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Polymarket Fill Risk

polymarket_fill_risk
Read-onlyIdempotent

Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth. REQUIRES one of market (single-market mode) or event (basket/partition mode). SINGLE-MARKET: pass a market slug/URL + side (buy_yes|sell_yes|buy_no|sell_no, default buy_yes) + size_usd (default 1000 — max spend on buys, target proceeds on sells); walks the ladder and returns top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, and a verdict (clean|degraded|cannot_fill). BASKET: pass an event slug/URL + side (sell_yes = capture overround by selling every leg, buy_yes = capture underround; default auto from partition sum) + size_usd interpreted as settlement notional S (shares per leg; each share pays $1); returns theoretical_sum vs realizable_sum (top-of-book vs VWAP across all legs), capture_ratio, profit_usd at executed size, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs[], max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk naming the legs most likely to strand you unhedged. USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500 — theoretical overround on thin books is not capturable, and partial basket fills convert an arb into an unhedged directional position (the dominant loss mode in real arb-bot P&L).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
sideNoSingle-market: buy_yes | sell_yes | buy_no | sell_no (default buy_yes). Basket: sell_yes | buy_yes (default auto — sell if partition sum > 1, buy if < 1).
eventNoBasket mode: event slug or full polymarket.com URL — checks every leg of the partition.
marketNoSingle-market mode: market slug or full polymarket.com URL.
size_usdNoSingle-market: USD to spend (buys) or target proceeds (sells). Basket: settlement notional — shares per leg, each paying $1 at resolution. Default 1000, clamp 10–1,000,000.

TDQS

A4.8/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint, openWorldHint, idempotentHint, and destructiveHint=false. The description adds substantial behavioral context: it enumerates return fields (top_of_book, vwap_fill_price, slippage_pp, shares_filled, max_fillable_usd, verdict, per-leg fill detail, thin_legs, forced_directional_risk), explains the semantics of size_usd for buys vs sells, and highlights the risk of partial basket fills creating unhedged positions. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is long but structured with mode-specific sections and a front-loaded summary sentence. Every section provides necessary operational detail (parameters, return fields, caveats, usage guidance), though it could be slightly more scannable. Given the tool's complexity, the density is appropriate.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With no output schema, the description compensates by explicitly listing the return fields for both single-market and basket modes, including verdict values, capture_ratio, profit_usd, thin_legs, max_clean_notional_usd, and forced_directional_risk. It also covers defaults, clamping, and the risk of unhedged positions, making it self-sufficient for an agent to select and invoke correctly.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema description coverage is 100%, so the baseline is 3. The description adds significant cross-parameter meaning: market vs event are mutually exclusive modes, side defaults differ by mode (buy_yes for single-market, auto for basket), and size_usd is interpreted as spend for buys, target proceeds for sells, and settlement notional for basket mode. It also mentions clamping to 10–1,000,000, which is not in the schema. This goes beyond the schema's per-parameter descriptions.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description states a specific purpose: 'Realizable-vs-theoretical edge check against live CLOB order-book depth.' It clearly differentiates from sibling tools by prescribing use before polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signals and polymarket_edges trades above ~$500.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines5/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Explicit usage guidance is provided: 'USE THIS before acting on any polymarket_arbitrage SELL/BUY-EVERY-LEG signal or any polymarket_edges trade above ~$500.' It also explains when basket mode is needed and warns against using it for small trades where theoretical overround is likely uncapturable.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.9/5.0
Disambiguation2/5

Several clusters of tools overlap heavily: ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, ask_pipeworx_grounded, and deep_research all answer data questions; entity_profile, compare_entities, and recent_changes all pull company data; polymarket_edges, polymarket_arbitrage, and bet_research all analyze prediction markets. Though descriptions are detailed, the boundaries are subtle and the beta variant is nearly identical to the stable one.

Naming Consistency3/5

Most names are snake_case, but there's no consistent verb_noun pattern: some are bare nouns (disease, target, drug, search), some are verb phrases (resolve_entity, validate_claim, generate_llms_txt), and some are domain-prefixed (ask_pipeworx_*, polymarket_*, target_*). The mixed conventions make it hard to predict tool names.

Tool Count2/5

38 tools is far beyond the typical well-scoped server, and the set mixes Open Targets lookup, a general data platform (Pipeworx), prediction markets, npm package checks, and AI-marketing utilities under the name 'Opentargets'. Many tools are unrelated to the server's apparent core purpose.

Completeness4/5

The Open Targets drug-discovery workflow is well covered: search for IDs, get disease/drug/target profiles, and get associations/known drugs. However, the broader platform lacks some lifecycle operations (no create/update/delete since it's read-only), and the unrelated utilities (generate_llms_txt, scan_dependency) appear tacked on rather than filling domain gaps.