propose_hypothesis
Propose a causal explanation or intervention for a registered problem, committing at least one predicted effect on a diagnostic to enable calibration and verdict tracking.
Instructions
Propose an explanation/intervention for a problem. You MUST commit ≥1
predicted_effect on a REGISTERED diagnostic BEFORE testing — this is
rejected otherwise. Committing the prediction up front is what turns this log
into a calibration signal. Call recall first. To revise a dead end, pass
supersedes rather than deleting it.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| id | No | ||
| plan | No | ||
| papers | No | ||
| rationale | No | ||
| statement | Yes | ||
| problem_id | Yes | ||
| supersedes | No | id of a prior hypothesis this one revises | |
| topic_tags | No | ||
| problem_tags | No | ||
| interventions | No | ||
| predicted_effects | Yes | REQUIRED ≥1: [{diagnostic_id, direction: up|down|none, magnitude_note}]. The FIRST is the primary prediction the verdict keys off. |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
No arguments | |||