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sugukurukabe

japan-real-estate-intel

地価トレンド予測

forecast_land_price_trend
Read-onlyIdempotent

Predict future land prices in Japanese cities using linear regression or moving average. Get CAGR, confidence interval, and buy/hold/caution signals for investment decisions.

Instructions

Forecast land price trends using linear regression and moving average. Returns CAGR, confidence interval, investment signal (buy/hold/caution). 10 prefectures. | 地価トレンド予測。線形回帰・移動平均で将来地価を予測。CAGR・投資シグナルを返す。全10都道府県。

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
cityYes市区町村(例: '名古屋市中村区', '世田谷区')
methodNo予測手法。linear=線形回帰、moving_avg=移動平均外挿linear
horizonNo予測期間3y
landUseNo地目フィルター。all=全地目平均all
prefectureNo都道府県名(和名/英名/ISO 3166-2 コード対応)愛知県
output_modeNoOutput verbosity. compact=TL;DR + key numbers only (default), detailed=full Markdown report | 出力詳細度。compact=主要数値のみ(デフォルト)、detailed=全文レポート付きcompact
includeMarkdownNo

Output Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
cagrYes年平均成長率(%)
cityYes
seriesYes実績 + 予測の時系列データ
landUseYes
keyDriversYes
prefectureYes
riskFactorsYes
trendStrengthYes
markdownReportNo
trendDirectionYes
investmentSignalYes
latestPricePerSqmYes
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare the tool as read-only, idempotent, and non-destructive. The description adds behavioral specifics: the forecasting methods (linear regression, moving average), return values (CAGR, confidence interval, investment signal), and a coverage constraint (10 prefectures). This provides useful context beyond the annotations without contradiction.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is two concise sentences in English with a Japanese translation, front-loaded with the core purpose. Every element (method, outputs, coverage) is necessary and informative, with no redundant or vague phrasing.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the tool has 7 parameters and an output schema, the description covers the core functionality and outputs well. However, it does not explain the '10 prefectures' limitation or mention the 'output_mode' and 'includeMarkdown' parameters, which are configurable. The output schema likely addresses return values, so the description is mostly complete but could be more explicit about constraints.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 86%, so the schema already documents most parameters. The description mentions methods (linear regression, moving average) corresponding to the 'method' parameter and alludes to outputs, but does not detail parameters like 'city', 'horizon', or 'landUse'. Thus, the description adds limited parameter-specific value beyond the schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool's purpose: 'Forecast land price trends using linear regression and moving average.' It specifies the outputs (CAGR, confidence interval, investment signal) and mentions coverage (10 prefectures). The verb 'forecast' and resource 'land price trends' are specific, and the description distinguishes this tool from siblings like 'assess_property_risk' or 'portfolio_optimizer' by its focus on price trend prediction.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines3/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description implies the tool is for land price forecasting but does not provide explicit guidance on when to use it versus alternatives (e.g., 'scenario_what_if' or 'predict_corporate_demand'). No when-not-to-use instructions or exclusions are given, though the context of price trend analysis is clear.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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