Print Expected-Value Evaluator
evaluate_printEvaluate a Pacifica print offer statistically. Compute fill probability, average overshoot, and break-even APY, then get a verdict on whether the shown APY is favorable or negative expected value.
Instructions
Evaluate a Pacifica Print offer statistically. Print pays daily APY while a target-price order waits, but fills you at your target when the 24h checkpoint lands beyond it (often with the market already past your price). This tool uses ~9 YEARS of hourly history (Binance history joined to Pacifica) to compute: fill probability, average overshoot (instant mark-to-market loss when filled), and the BREAKEVEN APY that would compensate it. Pass shown_apy (the % displayed in the Pacifica UI) to get a verdict: favorable or negative expected value. distance_pct is the target's distance from mark (0.5–5).
Measured result as of 2026-08-05: Print is unfavorable in normal conditions (Pacifica implied vol 26-38% vs realized 40-53%). The one exception found is ETH short at 2% distance while the trailing 7-day realized vol is under 24.2% (~+17%/yr, about 3% of the time). print_eval's vol_gate() reports whether that window is open right now.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| side | No | long | |
| symbol | No | BTC | |
| shown_apy | No | ||
| distance_pct | No |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| result | Yes |