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IBM

MCP Math Server

by IBM

holt_winters_forecast

Forecast time series data using Holt-Winters exponential smoothing with trend and seasonal components to predict future values based on historical patterns.

Instructions

Holt-Winters exponential smoothing forecast with trend and seasonality (Domain: timeseries, Category: analysis)

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
dataYes
periodYes
alphaNo
betaNo
gammaNo
forecast_periodsNo
Behavior2/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

No annotations are provided, so the description must fully disclose behavioral traits. It only mentions the forecasting method without details on output format, error handling, computational limits, or side effects. This is inadequate for a tool with 6 parameters and no output schema.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is a single, efficient sentence that front-loads the key information (method and domain). It avoids redundancy and is appropriately sized, though it could be more informative without sacrificing conciseness.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness2/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the complexity (6 parameters, no annotations, no output schema), the description is insufficient. It does not explain the return values, error conditions, or practical usage, leaving significant gaps for a forecasting tool in a crowded sibling set.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters1/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

The schema description coverage is 0%, meaning parameters are undocumented in the schema. The description adds no information about what 'data', 'period', 'alpha', etc., represent or their valid ranges, failing to compensate for the lack of schema documentation.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose3/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description states the tool performs 'Holt-Winters exponential smoothing forecast with trend and seasonality', which specifies the method and domain (timeseries analysis). However, it does not differentiate from sibling tools like 'exponential_smoothing' or 'moving_average_forecast', leaving the purpose somewhat vague in context.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines2/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides no guidance on when to use this tool versus alternatives. It mentions the domain and category but does not specify scenarios, prerequisites, or exclusions, leaving the agent without usage direction.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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