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VARRD

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어떤 트레이딩 아이디어든 약 3분 만에 통계적으로 검증된 엣지로 전환하세요.

pip install varrd

무엇이든 물어보세요

varrd research "Does buying SPY after a 3-day losing streak actually work?"

varrd research "When VIX spikes above 30, is there a bounce in ES?"

varrd research "Is there a seasonal pattern in wheat before harvest?"

varrd research "What happens to gold when the dollar drops 3 days straight?"

varrd research "Does Bitcoin rally after the halving?"

varrd research "When crude oil drops 5% in a week, what happens next?"

모든 질문에 대해 실제 데이터, 신호가 표시된 차트, 통계적 테스트, 그리고 확실한 답변을 제공합니다.

Related MCP server: QuantConnect MCP Server

결과 확인

엣지 발견

STRONG EDGE — Statistically significant vs both zero and market baseline.

  Direction:    LONG
  Win Rate:     62%
  Sharpe:       1.45
  Signals:      247

  Trade Setup:
    Entry:       $5,150.25
    Stop Loss:   $5,122.00
    Take Profit: $5,192.50
    Risk/Reward: 1:1.5

엣지 없음

NO EDGE — Neither test passed. No tradeable signal found.

You found out for 25 cents instead of $25,000 in live losses.

둘 다 가치 있는 결과입니다.


왜 Claude나 ChatGPT에게 직접 물어보면 안 되나요?

트레이딩 아이디어를 제대로 테스트하는 것은 정말 어렵기 때문입니다. 겉보기엔 훌륭해 보이지만 실제 운영 시 손실을 초래하는 가짜 결과를 만들어낼 수 있는 방법이 수십 가지나 됩니다.

LLM은 스스로 백테스트를 작성하고, 아름다운 수익 곡선을 보여주며, 70%의 승률을 가지고 있다고 말할 것입니다. 문제는 그중 어느 것도 실제가 아니라는 점입니다. LLM은 시장 데이터도, 테스트 환경도 없으며, 과적합, 체리 피킹(유리한 데이터만 선택), 혹은 단순히 숫자를 지어내는 것을 방지할 가드레일이 없습니다.

Claude Code나 Cursor처럼 LLM에 실제 데이터를 제공하더라도 제대로 수행할 수 없습니다. 이유는 다음과 같습니다.

트레이딩 아이디어 테스트 시 발생할 수 있는 문제와 VARRD가 처리하는 방식:

  • 과적합(Overfitting) — 과거 데이터에 잘 맞을 때까지 전략을 수정하는 것. VARRD는 보지 않은 데이터를 따로 보관하고 한 번만 테스트합니다. 결과를 확인한 후에는 다시 실행할 수 없습니다.

  • 결과 체리 피킹(Cherry-picking) — 50가지 변형을 테스트하고 승리한 것만 보여주는 것. VARRD는 실행하는 모든 테스트를 추적하며, 테스트를 많이 할수록 자동으로 유의성 기준을 높입니다.

  • p-해킹(p-hacking) — "유의미한" 결과를 얻을 때까지 숫자를 조작하는 것. VARRD는 다중 비교를 보정하여 운 좋은 결과가 실제인 것처럼 통과하지 못하게 합니다.

  • 미래 데이터 참조 편향(Lookahead bias) — 실수로 공식에 미래 데이터를 사용하는 것. VARRD는 샌드박스 커널에서 실행되므로 구조적으로 불가능합니다.

  • 잘못된 테스트 유형 — 어떤 아이디어는 선행 수익 분석이 필요하고, 어떤 것은 손절매와 목표가가 포함된 전체 시뮬레이션이 필요합니다. VARRD에는 각 질문에 맞는 올바른 테스트를 결정하는 전문 에이전트 팀이 있습니다.

  • 시장 간 오염(Cross-market contamination) — 한 시장에서 테스트하지만 신호는 다른 시장에서 온 경우. VARRD는 시장과 시간대 전반에 걸쳐 데이터를 격리하고 정렬합니다.

  • 조작된 통계 — LLM은 자신감 있게 들리기 위해 숫자를 지어냅니다. VARRD에서는 모든 통계가 결정론적 계산에서 나옵니다. AI는 결과를 해석할 뿐, 절대 생성하지 않습니다.

  • ATR 기반 포지션 사이징 — 실제 엣지에는 실제 리스크 관리가 필요합니다. VARRD는 임의의 비율이 아닌 실제 변동성을 기반으로 손절매와 익절가를 계산합니다.

  • 현재 상황 표시 — 검증된 엣지도 언제 작동하는지 알 수 없다면 소용이 없습니다. VARRD는 실시간 데이터를 스캔하여 신호가 활성화되는 정확한 시점을 알려주며, 최신 진입 및 청산 레벨을 제공합니다.

LLM은 실험실 없는 두뇌입니다. 트레이딩 아이디어에 대해 추론할 수는 있지만, 통제된 환경에서 테스트할 수는 없습니다. VARRD는 실험실입니다. 모든 테스트가 추적되고, 모든 결과가 검증되며, 실수로 속임수를 쓸 수 있는 수십 가지 방법이 프롬프트 수준이 아닌 시스템 수준에서 차단되는 전용 인프라입니다.


빠른 시작 — Python

from varrd import VARRD

v = VARRD()  # auto-creates free account, $2 in credits

# Research a trading idea
r = v.research("When RSI drops below 25 on ES, is there a bounce?")
r = v.research("test it", session_id=r.session_id)

print(r.context.edge_verdict)  # "STRONG EDGE" / "NO EDGE"

# Get exact trade levels
r = v.research("show me the trade setup", session_id=r.session_id)
# What's firing right now across all your strategies?
signals = v.scan(only_firing=True)
for s in signals.results:
    print(f"{s.name}: {s.direction} {s.market} @ ${s.entry_price}")
# Morning briefing — today's news connected to your specific edges
b = v.briefing()
print(b.news)
# "**ES selling accelerates into the open** Three consecutive lower highs..."
# "↳ Your ES mean-reversion setups are live territory here..."
# Let VARRD discover edges autonomously
result = v.discover("mean reversion on futures")
print(result.edge_verdict, result.market, result.win_rate)

빠른 시작 — CLI

# Full research workflow (auto-follows chart → test → trade setup)
varrd research "When wheat drops 3 days in a row, is there a snap-back?"

# What's firing right now?
varrd scan --only-firing

# Personalized market briefing — news filtered to your edge library
varrd briefing

# Search saved strategies
varrd search "momentum on grains"

# Let VARRD discover edges on its own
varrd discover "mean reversion on futures"

AI 에이전트와 함께 사용

Claude Desktop / Claude Code / Cursor

옵션 1 — 직접 HTTP (Claude Code, Cursor, OpenBB):

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "varrd": {
      "transport": {
        "type": "streamable-http",
        "url": "https://app.varrd.com/mcp"
      }
    }
  }
}

옵션 2 — mcp-remote 사용 (Claude Desktop, 모든 stdio 클라이언트):

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "varrd": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["-y", "mcp-remote", "https://app.varrd.com/mcp"]
    }
  }
}

API 키가 필요 없습니다. 그런 다음 다음과 같이 물어보세요: "Fed 금리 결정 후 금값이 급등할 때 패턴이 있나요?"

OpenBB Workspace

VARRD는 OpenBB Workspace에 MCP 서버로 직접 연결됩니다:

  1. Workspace 열기 → MCP 서버 패널에서 "+" 클릭

  2. https://app.varrd.com/mcp 입력

  3. Copilot에 VARRD 도구가 나타납니다 — 아이디어 조사, 신호 스캔, 전략 검색

OpenBB는 데이터를 제공합니다. VARRD는 당신의 아이디어에 엣지가 있는지 알려줍니다.

트레이딩 봇 (Freqtrade, Jesse, Hummingbot, OctoBot, NautilusTrader)

VARRD는 전략을 배포하기 전에 실제 엣지가 있는지 검증합니다. 모든 봇과 작동합니다:

from varrd import VARRD
from varrd.freqtrade import generate_strategy

v = VARRD()
result = v.discover("RSI oversold reversal on BTC")

if result.has_edge:
    hyp = v.get_hypothesis(result.hypothesis_id)
    strategy_code, config = generate_strategy(hyp)
    # Drop into your bot's strategies/ folder and run it

봇

VARRD 연결 방식

Freqtrade

varrd.freqtrade가 ATR 손절매가 포함된 즉시 실행 가능한 IStrategy 파일 생성

Jesse

varrd.jesse가 ATR 손절매가 포함된 즉시 실행 가능한 전략 파일 생성

Hummingbot

마켓 메이킹 배포 전 방향성 신호 검증

OctoBot

VARRD의 MCP 서버를 통해 모든 텐타클 전략 사전 검증

NautilusTrader

실전 배포 전 통계적 엣지 검증

패턴: 먼저 검증하고, 나중에 배포하세요. 대부분의 전략은 통계적 테스트를 통과하지 못합니다. 25,000달러를 잃는 것보다 0.25달러로 확인하는 것이 낫습니다.

CrewAI

from crewai import Agent, Task, Crew

researcher = Agent(
    role="Trading Researcher",
    goal="Find statistically validated trading edges",
    backstory="You are a quantitative researcher who tests trading ideas rigorously.",
    mcps=[{"type": "streamable-http", "url": "https://app.varrd.com/mcp"}]
)

task = Task(
    description="Research whether RSI oversold conditions on ES lead to a bounce within 5 days.",
    agent=researcher,
    expected_output="Edge verdict with trade setup if edge is found."
)

crew = Crew(agents=[researcher], tasks=[task])
result = crew.kickoff()

LangChain / LangGraph

from langchain_mcp_adapters.client import MultiServerMCPClient
from langgraph.prebuilt import create_react_agent
from langchain_anthropic import ChatAnthropic

model = ChatAnthropic(model="claude-sonnet-4-20250514")

async with MultiServerMCPClient({
    "varrd": {"url": "https://app.varrd.com/mcp", "transport": "streamable_http"}
}) as client:
    agent = create_react_agent(model, client.get_tools())
    result = await agent.ainvoke({"messages": [
        {"role": "user", "content": "Does gold rally when the dollar drops 3 days in a row?"}
    ]})

Raw MCP (모든 클라이언트)

# Any MCP-compatible client can connect to:
https://app.varrd.com/mcp
# Transport: Streamable HTTP | No auth required | $2 free credits

8가지 통계적 가드레일 (인프라 강제 적용)

모든 테스트는 자동으로 이 과정을 거칩니다. 건너뛸 수 없습니다.

가드레일

방지하는 것

K-추적

같은 아이디어의 50가지 변형을 테스트하나요? 유의성 기준이 자동으로 올라갑니다.

본페로니 보정

다중 비교 페널티. p-해킹 방지.

OOS 잠금

표본 외(Out-of-sample) 테스트는 단 한 번입니다. 결과를 본 후 재실행할 수 없습니다.

미래 데이터 감지

실수로 미래 데이터를 사용하는 공식을 잡아냅니다.

도구는 계산, AI는 해석

모든 숫자는 실제 데이터에서 나옵니다. AI는 통계를 절대 조작하지 않습니다.

차트 → 승인 → 테스트

통계적 파워를 소비하기 전에 패턴을 보고 승인합니다.

지문 중복 제거

같은 공식/시장/기간을 두 번 재테스트할 수 없습니다.

OOS 후 최적화 금지

표본 외 검증 후 매개변수가 잠깁니다.


데이터 범위

자산 클래스

시장

시간대

선물 (CME)

ES, NQ, CL, GC, SI, ZW, ZC, ZS, ZB, TY, HG, NG + 20개 이상

1시간 이상

주식 / ETF

모든 미국 주식

일간

암호화폐 (Binance)

BTC, ETH, SOL + 기타

10분 이상

총 15,000개 이상의 상품.

MCP 도구

도구

비용

기능

research

~$0.25

다중 턴 퀀트 연구. 15개 내부 도구 조정.

autonomous_research

~$0.25

AI가 엣지를 발견. 주제를 주면 검증된 결과 제공.

scan

무료

실시간 데이터로 전략 스캔. 최신 진입/손절/목표가 제공.

search

무료

키워드나 자연어로 전략 찾기.

get_hypothesis

무료

모든 전략에 대한 상세 정보.

check_balance

무료

크레딧 및 사용 가능한 팩 확인.

buy_credits

무료

Base 또는 Stripe에서 USDC로 크레딧 구매.

reset_session

무료

중단된 세션을 종료하고 새로 시작.

가격

  • 가입 시 $2 무료 — 6~8회 연구 세션 가능

  • 연구: 아이디어당 ~$0.20–0.30

  • 발견 (자율): ~$0.20–0.30

  • ELROND 위원회 (8명의 전문 조사관): ~$0.40–0.60

  • 다중 시장 (3개 이상 시장): ~$1

  • 스캔, 검색, 잔액: 항상 무료

  • 크레딧 팩: Stripe를 통해 $5 / $20 / $50

  • 크레딧은 만료되지 않음


예시

실행 가능한 스크립트는 examples/를 참조하세요:

AI 에이전트 빌더를 위한 정보

전체 통합 가이드(도구 참조, 응답 형식, 인증, 워크플로우 패턴)는 AGENTS.md를 참조하세요.


링크

Available Tools

9 tools
autonomous_varrd_aiAInspect

Point VARRD's autonomous AI in a direction and let it discover edges for you. Give it a topic and it draws from one of the most comprehensive market structure knowledge graphs ever built — containing ideologies and theories, not statistics — so it generates genuinely novel hypotheses rather than overfitting to what already worked.

BEST FOR: Exploring a space broadly. Give it 'momentum on grains' and it might test wheat seasonal patterns, corn spread reversals, or soybean crush ratio momentum. It propagates from your seed idea into related concepts you might not think of.

Returns a complete result — edge or no edge, stats, trade setup. Each call tests ONE hypothesis through the full pipeline (~$0.25/idea). Call again for another idea.

Use 'varrd_ai' instead when YOU have a specific idea to test and want full control over each step.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
topicYesResearch topic or trading idea (e.g. 'BTC 240min short setups', 'momentum on grains', 'mean reversion after VIX spikes').
contextNoPrior conversation context — recent user queries to use as research inspiration. Optional.
marketsNoFocus on specific markets (e.g. ['ES', 'NQ']). Omit for VARRD to choose.
test_typeNoType of statistical test. Default: event_study.event_study
search_modeNofocused = stay close to topic. explore = creative freedom. Default: focused.focused
asset_classesNoLimit to specific asset classes. Default: all.

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
textNoFull research result with edge verdict
contextNohas_edge, edge_verdict, workflow_state
widgetsNoChart, test results, trade setup
session_idNo

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Beyond the annotations (readOnlyHint=false, openWorldHint=true, idempotentHint=false, destructiveHint=false), the description adds crucial behavioral details: each call tests exactly ONE hypothesis, costs ~$0.25/idea, and propagates from the seed idea into related concepts. It also explains the output: 'edge or no edge, stats, trade setup.' These are not present in the schema, providing genuine transparency.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is well-structured with clear sections ('BEST FOR', 'Returns', alternative tool). It is slightly verbose with marketing phrases like 'comprehensive market structure knowledge graphs ever built', but every sentence carries information. Front-loaded with the core purpose, and examples aid comprehension. A minor trim could improve conciseness, but it is not wasteful.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's complexity (6 parameters, output schema exists, annotations present), the description provides sufficient context for an AI agent to decide when to invoke it. It covers what the tool does, example usage, cost, output summary, and the distinction from a sibling tool. The output schema handles return values, so no further elaboration is needed. This is a complete description.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3. The description adds illustrative meaning to the 'topic' parameter via the 'momentum on grains' example, but does not enhance understanding of other parameters like 'context', 'markets', 'test_type', or 'search_mode'. It does not contradict or significantly add beyond the schema descriptions, so a 3 is appropriate.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's purpose: 'Point VARRD's autonomous AI in a direction and let it discover edges for you.' It explains that it generates and tests hypotheses, and explicitly distinguishes this from the sibling tool 'varrd_ai' for controlled testing. The verb 'discover' and resource 'edges' make the primary function unambiguous.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

It explicitly says 'BEST FOR: Exploring a space broadly' and provides concrete examples of when to use it. It also gives a clear exclusion criterion: 'Use 'varrd_ai' instead when YOU have a specific idea to test and want full control over each step.' This is textbook usage guidance.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

buy_creditsAInspect

Buy credits for the edge library and AI research. Default $5 minimum. Free — no credits consumed to call this.

TWO PAYMENT METHODS: card (default): Returns a Stripe Checkout link for your user to click and pay. After payment, call check_balance to confirm credits were added. crypto: USDC on Base. Fully autonomous — no human needed. Three steps: 1. buy_credits(payment_method='crypto') → returns deposit address + payment_intent_id 2. Send USDC to the deposit address (use your wallet tool) 3. buy_credits(payment_intent_id='pi_...') → confirms payment, credits added instantly If you have wallet access, this is the fastest path — fully machine-to-machine.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
amount_centsNoAmount in cents (default 500 = $5.00). Minimum $5.
payment_methodNoPayment method: 'card' (default, Stripe Checkout) or 'crypto' (USDC on Base).card
payment_intent_idNoFor crypto: Stripe PaymentIntent ID from a previous buy_credits call. Pass after sending USDC to confirm.

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
depositNoUSDC deposit address for crypto payment
checkout_urlNoStripe Checkout link for card payment
current_balance_centsNo

TDQS

A5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Discloses that the tool is free (no credits consumed), returns a Stripe Checkout link for card, and provides a deposit address and payment_intent_id for crypto. It also explains the two-step confirmation behavior, offering context beyond the annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is well-organized with clear headings and numbered steps, making it scannable. Every sentence provides actionable information without waste.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Covers the full payment lifecycle, including fallback to check_balance, exact call sequence for crypto, and the condition of instant credit addition after confirmation. Given the complexity of a payment tool, this is complete.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters5/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The schema already describes all three parameters, but the description adds operational meaning by explaining the two-phase crypto flow (first with payment_method='crypto', then with payment_intent_id to confirm) and the default amount_cents. This makes the parameters' roles clear in context.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool 'Buys credits for the edge library and AI research' and details the two payment methods. It also distinguishes itself from the sibling check_balance by referencing it for post-payment confirmation.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Provides explicit when-to-use guidance: card for user-mediated Stripe payment, crypto for autonomous machine-to-machine flow when wallet access is available. It also instructs the agent to call check_balance after card payment, naming a sibling alternative.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

check_balanceA
Read-onlyIdempotent
Inspect

Check your credit balance and see available credit packs. Free — no credits consumed. Also auto-detects completed payments — call this after your user pays via a checkout link to confirm credits were added. If payment went through, the response includes recovered_cents.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No parameters

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
credit_packsNoAvailable credit packs for purchase
balance_centsNoCurrent credit balance in cents
recovered_centsNoCredits recovered from completed payments (if any)

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Beyond annotations (readOnlyHint, idempotentHint, destructiveHint), the description adds valuable context: 'Free — no credits consumed' and the auto-detection behavior with 'recovered_cents' in the response. This enriches the agent's understanding of side effects and return values.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Three focused sentences, each earning its place: first states the core purpose, second addresses cost, third provides a critical usage scenario and expected response. No redundancy or filler.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

The description fully covers the tool's purpose, usage context, and important behavioral nuances. With output schema available and annotations present, no additional explanation is needed for a zero-parameter tool.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The tool has zero parameters and the schema is empty, so there's nothing to explain. Baseline for 0 params is 4, and the description appropriately mentions the response field 'recovered_cents' which aligns with the output schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description uses specific verbs ('Check', 'see', 'auto-detects') and clearly identifies the resource ('credit balance', 'credit packs', 'completed payments'). It distinguishes from siblings like buy_credits by focusing on checking and payment confirmation, not purchasing.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly states the tool is free and safe to use, and gives a concrete scenario ('call this after your user pays via a checkout link to confirm credits were added'). This provides clear when-to-use guidance and implies alternatives like buy_credits for purchasing.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

get_briefedA
Read-only
Inspect

Get a personalized market news briefing based on your validated edge library. Profiles your strategies, searches today's news for the instruments and setups you actually trade, and writes a concise digest connecting each headline to your specific book.

Each news item includes a ↳ line tying it to your actual positions and edges (e.g. 'your ES momentum setups', 'your GC mean-reversion edge').

Requires at least 5 strong edges in your library. Costs credits.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault

No parameters

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
newsNoPersonalized market news digest
profileNoTrader profile based on edge library
strong_countNoNumber of strong edges in library

TDQS

A4.7/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

The description goes beyond the annotations by disclosing important behavioral traits: it 'Costs credits', requires a specific prerequisite ('at least 5 strong edges'), and explains the process ('Profiles your strategies, searches today's news...'). It also describes the output format with '↳ lines'. These details are not present in the annotations and add significant transparency.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is concise and well-structured: the first sentence gives the main purpose, the second explains the output detail, and the third states prerequisites and cost. Every sentence adds value, and there is no wasted text.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given that the tool has no parameters and an output schema exists, the description is complete. It covers the core behavior, prerequisites, cost, and what the user can expect in the output. No gaps are apparent.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The tool has zero parameters, so the baseline for parameter semantics is 4. The description adds no param-specific information because there are no params, which is acceptable; schema coverage is 100% by default.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's function: 'Get a personalized market news briefing based on your validated edge library.' The verb 'get' plus the resource 'briefing' is specific and distinguishes it from sibling tools like general 'search' or 'varrd_ai'. It also explains the unique value proposition of tying headlines to the user's positions and edges.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides clear context for when to use the tool: it requires 'at least 5 strong edges in your library' and is intended for a personalized briefing. However, it does not explicitly mention alternatives or when not to use it, so it falls just short of the 'explicit when/when-not' benchmark.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

get_hypothesisA
Read-onlyIdempotent
Inspect

Get full detail for a specific hypothesis/strategy. Returns formula, entry/exit rules, direction, performance metrics (win rate, Sharpe, profit factor, max drawdown), version history, and trade levels. Everything an agent needs to understand and act on a strategy.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
hypothesis_idYesThe hypothesis ID (from search or scan results).

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
nameNo
formulaNo
win_rateNo
directionNo
hypothesis_idNo
horizon_resultsNo

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

The description aligns with annotations (readOnlyHint, idempotentHint) and adds behavioral detail about returned data (performance metrics, version history, trade levels), fully disclosing what the tool does beyond safety properties.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is two sentences with clear front-loading. The second sentence is somewhat general ('Everything an agent needs...') but not overly verbose. Minor improvement possible.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the low parameter count, full schema coverage, presence of output schema, and comprehensive annotations, the description fully covers what the agent needs to know about this simple retrieval tool.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, and the description adds the context that hypothesis_id comes from 'search or scan results,' which is helpful for correct invocation. However, no additional parameter-specific details are given.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description explicitly states 'Get full detail for a specific hypothesis/strategy' and enumerates specific content (formula, entry/exit rules, performance metrics, etc.), making the purpose very clear and distinguishing it from siblings like 'search'.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description implies the tool is used after discovery via search/scan ('from search or scan results'), providing clear usage context. However, it does not explicitly state when not to use it or mention alternatives beyond the sibling list.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

reset_sessionA
DestructiveIdempotent
Inspect

Kill a broken research session and start fresh. Use this when a session gets stuck, produces errors, or enters a bad state. Free — no credits consumed. After resetting, call research without a session_id to start a new clean session.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
session_idYesThe session_id to reset.

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
resetNo
messageNo

TDQS

A4.9/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already mark the tool as destructive and idempotent. The description adds valuable behavioral context beyond these hints: it notes the operation is free ('Free — no credits consumed') and that the old session is effectively discarded, letting the agent plan accordingly.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is three sentences long, front-loaded with the purpose, and each sentence earns its place: what it does, when to use it, cost, and next step. No filler or redundancy.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool's simplicity (one required parameter), existing annotations, and an output schema, the description is complete. It covers when to use, cost implications, and the aftermath, leaving no critical gaps.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so the parameter description already explains session_id. The description adds context by specifying this is a 'research session' and explains that the next call should omit session_id, giving the parameter semantic meaning beyond the schema's generic wording.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with 'Kill a broken research session and start fresh' — a specific verb and resource that clearly states what the tool does. It distinguishes reset_session from sibling tools like search or buy_credits by focusing on session lifecycle management.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

It explicitly states when to use the tool ('when a session gets stuck, produces errors, or enters a bad state') and provides a clear next step ('call research without a session_id'). The guidance is practical and unambiguous, covering the primary use case and follow-up action.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

varrd_aiAInspect

Talk to VARRD AI (~$0.25/turn). Describe any trading idea in plain language and the system handles everything — loading decades of market data, charting your pattern, running statistical tests, backtesting with stops, and generating exact trade setups.

MULTI-TURN: First call creates a session. Keep calling with the same session_id, following context.next_actions each time.

  1. Your idea -> VARRD charts pattern

  2. 'test it' -> statistical test (event study or backtest)

  3. 'show me the trade setup' -> exact entry/stop/target prices

HYPOTHESIS INTEGRITY (critical): VARRD tests ONE hypothesis at a time — one formula, one setup. Never combine multiple setups into one formula or ask to 'test all' — each idea must be tested as a separate hypothesis for the statistics to be valid. Say 'start a new hypothesis' between ideas to reset cleanly.

  • ALLOWED: Test the SAME setup across multiple markets ('test this on ES, NQ, and CL') — same formula, different data.

  • NOT ALLOWED: Test multiple DIFFERENT formulas/setups at once — each is a separate hypothesis requiring its own chart-test-result cycle. If ELROND council returns 4 setups, test each one separately: chart setup 1 -> test -> results -> 'start new hypothesis' -> chart setup 2 -> etc.

KEY CAPABILITIES you can ask for:

  • 'Use the ELROND council on [market]' -> 8 expert investigators

  • 'Optimize the stop loss and take profit' -> SL/TP grid search

  • 'Test this on ES, NQ, and CL' -> multi-market testing

  • 'Simulate trading this with 1.5 ATR stop' -> backtest with stops

EDGE VERDICTS in context.edge_verdict after testing:

  • STRONG EDGE: Significant vs zero AND vs market baseline

  • MARGINAL: Significant vs zero only (beats nothing, but real signal)

  • PINNED: Significant vs market only (flat returns but different from market)

  • NO EDGE: Neither significant test passed

TERMINAL STATES: Stop when context.has_edge is true (edge found) or false (no edge — valid result). Always read context.next_actions.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
messageYesYour trading idea, research question, or instruction (e.g. 'test it', 'show trade setup').
session_idNoSession ID from a previous call. Omit to start a new research session.

Output Schema

NameRequiredDescription
textNoAI response text
contextNoWorkflow state, edge verdict, next actions
widgetsNoChart, event study, backtest, or trade setup widgets
session_idNoSession ID for multi-turn conversation

TDQS

A4.7/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Beyond annotations (readOnlyHint=false, openWorldHint=true), the description discloses cost (~$0.25/turn), the multi-turn session state, the 'ONE hypothesis at a time' constraint, edge verdict categories, and terminal states. This is rich behavioral context not captured in structured fields.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Though lengthy, the description is sectioned logically (MULTI-TURN, HYPOTHESIS INTEGRITY, KEY CAPABILITIES, EDGE VERDICTS, TERMINAL STATES) and every sentence carries functional guidance for a complex tool. It is front-loaded with the core purpose and then details the workflow without fluff.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a complex multi-turn tool, the description covers the full lifecycle: session creation, hypothesis testing, allowed/not-allowed patterns, verdict interpretation, and stopping criteria. It references context fields (has_edge, next_actions, edge_verdict) and assumes an output schema, so the agent is fully equipped to use the tool correctly.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, but the description adds value by giving concrete message examples ('test it', 'show me the trade setup') and clarifying session_id behavior (omit to start new). This supports the schema without redundancy, though it doesn't define parameter constraints beyond what's already present.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description opens with a clear statement: "Talk to VARRD AI... Describe any trading idea in plain language and the system handles everything..." It enumerates specific capabilities (charting, statistical tests, backtesting, trade setups) and distinguishes from siblings by emphasizing interactive multi-turn research rather than autonomous execution.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides an explicit multi-turn protocol, including 'First call creates a session. Keep calling with the same session_id, following context.next_actions each time.' It also gives allowed/not-allowed examples for hypothesis testing, but doesn't explicitly reference sibling tools as alternatives, so it lacks explicit when-not/alternatives.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

varrd_edgesA
Read-onlyIdempotent
Inspect

THE PRIMARY TOOL — start here. FREE at depth=0, always safe to call.

Live feed of THIS USER'S OWN statistically validated trading edges — the ones on their account — running 24/7 against real market data. See which of YOUR edges are firing right now, get trade levels, or audit the full methodology. Scoped to the connected account: if the user has no edges yet, this returns none (it is NOT a general/shared library).

THREE TIERS: depth=0 (FREE — call this first): See which of YOUR edges are firing right now, pending bar close, or actively in trades. Markets and status only — no direction, no stats. Get a sense of what's live. depth=1 ($0.50): Unlock direction, occurrence count, EV/trade, stop-loss, take-profit, hold horizon, and current entry prices for ALL active edges in one request. depth=2 ($1 per edge, $5 for all): Full methodology — the actual formula, setup code, how the edge was discovered, edge decay analysis, complete performance analytics (Sharpe, drawdown, equity curve, profit factor). Machine-readable so any AI can audit the statistical rigor. Includes drill-down sections (free after purchase): setup_code, horizons, analytics, occurrences, and view (interactive chart link for your user, 15 min).

Every edge in this library is Bonferroni-corrected, tested against both zero returns and market baseline, with K-tracking to prevent p-hacking. Out-of-sample validated. Full transparency.

NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
depthNo0=free (markets + status), 1=$0.50 (direction, stats, trade levels for ALL active edges), 2=$1/edge or $5/all (full methodology + performance). Cheaper than a coffee.
marketNoFilter by market symbol (e.g. 'ES', 'GC'). Omit to see all.
statusNoFilter by status: 'firing', 'pending', 'active', or omit for all.
edge_idNoSpecific edge ID for depth 1 or 2 detail. Omit to see all edges.
sectionNoDrill into a specific section of a depth=2 edge (free after purchase). Options: setup_code, horizons, analytics, occurrences, view. Omit to get the overview directory.
directionNoFilter by direction: 'LONG' or 'SHORT'.
timeframeNoFilter by timeframe: '60min', '120min', '240min', '480min', 'daily', 'weekly'.
asset_classNoFilter by asset class: 'futures', 'equities', 'crypto'.

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already mark readOnlyHint, idempotentHint, and destructiveHint, and the description agrees fully. It adds substantial behavioral context: free at depth 0, always safe to call, pricing tiers, account scoping, validation methodology, and drill-down behavior after purchase. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is front-loaded with the most important instruction ('start here') and organized clearly into tiers and validation notes. It is longer than minimal, with some redundant marketing phrases like 'Full transparency' and repeated validation claims, but the structure makes the content scannable and decision-relevant.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

For a tool with 8 optional parameters, no output schema, and multi-tier pricing, the description is remarkably complete: it covers scoping, pricing, return contents per depth, filter semantics, no-edge behavior, and output sections. An agent has enough context to call the tool correctly and set user expectations.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3. The description adds real value by explaining the business semantics of depth tiers, what each tier unlocks, and the drill-down sections, which helps an agent choose parameters. It does not deeply elaborate on market, status, or timeframe syntax, but the schema already covers those.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

Description opens with a specific verb+resource: it is a live feed of the user's own statistically validated trading edges, scoped to the connected account. It clearly distinguishes itself from a general/shared library and tells the agent this is the primary starting point.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Strong when-to-use guidance is present: 'THE PRIMARY TOOL — start here' and 'call this first', plus a clear exclusion that if the user has no edges it returns none and is not a general library. However, it does not explicitly name sibling tools as alternatives or explain when to prefer varrd_ai, search, or get_hypothesis.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

Tool Schema Changelog

Recent tool additions, removals, and schema changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. 1 tool updatev0.4.3
    • Changedvarrd_edges1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -{
        -  "properties": {
        -    "text": {
        -      "description": "Formatted edge data (depth 0/1) or directory overview (depth 2)",
        -      "type": "string"
        -    }
        -  },
        -  "type": "object"
        -}New value: +null
  2. 9 tool updatesv0.4.2
    • Changedautonomous_varrd_ai1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "context": {
        +      "description": "has_edge, edge_verdict, workflow_state",
        +      "type": "object"
        +    },
        +    "session_id": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "text": {
        +      "description": "Full research result with edge verdict",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "widgets": {
        +      "description": "Chart, test results, trade setup",
        +      "type": "array"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedbuy_credits1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "checkout_url": {
        +      "description": "Stripe Checkout link for card payment",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "current_balance_cents": {
        +      "type": "integer"
        +    },
        +    "deposit": {
        +      "description": "USDC deposit address for crypto payment",
        +      "type": "object"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedcheck_balance1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "balance_cents": {
        +      "description": "Current credit balance in cents",
        +      "type": "integer"
        +    },
        +    "credit_packs": {
        +      "description": "Available credit packs for purchase",
        +      "type": "array"
        +    },
        +    "recovered_cents": {
        +      "description": "Credits recovered from completed payments (if any)",
        +      "type": "integer"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedget_briefed1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "news": {
        +      "description": "Personalized market news digest",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "profile": {
        +      "description": "Trader profile based on edge library",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "strong_count": {
        +      "description": "Number of strong edges in library",
        +      "type": "integer"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedget_hypothesis1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "direction": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "formula": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "horizon_results": {
        +      "type": "array"
        +    },
        +    "hypothesis_id": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "name": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "win_rate": {
        +      "type": "number"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedreset_session1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "message": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "reset": {
        +      "type": "boolean"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedsearch1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "method": {
        +      "description": "Search method: embedding or keyword",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "query": {
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "results": {
        +      "description": "Matching strategies with win rate, Sharpe, similarity",
        +      "type": "array"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedvarrd_ai1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "context": {
        +      "description": "Workflow state, edge verdict, next actions",
        +      "type": "object"
        +    },
        +    "session_id": {
        +      "description": "Session ID for multi-turn conversation",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "text": {
        +      "description": "AI response text",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    },
        +    "widgets": {
        +      "description": "Chart, event study, backtest, or trade setup widgets",
        +      "type": "array"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
    • Changedvarrd_edges1 field changed
      • changedOutput schema / (root)
        Previous value: -nullNew value: +{
        +  "properties": {
        +    "text": {
        +      "description": "Formatted edge data (depth 0/1) or directory overview (depth 2)",
        +      "type": "string"
        +    }
        +  },
        +  "type": "object"
        +}
  3. 7 tool updatesv0.3.4
    • Removedautonomous_research
    • Addedautonomous_varrd_ai
    • Changedbuy_credits2 fields changed
      • changedInput schema / properties / payment_intent_id / description
        Previous value: -"Stripe PaymentIntent ID from a previous buy_credits call. Pass this after sending USDC to confirm payment and receive credits."New value: +"For crypto: Stripe PaymentIntent ID from a previous buy_credits call. Pass after sending USDC to confirm."
      • addedInput schema / properties / payment_method
        Added value: +{
        +  "default": "card",
        +  "description": "Payment method: 'card' (default, Stripe Checkout) or 'crypto' (USDC on Base).",
        +  "type": "string"
        +}
    • Removedresearch
    • Removedscan
    • Addedvarrd_ai
    • Addedvarrd_edges
  4. 9 tool updatesv1.0.0
    • First observedautonomous_research
    • First observedbuy_credits
    • First observedcheck_balance
    • First observedget_briefed
    • First observedget_hypothesis
    • First observedresearch
    • First observedreset_session
    • First observedscan
    • First observedsearch

TDQS

A4.3/5.0

Scored across 9 tools

Disambiguation4/5

Most tools have clearly distinct purposes: varrd_edges for live edges, varrd_ai for interactive research, autonomous_varrd_ai for one-shot discovery, search/get_hypothesis for retrieving saved strategies, check_balance/buy_credits for payments, reset_session for session control, get_briefed for news. The only mild overlap is between varrd_ai and autonomous_varrd_ai, but descriptions clarify the difference well.

Naming Consistency2/5

Naming is inconsistent. Some tools follow verb_noun (get_hypothesis, check_balance, buy_credits, reset_session, get_briefed), some are prefixed with 'varrd_' (varrd_edges, varrd_ai), and 'search' is a bare noun. The mixed prefixes and verb styles create no clear pattern.

Tool Count5/5

Nine tools is well-scoped for a trading research platform covering edge monitoring, AI research, autonomous discovery, strategy retrieval, payments, session management, and news briefing. Each tool has a clear role and the count is within the ideal 3-15 range.

Completeness4/5

The surface covers the core workflows: discovering edges, researching ideas, retrieving saved strategies, managing credits, and getting news. Minor gaps exist, such as no explicit tool to delete or edit hypotheses, but agents can work around these via the search and get_hypothesis tools.

Maintenance

ActivitySlowing
ResponsivenessUnresponsive

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