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predict_ensemble

Forecast stock prices and direction using an ensemble of Chronos, TimesFM, XGBoost, and LightGBM models. Enter a symbol to get quantile price forecasts and classification for a chosen horizon.

Instructions

Chronos + TimesFM + XGBoost + LightGBM ensemble。

V1.1 語義:price_ensemble(PRICE_FORECAST 真 quantile)與
direction_ensemble(DIRECTION_CLASSIFICATION)分層;legacy 欄位標 legacy_research_only。

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
periodNo6mo
symbolYes
horizonNo1d

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. First observedv0.1.0

TDQS

C2.2/5.0
Behavior2/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

No annotations are present, so the description carries the full burden of behavioral disclosure. It does reveal that output is split into price_ensemble and direction_ensemble and that legacy fields are marked legacy_research_only, but it does not explain what a caller receives, how the ensemble combines inputs, or what 'true quantile' means operationally. The behavioral picture is partial and underspecified.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness3/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is short and avoids verbosity, but it is structurally fragmented: the first line states models, then a version marker introduces internal semantic labels. It is compact enough to read quickly, yet the organization feels like internal notes rather than a coherent tool spec.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness2/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema and no annotations, the description needs to explain parameters, return shape, and usage context; it addresses none of the parameters and only hints at output semantics. The mention of price_ensemble and direction_ensemble is useful, but it is far from sufficient for an agent to confidently construct arguments or interpret results.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters1/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 0%, and the description does not explain any of the three parameters: symbol, period, or horizon. Since the schema itself provides only names and defaults, the missing parameter semantics leaves the agent unable to know what values are valid or how they affect the forecast. The description does not compensate for the schema gap at all.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose3/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description implies a forecasting ensemble by naming Chronos, TimesFM, XGBoost, and LightGBM)Skip and by distinguishing PRICE_FORECAST from DIRECTION_CLASSIFICATION, but it never states a concrete verb like 'predicts' or 'returns'. It gives meaningful semantic hints about price vs. direction outputs, yet lacks the explicit resource-action framing needed to fully clarify what the tool does.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines2/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

There is no guidance on when to choose predict_ensemble over predict_chronos, predict_timesfm, or backtest, despite these siblings existing. The text mentions internal output categories but provides no conditions, exclusions, or alternative routing. This is essentially no usage guidance.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.