"Qwant" matching MCP tools:

• kelly_size

  quant

  Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".

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• commodity_edge

  quant

  Get today's highest-conviction silver or bitcoin trade signal from the PMP edge model — the Kalshi weekly-silver (KXSILVERW) or twice-daily bitcoin (KXBTCD) strike with the largest model edge, as a trade ticket: entry side and price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge in percentage points, confidence tier, and quarter-Kelly sizing. Pro key required. Use for "silver edge today", "bitcoin trade signal", "is there a commodity edge". Pass tickers[] to check specific Kalshi markets — e.g. paste your Kalshi Pro screener watchlist (returns the signal only if it matches the strike PMP is modeling).

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• edge_alerts

  quant

  Read the edge alerts our models generate on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, and mispricings — as a live feed. Each alert carries feed, tier (SPECULATIVE/MODERATE/STRONG), side, price in cents, model probability, edge in percentage points, and a Kalshi market link. A Pro key returns the feed in real time; without a key you get the same feed delayed 24 hours with the thesis stripped. Every subscriber receives the identical, impersonal feed at the same time — the signals are not tailored to any individual. Filters (feed, min_tier, since) SELECT which alerts you see; they never change the signal content. Use for "any edge on Kalshi", "weather trade signals", "latest mispricings". Impersonal market analysis for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Trade responsibly.

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• get_ai_prediction

  HPSILab Quant Finance

  AI next-day prediction: probability the stock closes UP, a plain buy/watch/sell-lean signal, and how strongly the models agree (consensus). Available to every authenticated plan (Free / Pro / Enterprise); subject to the caller's plan requests/day and requests/minute limits. Args: ticker: Stock symbol, e.g. "TSLA".

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• analyze_stock

  HPSILab Quant Finance

  Aggregate all quant tools into one JSON stock analysis. The tool reuses the existing MCP tools as its data sources, then derives a direction signal, direction score, bullish factors, bearish factors and plain-English summary. If one underlying tool is gated, unavailable or raises an error, the remaining tools still contribute to the final result (status "partial"); if every underlying tool fails, the whole call fails (status "error", isError=True) instead of a misleadingly "successful" empty analysis. Args: symbol: Stock symbol, e.g. "NVDA". refresh: Request fresh IV Radar data instead of using the backend's fresh IV cache. Defaults to False.

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• get_equity_curve

  HPSILab Quant Finance

  Backtest performance of the quant strategy across your watchlist: Sharpe ratio, max drawdown, win rate and total return per symbol. Available to every authenticated plan (Free / Pro / Enterprise); subject to the caller's plan requests/day and requests/minute limits. Args: ticker: Optional symbol to show just one row, e.g. "SPY". Leave blank for all.

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• market_pulse

  quant

  The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Pro key required. Use for "how is the US economy", "macro regime", "risk-on or risk-off". (NFL edges moved to the dedicated nfl_edge tool.)

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• compare_players

  quant

  Compare 2–4 players side by side for a 2026 fantasy draft (standard, half-PPR or full-PPR) — projection, floor/ceiling, ADP, draft round, and value flag — and get a pick recommendation plus which one is the best market value. Free, no key. Use for "<A> or <B> in fantasy", "who should I draft, <A> or <B>", "compare <A> and <B>", "start/draft <A> vs <B>".

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• generate_stock_images

  HPSILab Quant Finance

  Generate stock-report PNG images and return their URLs. This is intentionally separate from analyze_stock so the JSON analysis stays fast and light. The backend reuses the same Growth Engine image generators used by email/social publishing. Args: symbol: Stock symbol, e.g. "RXRX". force: Regenerate images instead of using cached PNGs. Defaults to True so manually requested images reflect the latest available data. types: Optional subset of chart types. Allowed values are "ai_prediction", "iv_radar", "option_pressure", "monte_carlo", and "equity_curves". Omit to generate every chart type.

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• generate_stock_research_report

  HPSILab Quant Finance

  Full markdown research report with five stock-report charts. Pro tool ($0.35/call via x402 for anonymous callers; free within plan limits for signed-in accounts, subject to a monthly report quota). Runs analyze_stock and stock-report image generation concurrently, then renders a presentation-ready markdown report (direction, direction score, bullish / bearish factors, source-tool status, and the five chart embeds). The markdown is returned for display and the same data is mirrored in structured JSON. Signed-in hpsilab users call this within their plan's free rate limits. Anonymous / tokenless agents pay per call via x402 (USDC on Base) when payments are enabled — send the x402 payment in the request _meta. Args: symbol: Stock symbol, e.g. "RXRX". refresh: Bypass the backend's fresh IV cache for the IV-driven modules. Defaults to False. force_images: Force a fresh image render instead of reusing the backend's image cache. Defaults to False.

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• convert_probability

  quant

  Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".

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• nfl_win_probability

  quant

  Turn an NFL point spread and game total into win probability, projected score, cover probability, and over/under probability — using the PredictionMarketsPicks scoring-margin model. Provide the spread (home-favored = negative, e.g. -6.5) and optional total, OR two team abbreviations to auto-derive the spread from the power ratings. Free, no key. Use for "NFL win probability from the spread", "what does a -7 spread mean", "who wins Chiefs vs 49ers", "NFL score prediction".

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• find_arbitrage

  quant

  Scan for cross-platform price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same sports contract (NBA, NHL, MLB, World Cup). Returns each game where the two venues disagree on the implied probability, the gap in percentage points, the WATCH/ARB signal, and which venue is cheaper. Pro key required. Use for "where is the arbitrage", "cross-platform price gaps", "Kalshi vs Polymarket mispricing".

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• scan_mispricings

  quant

  Scan Polymarket contracts for mispricings against the PMP model (a probability swarm). Returns each market where the model disagrees with the price, the direction to take, the edge in percentage points, and quarter-Kelly sizing, sorted by absolute edge. Pro key required. Use for "where is the edge today", "mispriced markets", "what should I trade".

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• nfl_edge

  quant

  Where the PredictionMarketsPicks NFL model disagrees with live Kalshi prices — the actionable edge across every NFL market: game moneylines this week, season win-total futures, MVP, and championship (playoff / conference / Super Bowl) odds. Returns model probability, Kalshi price, edge in percentage points, and the side, biggest edges first. Pro key required. Use for "which NFL games are mispriced on Kalshi", "NFL win total edges", "NFL MVP value", "Super Bowl odds edge", "NFL prediction market picks". Pass tickers[] to check specific Kalshi markets — e.g. paste your Kalshi Pro screener watchlist (applies to the futures / mvp / championship markets, which are ticker-addressable).

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• player_outlook

  quant

  A single player's 2026 fantasy outlook (standard, half-PPR or full-PPR): projected points and per-game, floor/ceiling range, boom/bust odds, consensus ADP and draft round, our positional rank, and whether the model tags him a SLEEPER or a BUST vs the market, with a one-line thesis. Free, no key. Use for "is <player> a sleeper", "<player> fantasy outlook 2026", "should I draft <player>", "<player> projection".

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• get_iv_radar

  HPSILab Quant Finance

  Implied-volatility (IV) structure for a stock: how expensive options are, whether volatility is being squeezed, and whether traders are paying up for upside (calls) or downside (puts). Available to all signed-in users. Args: ticker: Stock symbol, e.g. "NVDA". refresh: Bypass the backend's fresh IV cache and request the latest option-chain pull. Defaults to False.

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• get_option_pressure

  HPSILab Quant Finance

  Option-chain pressure map for the nearest weekly/monthly expiry — Max Pain, dealer Gamma Wall, likely weekly high, and an extreme squeeze target. Args: ticker: Stock symbol, e.g. "SPY".

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• calculate_ev

  quant

  Calculate the expected-value edge on a Kalshi or Polymarket prediction-market contract. Given the current market price (in cents, i.e. the implied probability) and your own probability estimate, returns the % edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP signal with a plain-English read. Use for "is this contract mispriced", "what is my edge", "should I take this position".

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• bayes_update

  quant

  Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the posterior probability and the per-step chain. Use for "update my estimate with new information", "posterior probability", "how does this news change the odds".

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