed
Output schema / (root)Previous value: -nullNew value: +{ + "properties": { + "balance_cents": { + "description": "Current credit balance in cents", + "type": "integer" + }, + "credit_packs": { + "description": "Available credit packs for purchase", + "type": "array" + }, + "recovered_cents": { + "description": "Credits recovered from completed payments (if any)", + "type": "integer" + } + }, + "type": "object" +}
- Changed
get_briefed1 field changed- changed
Output schema / (root)Previous value: -nullNew value: +{ + "properties": { + "news": { + "description": "Personalized market news digest", + "type": "string" + }, + "profile": { + "description": "Trader profile based on edge library", + "type": "string" + }, + "strong_count": { + "description": "Number of strong edges in library", + "type": "integer" + } + }, + "type": "object" +}
- Changed
get_hypothesis1 field changed- changed
Output schema / (root)Previous value: -nullNew value: +{ + "properties": { + "direction": { + "type": "string" + }, + "formula": { + "type": "string" + }, + "horizon_results": { + "type": "array" + }, + "hypothesis_id": { + "type": "string" + }, + "name": { + "type": "string" + }, + "win_rate": { + "type": "number" + } + }, + "type": "object" +}
- Changed
reset_session1 field changed- changed
Output schema / (root)Previous value: -nullNew value: +{ + "properties": { + "message": { + "type": "string" + }, + "reset": { + "type": "boolean" + } + }, + "type": "object" +}
- Changed
search1 field changed- changed
Output schema / (root)Previous value: -nullNew value: +{ + "properties": { + "method": { + "description": "Search method: embedding or keyword", + "type": "string" + }, + "query": { + "type": "string" + }, + "results": { + "description": "Matching strategies with win rate, Sharpe, similarity", + "type": "array" + } + }, + "type": "object" +}
- Changed
varrd_ai1 field changed- changed
Output schema / (root)Previous value: -nullNew value: +{ + "properties": { + "context": { + "description": "Workflow state, edge verdict, next actions", + "type": "object" + }, + "session_id": { + "description": "Session ID for multi-turn conversation", + "type": "string" + }, + "text": { + "description": "AI response text", + "type": "string" + }, + "widgets": { + "description": "Chart, event study, backtest, or trade setup widgets", + "type": "array" + } + }, + "type": "object" +}
- Changed
varrd_edges1 field changed- changed
Output schema / (root)Previous value: -nullNew value: +{ + "properties": { + "text": { + "description": "Formatted edge data (depth 0/1) or directory overview (depth 2)", + "type": "string" + } + }, + "type": "object" +}
7 tool updates
v0.3.4- Removed
autonomous_research - Added
autonomous_varrd_ai - Changed
buy_credits2 fields changed- changed
Input schema / properties / payment_intent_id / descriptionPrevious value: -"Stripe PaymentIntent ID from a previous buy_credits call. Pass this after sending USDC to confirm payment and receive credits."New value: +"For crypto: Stripe PaymentIntent ID from a previous buy_credits call. Pass after sending USDC to confirm." - added
Input schema / properties / payment_methodAdded value: +{ + "default": "card", + "description": "Payment method: 'card' (default, Stripe Checkout) or 'crypto' (USDC on Base).", + "type": "string" +}
- Removed
research - Removed
scan - Added
varrd_ai - Added
varrd_edges
9 tool updates
v1.0.0- First observed
autonomous_research - First observed
buy_credits - First observed
check_balance - First observed
get_briefed - First observed
get_hypothesis - First observed
research - First observed
reset_session - First observed
scan - First observed
search
TDQS
Scored across 9 tools
Most tools have clearly distinct purposes: varrd_edges for live edges, varrd_ai for interactive research, autonomous_varrd_ai for one-shot discovery, search/get_hypothesis for retrieving saved strategies, check_balance/buy_credits for payments, reset_session for session control, get_briefed for news. The only mild overlap is between varrd_ai and autonomous_varrd_ai, but descriptions clarify the difference well.
Naming is inconsistent. Some tools follow verb_noun (get_hypothesis, check_balance, buy_credits, reset_session, get_briefed), some are prefixed with 'varrd_' (varrd_edges, varrd_ai), and 'search' is a bare noun. The mixed prefixes and verb styles create no clear pattern.
Nine tools is well-scoped for a trading research platform covering edge monitoring, AI research, autonomous discovery, strategy retrieval, payments, session management, and news briefing. Each tool has a clear role and the count is within the ideal 3-15 range.
The surface covers the core workflows: discovering edges, researching ideas, retrieving saved strategies, managing credits, and getting news. Minor gaps exist, such as no explicit tool to delete or edit hypotheses, but agents can work around these via the search and get_hypothesis tools.
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