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cricket_find_value_bets

Read-onlyIdempotent

Compare IPL market odds with model probabilities to identify value betting opportunities. Currently returns empty list until a win model is implemented.

Instructions

Compare model probabilities against market-implied IPL odds. Requires THEODDS_KEY.

NOTE: cricket has no calibrated team-strength model wired yet (unlike the football Elo/Poisson path), so this tool currently returns an EMPTY value_bets list — scoring an edge against a neutral 50/50 prior would flag every market underdog, which would be misleading. It still reports how many events were screened so callers know odds were available. For raw de-vigged prices use cricket_get_live_odds. Real edge detection lands when a cricket win model is wired (see cricket_head_to_head).

Args: team: Optional team name to filter events (case-insensitive substring). Omit to scan every IPL odds event. min_edge: Minimum edge (model_prob - devigged_market_prob), 0..1. Default 0.05. Currently informational only (no bets emitted).

Returns: data.value_bets: always [] until a cricket model is wired. data.events_analysed: count of events screened (both teams present). data.model: "neutral_baseline". data.note: why no bets are emitted. meta.estimated: true.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
teamNoOptional team name to filter events (case-insensitive substring). Omit to scan every IPL odds event.
min_edgeNoMinimum edge (model_prob - devigged_market_prob), 0..1. Default 0.05. Currently informational only (no bets emitted).

Output Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
dataNo
metaNo
errorNo
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations (readOnlyHint, openWorldHint, idempotentHint, destructiveHint) are consistent and description adds critical context: empty results, neutral baseline, events_analysed count, and reasoning. No contradiction.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is well-structured with a clear purpose, note, args, and returns. It is front-loaded and concise for the complexity, though slightly verbose with the NOTE section.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the output schema exists, the description explains the empty list, events_analysed, model, and note. It covers all relevant behaviors and meta information, making it fully complete.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so the description's parameter info is largely redundant. However, it adds context for min_edge ('Currently informational only'), which adds some value beyond schema descriptions.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool 'Compare model probabilities against market-implied IPL odds' with a specific verb and resource. It distinguishes from siblings like cricket_get_live_odds and mentions a required key.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicitly notes the current limitation (empty list until model is wired) and provides an alternative: 'For raw de-vigged prices use cricket_get_live_odds'. Also explains behavior for filtering with team and min_edge.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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