Talk to VARRD AI (~$0.25/turn). Describe any trading idea in plain language and the system handles everything — loading decades of market data, charting your pattern, running statistical tests, backtesting with stops, and generating exact trade setups.
MULTI-TURN: First call creates a session. Keep calling with the same session_id, following context.next_actions each time.
1. Your idea -> VARRD charts pattern
2. 'test it' -> statistical test (event study or backtest)
3. 'show me the trade setup' -> exact entry/stop/target prices
HYPOTHESIS INTEGRITY (critical):
VARRD tests ONE hypothesis at a time — one formula, one setup. Never combine multiple setups into one formula or ask to 'test all' — each idea must be tested as a separate hypothesis for the statistics to be valid. Say 'start a new hypothesis' between ideas to reset cleanly.
- ALLOWED: Test the SAME setup across multiple markets ('test this on ES, NQ, and CL') — same formula, different data.
- NOT ALLOWED: Test multiple DIFFERENT formulas/setups at once — each is a separate hypothesis requiring its own chart-test-result cycle.
If ELROND council returns 4 setups, test each one separately: chart setup 1 -> test -> results -> 'start new hypothesis' -> chart setup 2 -> etc.
KEY CAPABILITIES you can ask for:
- 'Use the ELROND council on [market]' -> 8 expert investigators
- 'Optimize the stop loss and take profit' -> SL/TP grid search
- 'Test this on ES, NQ, and CL' -> multi-market testing
- 'Simulate trading this with 1.5 ATR stop' -> backtest with stops
EDGE VERDICTS in context.edge_verdict after testing:
- STRONG EDGE: Significant vs zero AND vs market baseline
- MARGINAL: Significant vs zero only (beats nothing, but real signal)
- PINNED: Significant vs market only (flat returns but different from market)
- NO EDGE: Neither significant test passed
TERMINAL STATES: Stop when context.has_edge is true (edge found) or false (no edge — valid result). Always read context.next_actions.