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VARRD

PyPI MCP Transport License MCP Badge

どんなトレーディングアイデアも、約3分で統計的に検証されたエッジに変えましょう。

pip install varrd

何でも質問してください

varrd research "Does buying SPY after a 3-day losing streak actually work?"

varrd research "When VIX spikes above 30, is there a bounce in ES?"

varrd research "Is there a seasonal pattern in wheat before harvest?"

varrd research "What happens to gold when the dollar drops 3 days straight?"

varrd research "Does Bitcoin rally after the halving?"

varrd research "When crude oil drops 5% in a week, what happens next?"

すべての質問に対して、実際のデータ、シグナルがマークされたチャート、統計的テスト、そして明確な回答が得られます。

Related MCP server: QuantConnect MCP Server

得られる結果

エッジが見つかった場合

STRONG EDGE — Statistically significant vs both zero and market baseline.

  Direction:    LONG
  Win Rate:     62%
  Sharpe:       1.45
  Signals:      247

  Trade Setup:
    Entry:       $5,150.25
    Stop Loss:   $5,122.00
    Take Profit: $5,192.50
    Risk/Reward: 1:1.5

エッジが見つからなかった場合

NO EDGE — Neither test passed. No tradeable signal found.

You found out for 25 cents instead of $25,000 in live losses.

どちらも価値のある結果です。


なぜClaudeやChatGPTに直接聞くだけではいけないのですか?

トレーディングのアイデアを適切にテストすることは非常に難しく、見た目は素晴らしいが運用では損失を出すような偽の結果を誤って生成してしまう方法がいくつも存在するからです。

LLM単体では、喜んでバックテストを作成し、美しい資産曲線を見せ、勝率70%だと言ってくれるでしょう。問題は、そのどれもが本物ではないということです。LLMは市場データを持たず、テスト環境も持たず、過学習やチェリーピッキング、あるいは単なる数値の捏造を防ぐガードレールもありません。

たとえLLMに実際のデータを与えたとしても(Claude CodeやCursorのように)、適切に実行することはできません。理由は以下の通りです。

トレーディングアイデアをテストする際に何が問題になるのか — そしてVARRDがどう対処するか:

  • 過学習 — 過去のデータで良く見えるように戦略を微調整すること。VARRDは未知のデータを保持し、一度だけテストを行います。結果を見た後に再実行することはできません。

  • 結果のチェリーピッキング — 50通りのバリエーションをテストし、勝ったものだけを見せること。VARRDは実行したすべてのテストを追跡し、テスト回数が増えるほど自動的に有意性の基準を引き上げます。

  • pハッキング — 「有意な」結果が出るまで数値を操作すること。VARRDは多重比較を補正するため、まぐれの結果が本物として通ることはありません。

  • ルックアヘッドバイアス — 誤って計算式に未来のデータを使ってしまうこと。VARRDはサンドボックス化されたカーネルで実行されるため、構造的に不可能です。

  • 誤ったテストタイプ — フォワードリターン分析が必要なアイデアもあれば、ストップやターゲットを用いた完全なシミュレーションが必要なアイデアもあります。VARRDには、各質問に対して適切なテストを決定する専門エージェントチームがいます。

  • 市場間汚染 — ある市場でテストしているのに、シグナルが実際には別の市場から来ていること。VARRDは市場や時間枠をまたいでデータを分離し、調整します。

  • 捏造された統計 — LLMは自信ありげに聞こえるよう数値を捏造します。VARRDでは、すべての統計は決定論的な計算から導かれます。AIは結果を解釈するだけで、生成することはありません。

  • ATRベースのポジションサイジング — 本物のエッジには本物のリスク管理が必要です。VARRDは恣意的なパーセンテージではなく、実際のボラティリティに基づいてストップロスとテイクプロフィットを計算します。

  • 今何が起きているかを表示する — 検証されたエッジも、いつ発動しているか分からなければ無意味です。VARRDはライブデータをスキャンし、シグナルがアクティブなタイミングを、新鮮なエントリーおよびエグジットレベルとともに正確に伝えます。

LLMはラボのない脳です。 トレーディングのアイデアについて推論することはできますが、制御された環境でテストすることはできません。VARRDはラボです。すべてのテストが追跡され、すべての結果が検証され、誤って不正を行ってしまうような数十の方法が、プロンプトレベルではなくシステムレベルでブロックされる、専用のインフラストラクチャです。


クイックスタート — Python

from varrd import VARRD

v = VARRD()  # auto-creates free account, $2 in credits

# Research a trading idea
r = v.research("When RSI drops below 25 on ES, is there a bounce?")
r = v.research("test it", session_id=r.session_id)

print(r.context.edge_verdict)  # "STRONG EDGE" / "NO EDGE"

# Get exact trade levels
r = v.research("show me the trade setup", session_id=r.session_id)
# What's firing right now across all your strategies?
signals = v.scan(only_firing=True)
for s in signals.results:
    print(f"{s.name}: {s.direction} {s.market} @ ${s.entry_price}")
# Morning briefing — today's news connected to your specific edges
b = v.briefing()
print(b.news)
# "**ES selling accelerates into the open** Three consecutive lower highs..."
# "↳ Your ES mean-reversion setups are live territory here..."
# Let VARRD discover edges autonomously
result = v.discover("mean reversion on futures")
print(result.edge_verdict, result.market, result.win_rate)

クイックスタート — CLI

# Full research workflow (auto-follows chart → test → trade setup)
varrd research "When wheat drops 3 days in a row, is there a snap-back?"

# What's firing right now?
varrd scan --only-firing

# Personalized market briefing — news filtered to your edge library
varrd briefing

# Search saved strategies
varrd search "momentum on grains"

# Let VARRD discover edges on its own
varrd discover "mean reversion on futures"

AIエージェントでの利用

Claude Desktop / Claude Code / Cursor

オプション1 — 直接HTTP (Claude Code, Cursor, OpenBB):

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "varrd": {
      "transport": {
        "type": "streamable-http",
        "url": "https://app.varrd.com/mcp"
      }
    }
  }
}

オプション2 — mcp-remote経由 (Claude Desktop, stdioクライアント):

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "varrd": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["-y", "mcp-remote", "https://app.varrd.com/mcp"]
    }
  }
}

APIキーは不要です。あとはこう聞くだけです:"Is there a pattern when gold spikes after a Fed rate decision?"

OpenBB Workspace

VARRDはOpenBB WorkspaceにMCPサーバーとして直接プラグインします:

  1. Workspaceを開く → MCPサーバーパネルの「+」をクリック

  2. https://app.varrd.com/mcp を入力

  3. VARRDのツールがCopilotに表示されます — アイデアのリサーチ、シグナルのスキャン、戦略の検索が可能になります

OpenBBがデータを提供し、VARRDがあなたのアイデアにエッジがあるかどうかを判定します。

トレーディングボット (Freqtrade, Jesse, Hummingbot, OctoBot, NautilusTrader)

VARRDは、デプロイするに戦略に本物のエッジがあるかを検証します。あらゆるボットで動作します:

from varrd import VARRD
from varrd.freqtrade import generate_strategy

v = VARRD()
result = v.discover("RSI oversold reversal on BTC")

if result.has_edge:
    hyp = v.get_hypothesis(result.hypothesis_id)
    strategy_code, config = generate_strategy(hyp)
    # Drop into your bot's strategies/ folder and run it

ボット

VARRDの接続方法

Freqtrade

varrd.freqtrade がATRストップ付きの実行可能なIStrategyファイルを生成

Jesse

varrd.jesse がATRストップ付きの実行可能なStrategyファイルを生成

Hummingbot

マーケットメイキングにデプロイする前に方向性シグナルを検証

OctoBot

VARRDのMCPサーバーを通じてあらゆるテントクル戦略を事前検証

NautilusTrader

ライブデプロイ前の統計的エッジ検証

パターンは「まず検証、次にデプロイ」です。ほとんどの戦略は統計的テストを生き残れません。25,000ドル失う前に、0.25ドルでそれを知る方が賢明です。

CrewAI

from crewai import Agent, Task, Crew

researcher = Agent(
    role="Trading Researcher",
    goal="Find statistically validated trading edges",
    backstory="You are a quantitative researcher who tests trading ideas rigorously.",
    mcps=[{"type": "streamable-http", "url": "https://app.varrd.com/mcp"}]
)

task = Task(
    description="Research whether RSI oversold conditions on ES lead to a bounce within 5 days.",
    agent=researcher,
    expected_output="Edge verdict with trade setup if edge is found."
)

crew = Crew(agents=[researcher], tasks=[task])
result = crew.kickoff()

LangChain / LangGraph

from langchain_mcp_adapters.client import MultiServerMCPClient
from langgraph.prebuilt import create_react_agent
from langchain_anthropic import ChatAnthropic

model = ChatAnthropic(model="claude-sonnet-4-20250514")

async with MultiServerMCPClient({
    "varrd": {"url": "https://app.varrd.com/mcp", "transport": "streamable_http"}
}) as client:
    agent = create_react_agent(model, client.get_tools())
    result = await agent.ainvoke({"messages": [
        {"role": "user", "content": "Does gold rally when the dollar drops 3 days in a row?"}
    ]})

Raw MCP (任意のクライアント)

# Any MCP-compatible client can connect to:
https://app.varrd.com/mcp
# Transport: Streamable HTTP | No auth required | $2 free credits

8つの統計的ガードレール (インフラストラクチャによる強制)

すべてのテストは自動的にこれらを通過します。スキップすることはできません。

ガードレール

防ぐもの

K-Tracking

同じアイデアの50通りのバリエーションをテスト?有意性の基準が自動的に上昇します。

Bonferroni Correction

多重比較のペナルティ。pハッキングを防止。

OOS Lock

アウトオブサンプルは一度きり。結果を見た後の再実行は不可。

Lookahead Detection

誤って未来のデータを使用する計算式を検知。

Tools Calculate, AI Interprets

すべての数値は実際のデータから。AIが統計を捏造することはありません。

Chart → Approve → Test

統計的パワーを消費する前にパターンを確認・承認。

Fingerprint Dedup

同じ計算式/市場/期間の再テストを禁止。

No Post-OOS Optimization

アウトオブサンプル検証後にパラメータをロック。


データカバレッジ

アセットクラス

市場

時間枠

先物 (CME)

ES, NQ, CL, GC, SI, ZW, ZC, ZS, ZB, TY, HG, NG + 他20種

1時間以上

株式 / ETF

米国株式全般

日次

暗号資産 (Binance)

BTC, ETH, SOL + 他

10分以上

合計15,000以上の銘柄。

MCPツール

ツール

コスト

機能

research

~$0.25

マルチターンのクオンツリサーチ。15の内部ツールを統合。

autonomous_research

~$0.25

AIがエッジを発見。トピックを与えれば検証済み結果を取得。

scan

無料

ライブデータに対して戦略をスキャン。最新のエントリー/ストップ/ターゲット価格。

search

無料

キーワードや自然言語で戦略を検索。

get_hypothesis

無料

戦略の詳細情報を取得。

check_balance

無料

クレジットと利用可能なパックを確認。

buy_credits

無料

Base上のUSDCまたはStripeでクレジットを購入。

reset_session

無料

壊れたセッションを終了し、新しく開始。

料金

  • サインアップ時に2ドル分無料 — 6〜8回の研究セッション分

  • リサーチ: アイデア1件のテストにつき約0.20〜0.30ドル

  • ディスカバリー (自律型): 約0.20〜0.30ドル

  • ELROND council (8人の専門調査員): 約0.40〜0.60ドル

  • マルチマーケット (3市場以上): 約1ドル

  • スキャン、検索、残高確認: 常に無料

  • クレジットパック: Stripe経由で5ドル / 20ドル / 50ドル

  • クレジットに有効期限はありません


実行可能なスクリプトについては examples/ を参照してください:

AIエージェント開発者向け

完全な統合ガイド(ツールリファレンス、レスポンス形式、認証、ワークフローパターン)については AGENTS.md を参照してください。


リンク

Available Tools

9 tools
autonomous_varrd_aiAInspect

Point VARRD's autonomous AI in a direction and let it discover edges for you. Give it a topic and it draws from one of the most comprehensive market structure knowledge graphs ever built — containing ideologies and theories, not statistics — so it generates genuinely novel hypotheses rather than overfitting to what already worked.

BEST FOR: Exploring a space broadly. Give it 'momentum on grains' and it might test wheat seasonal patterns, corn spread reversals, or soybean crush ratio momentum. It propagates from your seed idea into related concepts you might not think of.

Returns a complete result — edge or no edge, stats, trade setup. Each call tests ONE hypothesis through the full pipeline (~$0.25/idea). Call again for another idea.

Use 'varrd_ai' instead when YOU have a specific idea to test and want full control over each step.

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
topicYesResearch topic or trading idea (e.g. 'BTC 240min short setups', 'momentum on grains', 'mean reversion after VIX spikes').
contextNoPrior conversation context — recent user queries to use as research inspiration. Optional.
marketsNoFocus on specific markets (e.g. ['ES', 'NQ']). Omit for VARRD to choose.
test_typeNoType of statistical test. Default: event_study.event_study
search_modeNofocused = stay close to topic. explore = creative freedom. Default: focused.focused
asset_classesNoLimit to specific asset classes. Default: all.

Output Schema

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescription
textNoFull research result with edge verdict
contextNohas_edge, edge_verdict, workflow_state
widgetsNoChart, test results, trade setup
session_idNo

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

The description adds behavioral context beyond annotations: it mentions the tool draws from knowledge graphs, generates novel hypotheses, returns complete results (edge or not, stats, trade setup), and costs ~$0.25 per call. Annotations already indicate non-readOnly and openWorld, and the description aligns with these without contradiction.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is concise (about 150 words), well-structured with a clear opening, a 'BEST FOR' highlight, and a direct comparison with the sibling tool. Every sentence adds value; no fluff or repetition.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's complexity (6 parameters, 1 required, 2 enums) and the presence of an output schema, the description is complete. It covers purpose, usage, output, cost, and alternatives. The output schema handles return value details, so the description need not repeat them.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so baseline is 3. The description adds value by providing concrete examples (e.g., 'momentum on grains') and explaining how parameters like test_type and search_mode affect behavior. This contextualizes the parameters beyond their schema descriptions.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's purpose: 'Point VARRD's autonomous AI in a direction and let it discover edges for you.' It specifies the action (exploring), resource (VARRD knowledge graph), and outcome (novel hypotheses). It also distinguishes from the sibling tool 'varrd_ai' by explicitly stating when to use each.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides explicit when-to-use guidance: 'BEST FOR: Exploring a space broadly.' It also tells when not to use it and what alternative to use: 'Use varrd_ai instead when YOU have a specific idea to test and want full control over each step.' This is clear and actionable.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

buy_creditsAInspect

Buy credits for the edge library and AI research. Default $5 minimum. Free — no credits consumed to call this.

TWO PAYMENT METHODS: card (default): Returns a Stripe Checkout link for your user to click and pay. After payment, call check_balance to confirm credits were added. crypto: USDC on Base. Fully autonomous — no human needed. Three steps: 1. buy_credits(payment_method='crypto') → returns deposit address + payment_intent_id 2. Send USDC to the deposit address (use your wallet tool) 3. buy_credits(payment_intent_id='pi_...') → confirms payment, credits added instantly If you have wallet access, this is the fastest path — fully machine-to-machine.

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
amount_centsNoAmount in cents (default 500 = $5.00). Minimum $5.
payment_methodNoPayment method: 'card' (default, Stripe Checkout) or 'crypto' (USDC on Base).card
payment_intent_idNoFor crypto: Stripe PaymentIntent ID from a previous buy_credits call. Pass after sending USDC to confirm.

Output Schema

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescription
depositNoUSDC deposit address for crypto payment
checkout_urlNoStripe Checkout link for card payment
current_balance_centsNo

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations indicate readOnlyHint=false, openWorldHint=true, idempotentHint=false, destructiveHint=false. The description adds behavioral details: returns Stripe Checkout link for card or deposit address+payment_intent_id for crypto, explains two-step crypto confirmation, and states the call consumes no credits. No contradictions with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is well-structured: opens with purpose and free note, then bullet points for two payment methods with clear steps. Every sentence adds meaningful information. It is appropriately sized for the complexity and front-loads the key action.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool complexity (payment flows, multiple methods), the description is complete. It covers both methods end-to-end, including return values, follow-up actions (check_balance, second buy_credits call), and the free nature. No gaps remain for agent understanding.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Input schema has 100% coverage, so baseline is 3. The description adds valuable context beyond schema: explains the workflow for each parameter (e.g., payment_intent_id used to confirm crypto payment), defaults, minimum amount, and the two payment method flows. This extra guidance raises it above baseline.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool buys credits for the edge library and AI research, with specific verb 'buy' and resource 'credits'. It distinguishes two payment methods (card and crypto) and mentions the default minimum of $5. This fully defines the tool's purpose and differentiates it from siblings.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides explicit when-to-use guidance by detailing two payment methods with step-by-step instructions. It suggests crypto for autonomous scenarios and card for human-in-loop, and references check_balance as a follow-up. The 'Free — no credits consumed' note further clarifies usage context. This is thorough guidance.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

check_balanceA
Read-onlyIdempotent
Inspect

Check your credit balance and see available credit packs. Free — no credits consumed. Also auto-detects completed payments — call this after your user pays via a checkout link to confirm credits were added. If payment went through, the response includes recovered_cents.

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No parameters

Output Schema

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescription
credit_packsNoAvailable credit packs for purchase
balance_centsNoCurrent credit balance in cents
recovered_centsNoCredits recovered from completed payments (if any)

TDQS

A4.5/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Adds context beyond annotations: free, no credits consumed, auto-detects payments, response includes recovered_cents. No contradictions with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Two brief sentences, front-loaded with core purpose, no extraneous words. Highly efficient.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Simple tool with no params and output schema present. Description covers purpose, free nature, and payment confirmation use case. Complete for a read-only check.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

No parameters, schema coverage 100%. Baseline 4 applies; description adds no parameter info but none needed.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

Clearly states it checks credit balance and available packs, and also auto-detects completed payments. Specific verb 'check' and resource 'balance', distinguishes from sibling 'buy_credits'.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Provides usage guidance: free, no credits consumed, suggest calling after payment to confirm credits. Implies when to use, but lacks explicit when-not or alternatives.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

get_briefedA
Read-only
Inspect

Get a personalized market news briefing based on your validated edge library. Profiles your strategies, searches today's news for the instruments and setups you actually trade, and writes a concise digest connecting each headline to your specific book.

Each news item includes a ↳ line tying it to your actual positions and edges (e.g. 'your ES momentum setups', 'your GC mean-reversion edge').

Requires at least 5 strong edges in your library. Costs credits.

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No parameters

Output Schema

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescription
newsNoPersonalized market news digest
profileNoTrader profile based on edge library
strong_countNoNumber of strong edges in library

TDQS

A4.7/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint=true, idempotentHint=false, and destructiveHint=false. The description adds behavioral details beyond annotations: it profiles strategies, searches today's news, writes a digest with connections to positions and edges, and notes credit costs. No contradiction with annotations; the description enriches the behavioral model.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is concise: two short paragraphs with the first sentence immediately stating the purpose. Every sentence adds relevant information (profiling, searching, writing, format, requirements, cost). No fluff, well-structured for quick comprehension.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given no parameters but an output schema (existence noted), the description covers input requirements (5 edges, credits), processing steps, and output format features. It fully prepares the agent to invoke the tool correctly, without needing to see the output schema.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

There are zero parameters and 100% schema description coverage. The description adds context about what the briefing includes (e.g., '↳ line tying it to your actual positions and edges'), which goes beyond the empty schema. Since no parameters exist, the baseline is 4, and the description provides additional value.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's purpose: 'Get a personalized market news briefing based on your validated edge library.' It distinguishes from sibling tools like 'search' and 'varrd_ai' by specializing in personalized briefing generation. The verb 'Get' combined with specific resource 'personalized market news briefing' makes the action unambiguous.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides explicit prerequisites ('Requires at least 5 strong edges in your library') and a cost constraint ('Costs credits'), guiding the agent on when to use this tool. It implies use when the user has sufficient edges and wants a briefing, but does not explicitly state when not to use or list alternatives, though sibling names offer some context.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

get_hypothesisA
Read-onlyIdempotent
Inspect

Get full detail for a specific hypothesis/strategy. Returns formula, entry/exit rules, direction, performance metrics (win rate, Sharpe, profit factor, max drawdown), version history, and trade levels. Everything an agent needs to understand and act on a strategy.

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
hypothesis_idYesThe hypothesis ID (from search or scan results).

Output Schema

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescription
nameNo
formulaNo
win_rateNo
directionNo
hypothesis_idNo
horizon_resultsNo

TDQS

A4.2/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already indicate safe, read-only behavior. The description adds value by detailing return content (performance metrics, version history, etc.), providing insight beyond the annotation hints.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Two sentences, front-loaded with purpose, bullet-like list of return fields, and a closing emphasis on utility. Every sentence adds value.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With a single parameter and output schema present, the description adequately covers what the tool does and returns. Missing error handling details, but acceptable for a simple read operation.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100% with a clear description for the only parameter. The tool description adds no further param details, so baseline 3 is appropriate.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool returns full details for a hypothesis/strategy, listing specific elements (formula, rules, metrics, etc.). It distinguishes from siblings by its specific retrieval function.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description implies usage when an agent has a hypothesis_id, and the schema parameter description specifies the ID comes from search or scan results. No explicit exclusions or alternatives, but context is clear.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

reset_sessionA
DestructiveIdempotent
Inspect

Kill a broken research session and start fresh. Use this when a session gets stuck, produces errors, or enters a bad state. Free — no credits consumed. After resetting, call research without a session_id to start a new clean session.

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
session_idYesThe session_id to reset.

Output Schema

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescription
resetNo
messageNo

TDQS

A4.3/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already provide destructiveHint=true and idempotentHint=true, but the description adds useful behavioral context: 'Free — no credits consumed' and the post-reset step. There is no contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is concise with three sentences, front-loaded with the primary action, and each sentence adds value without redundancy.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's simplicity (one required parameter, good schema coverage, output schema exists, and annotations provide behavioral hints), the description covers when to use, what it does, and follow-up actions, making it complete for an agent.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The only parameter, session_id, is fully covered by the schema description ('The session_id to reset'). The description does not add additional meaning beyond what the schema already provides.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description uses a specific verb 'Kill' and resource 'broken research session', clearly distinguishing it from sibling tools like 'search' and 'varrd_ai' which have different purposes.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly states when to use the tool ('when a session gets stuck, produces errors, or enters a bad state') and provides post-action guidance ('call research without a session_id to start a new clean session'). It does not mention when not to use it, but the context is clear.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

varrd_aiAInspect

Talk to VARRD AI (~$0.25/turn). Describe any trading idea in plain language and the system handles everything — loading decades of market data, charting your pattern, running statistical tests, backtesting with stops, and generating exact trade setups.

MULTI-TURN: First call creates a session. Keep calling with the same session_id, following context.next_actions each time.

  1. Your idea -> VARRD charts pattern

  2. 'test it' -> statistical test (event study or backtest)

  3. 'show me the trade setup' -> exact entry/stop/target prices

HYPOTHESIS INTEGRITY (critical): VARRD tests ONE hypothesis at a time — one formula, one setup. Never combine multiple setups into one formula or ask to 'test all' — each idea must be tested as a separate hypothesis for the statistics to be valid. Say 'start a new hypothesis' between ideas to reset cleanly.

  • ALLOWED: Test the SAME setup across multiple markets ('test this on ES, NQ, and CL') — same formula, different data.

  • NOT ALLOWED: Test multiple DIFFERENT formulas/setups at once — each is a separate hypothesis requiring its own chart-test-result cycle. If ELROND council returns 4 setups, test each one separately: chart setup 1 -> test -> results -> 'start new hypothesis' -> chart setup 2 -> etc.

KEY CAPABILITIES you can ask for:

  • 'Use the ELROND council on [market]' -> 8 expert investigators

  • 'Optimize the stop loss and take profit' -> SL/TP grid search

  • 'Test this on ES, NQ, and CL' -> multi-market testing

  • 'Simulate trading this with 1.5 ATR stop' -> backtest with stops

EDGE VERDICTS in context.edge_verdict after testing:

  • STRONG EDGE: Significant vs zero AND vs market baseline

  • MARGINAL: Significant vs zero only (beats nothing, but real signal)

  • PINNED: Significant vs market only (flat returns but different from market)

  • NO EDGE: Neither significant test passed

TERMINAL STATES: Stop when context.has_edge is true (edge found) or false (no edge — valid result). Always read context.next_actions.

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
messageYesYour trading idea, research question, or instruction (e.g. 'test it', 'show trade setup').
session_idNoSession ID from a previous call. Omit to start a new research session.

Output Schema

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescription
textNoAI response text
contextNoWorkflow state, edge verdict, next actions
widgetsNoChart, event study, backtest, or trade setup widgets
session_idNoSession ID for multi-turn conversation

TDQS

A5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Beyond annotations (readOnlyHint false, openWorldHint true), the description discloses cost (~$0.25/turn), session creation, terminal states (edge verdicts, context.has_edge), and the requirement to follow context.next_actions. No contradictions with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is well-structured with clear sections (MULTI-TURN, HYPOTHESIS INTEGRITY, KEY CAPABILITIES, etc.), front-loads the core purpose, and every sentence adds necessary detail without redundancy.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's complexity (multi-turn, stateful, cost, hypothesis testing), the description covers all essential aspects: how to start/continue, rules, edge verdicts, terminal states, and key capabilities. It is fully self-contained for an agent to use correctly.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, and the description adds significant value: examples for 'message' (e.g., 'test it', 'show trade setup') and explicit instructions for 'session_id' ('Omit to start a new research session'). It also explains how to use parameters within the multi-turn workflow.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's purpose: 'Talk to VARRD AI...Describe any trading idea...handles everything'. It distinguishes from siblings like 'autonomous_varrd_ai' by emphasizing multi-turn user interaction and specific workflow steps.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides explicit when-to-use and when-not-to-use guidance, including multi-turn session management, hypothesis integrity rules ('Never combine multiple setups'), and allowed/not-allowed actions like testing same setup across markets but not different formulas simultaneously.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

varrd_edgesA
Read-onlyIdempotent
Inspect

THE PRIMARY TOOL — start here. FREE at depth=0, always safe to call.

Live feed of THIS USER'S OWN statistically validated trading edges — the ones on their account — running 24/7 against real market data. See which of YOUR edges are firing right now, get trade levels, or audit the full methodology. Scoped to the connected account: if the user has no edges yet, this returns none (it is NOT a general/shared library).

THREE TIERS: depth=0 (FREE — call this first): See which of YOUR edges are firing right now, pending bar close, or actively in trades. Markets and status only — no direction, no stats. Get a sense of what's live. depth=1 ($0.50): Unlock direction, occurrence count, EV/trade, stop-loss, take-profit, hold horizon, and current entry prices for ALL active edges in one request. depth=2 ($1 per edge, $5 for all): Full methodology — the actual formula, setup code, how the edge was discovered, edge decay analysis, complete performance analytics (Sharpe, drawdown, equity curve, profit factor). Machine-readable so any AI can audit the statistical rigor. Includes drill-down sections (free after purchase): setup_code, horizons, analytics, occurrences, and view (interactive chart link for your user, 15 min).

Every edge in this library is Bonferroni-corrected, tested against both zero returns and market baseline, with K-tracking to prevent p-hacking. Out-of-sample validated. Full transparency.

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
depthNo0=free (markets + status), 1=$0.50 (direction, stats, trade levels for ALL active edges), 2=$1/edge or $5/all (full methodology + performance). Cheaper than a coffee.
marketNoFilter by market symbol (e.g. 'ES', 'GC'). Omit to see all.
statusNoFilter by status: 'firing', 'pending', 'active', or omit for all.
edge_idNoSpecific edge ID for depth 1 or 2 detail. Omit to see all edges.
sectionNoDrill into a specific section of a depth=2 edge (free after purchase). Options: setup_code, horizons, analytics, occurrences, view. Omit to get the overview directory.
directionNoFilter by direction: 'LONG' or 'SHORT'.
timeframeNoFilter by timeframe: '60min', '120min', '240min', '480min', 'daily', 'weekly'.
asset_classNoFilter by asset class: 'futures', 'equities', 'crypto'.

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already mark readOnlyHint, idempotentHint, and destructiveHint, and the description agrees fully. It adds substantial behavioral context: free at depth 0, always safe to call, pricing tiers, account scoping, validation methodology, and drill-down behavior after purchase. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is front-loaded with the most important instruction ('start here') and organized clearly into tiers and validation notes. It is longer than minimal, with some redundant marketing phrases like 'Full transparency' and repeated validation claims, but the structure makes the content scannable and decision-relevant.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a tool with 8 optional parameters, no output schema, and multi-tier pricing, the description is remarkably complete: it covers scoping, pricing, return contents per depth, filter semantics, no-edge behavior, and output sections. An agent has enough context to call the tool correctly and set user expectations.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3. The description adds real value by explaining the business semantics of depth tiers, what each tier unlocks, and the drill-down sections, which helps an agent choose parameters. It does not deeply elaborate on market, status, or timeframe syntax, but the schema already covers those.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

Description opens with a specific verb+resource: it is a live feed of the user's own statistically validated trading edges, scoped to the connected account. It clearly distinguishes itself from a general/shared library and tells the agent this is the primary starting point.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Strong when-to-use guidance is present: 'THE PRIMARY TOOL — start here' and 'call this first', plus a clear exclusion that if the user has no edges it returns none and is not a general library. However, it does not explicitly name sibling tools as alternatives or explain when to prefer varrd_ai, search, or get_hypothesis.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

TDQS

A4.4/5.0
Disambiguation5/5

Each tool has a clearly distinct purpose: autonomous_varrd_ai explores broadly, varrd_ai tests specific ideas, varrd_edges provides live edges, search finds saved hypotheses, get_hypothesis gives details, get_briefed creates news briefs, buy_credits/check_balance handle credits, and reset_session manages sessions. No ambiguity.

Naming Consistency3/5

Most tools follow verb_noun snake_case (get_briefed, buy_credits, check_balance, reset_session, search), but some are noun phrases (varrd_edges, varrd_ai) or longer (autonomous_varrd_ai). The pattern is not fully consistent, though still readable.

Tool Count5/5

9 tools is well-scoped for a trading research server. Each tool serves a specific function without redundancy, covering exploration, testing, live data, search, credit management, and session control. No bloat or missing essentials.

Completeness4/5

The tool surface covers exploration, hypothesis testing, live edges, search, details, briefing, session management, and payments. Minor gaps: no explicit tool to manually create or delete saved hypotheses, but the AI-driven flow handles creation. Core workflows are supported.

Maintenance

ActivityMaintained
ResponsivenessSlow

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