Per-venue market-price calibration
pm_data_calibrationScore and compare prediction-market venue price calibration: match each outcome's price about 24h before resolution to the realized result, then view calibration error and sample sizes.
Instructions
Free public per-venue market-price calibration scorecard. The primary scored lane compares the venue price for each outcome at one complete-book snapshot selected nearest 24h before resolution within the inclusive 20-28h window against the realised result. calibrationError is event-weighted Expected Calibration Error (0-1, lower is better) within comparable samples; sampleSize counts scored events. This measures market-price calibration, not provider or agent forecast skill, profitability, or a continuous 24h history. Venues below minSample (currently 30 scored events) appear in pending. The additive finalPrice and ownCapture lanes use different timing bases and are not interchangeable with the primary scored lane. Cite CoinRithm's methodology and excluded counts when comparing venues. No API key required.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
No arguments | |||
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| ok | Yes | ||
| body | No | ||
| httpStatus | Yes | ||
| ledgerStatus | No | ||
| ledgerEventId | No |