Prediction Market MCP
Server Configuration
Describes the environment variables required to run the server.
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
No arguments | |||
Instructions
Guidance the server publishes about itself, which clients place ahead of the tool catalog so the model reads it before choosing anything.
This server publishes no instructions, or was last inspected before Glama recorded them.
Capabilities
Features and capabilities supported by this server
Protocol revision2025-11-25
| Capability | Details |
|---|---|
| tools | {} |
Tools
Functions exposed to the LLM to take actions
| Name | Description |
|---|---|
| prediction_market_estimateA | Experimental probability estimate for a prediction market question. Historical performance claims have not been independently reproduced for this client. Returns probability estimate, confidence, reasoning, and recommended trade direction. Costs $0.05 via x402 micropayment (USDC on Base). |
| prediction_market_sizeA | Kelly-optimal position sizing for a prediction market trade. Uses configured Kelly parameters (α=0.75, conf_exp=1.0); no performance improvement is guaranteed. Applies market filter rules (skip fed/ultra-low/short-duration, boost policy/tech/markets). Costs $0.08 via x402 micropayment (USDC on Base). |
| prediction_market_scanB | Scan and rank multiple prediction markets by tradeable edge. Applies the market filter (skip rules remove low-quality markets, boost rules amplify high-edge categories). Returns ranked opportunities with Kelly sizing and filter status. Costs $0.10 via x402 micropayment (USDC on Base). |
| prediction_market_ensembleB | Full prediction market analysis pipeline — Kalshalyst probability estimation + Xpulse social signal detection + ensemble weighting (0.75/0.25 Kalshalyst/Xpulse) + Kelly position sizing + market filter. Includes the complete prediction workflow with experimental estimation and signal detection. Costs $0.15 via x402 micropayment (USDC on Base). |
| prediction_market_infoA | Get information about the Prediction Market Analyst service — available endpoints, pricing, methodology overview, and how x402 payment works. Free, no payment required. |
Prompts
Interactive templates invoked by user choice
| Name | Description |
|---|---|
No prompts | |
Resources
Contextual data attached and managed by the client
| Name | Description |
|---|---|
No resources | |
TDQS
Scored across 5 tools
Each tool has a distinct primary purpose: estimate for single-question probability, size for position sizing, scan for ranking multiple markets, ensemble for a full pipeline, and info for service details. However, ensemble overlaps with estimate and size by including them, which could confuse agents choosing between atomic and composite options.
All tools follow the same snake_case pattern with a consistent 'prediction_market_' prefix followed by a clear action or noun (estimate, size, scan, ensemble, info). This makes the set highly predictable and readable.
Five tools is well-scoped for a prediction market analysis service, with each tool earning its place by covering a distinct step in the workflow from information to estimation, sizing, scanning, and full pipeline execution.
The surface covers the core analysis lifecycle: service info, single-market estimation, position sizing, multi-market scanning, and an ensemble pipeline. Minor gaps exist around raw market data retrieval or trade execution, but agents can work around these for the stated analysis purpose.