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PolyDesk — Polymarket AI Research & Trading Control Plane

An MCP server that turns Polymarket prediction markets into a structured research and trading workflow — powered by Notion as the dashboard and knowledge base. Zero-interaction automation: check a box in Notion, AI research appears automatically.

Inspired by Karpathy's autoresearch: the AI agent runs iterative research loops on prediction markets, scores them, and writes structured findings to Notion for human review and trade execution.

Screenshots

Market Watchlist (left columns)

Market Watchlist — Edge, End Date, Fair Value, Human Approval, Liquidity

Market Watchlist (right columns) — Research checkbox triggers AI analysis

Market Watchlist — No Price, Research Status, Signal, Volume, Yes Price, Research checkbox

Research Reports Database

Research Reports with Confidence, Conviction, Edge, Fair Value, Iteration

One-Command Setup via Claude Desktop

Call polydesk setup — creates Notion databases, populates trending markets, starts auto-watch

MCP Server Integration

Claude Desktop MCP servers — notion + polydesk both connected

Related MCP server: SimpleFunctions

Architecture

┌──────────────┐     ┌──────────────────┐     ┌──────────────┐
│  Polymarket  │────→│   PolyDesk MCP   │────→│   AI Agent   │
│  Gamma API   │     │  (this server)   │     │ (Claude, etc)│
└──────────────┘     └──────────────────┘     └──────┬───────┘
                                                     │
                                                     ▼
                                              ┌──────────────┐
                                              │  Notion MCP  │
                                              │  (official)  │
                                              └──────┬───────┘
                                                     │
                                                     ▼
                                              ┌──────────────┐
                                              │   Notion     │
                                              │  Workspace   │
                                              │  (Dashboard) │
                                              └──────────────┘

PolyDesk MCP provides Polymarket data, AI research (via local Ollama), and direct Notion integration. Notion MCP (official) provides additional Notion read/write capabilities. Together they create a zero-interaction trading control plane — all from Notion.

Key Features

  • One-command setupcall polydesk setup creates the full Notion workspace with databases and trending markets

  • Zero-interaction research — Check the 🔬 Research box in Notion, AI analysis appears automatically (10s polling)

  • Keyword search — Type a keyword (e.g. "Trump") in a new row, the system finds the matching Polymarket market

  • Local AI — Research powered by Ollama (qwen2.5:14b) running locally, no cloud API needed

  • Human-in-the-loop — AI generates signals, humans approve trades via Notion

Tools (22 total)

Tool

Description

setup

Create Notion workspace with databases and trending markets

scan_trending_markets

Discover hottest markets by volume

search_markets

Search markets by keyword

get_market

Full details for a specific market

get_events

Browse top events (grouped markets)

get_event

Details for a specific event

get_prices

Bulk price feed for multiple markets

auto_research_market

Structured research prompt (autoresearch pattern)

research_with_ollama

Run local AI research on a market

batch_research

Research multiple markets in one loop

calculate_trade

Position sizing, R:R, Kelly criterion

check_positions

Live P&L for open positions

compare_markets

Side-by-side odds comparison

edge_scanner

Heuristic mispricing detector

format_research_for_notion

Generate rich Notion blocks from research

format_watchlist_entry

Format market data for Notion watchlist

sync_notion_watchlist

Sync watchlist with Polymarket prices

watch

Start background polling for Notion changes

unwatch

Stop background polling

validate_human_overrides

Check for human trade approvals

generate_execution_plan

Create trade execution plan

Resources

Resource

Description

polydesk://schemas/notion-databases

Notion database schemas for Watchlist and Research

Prompts

Prompt

Description

setup-trading-desk

Bootstrap the full Notion workspace

daily-research-loop

Run a complete research cycle on trending markets

trade-review

Sync positions and generate P&L summary

How It Works

  1. Setupcall polydesk setup creates a Notion page with Watchlist and Research Reports databases, populated with live trending markets

  2. Auto-watch — Background polling starts automatically, checking Notion every 10 seconds

  3. Research trigger — Check the 🔬 Research box on any market row → status changes to "Researching" → Ollama runs analysis → research report appears in the Research Reports database

  4. Keyword search — Add a new row with just a keyword → system searches Polymarket and fills in market data

  5. Human review — Review AI signals and set Human Approval to "Approved" → system generates execution plan

  6. Iterate — Re-check the research box to run deeper analysis iterations (ratchet mechanism)

Setup

Prerequisites

1. Install

npm install
npm run build

2. Configure Claude Desktop

Add both MCP servers to your claude_desktop_config.json:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "polydesk": {
      "command": "node",
      "args": ["/path/to/polydesk-mcp/dist/index.js"],
      "env": {
        "NOTION_TOKEN": "ntn_YOUR_TOKEN"
      }
    },
    "notion": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["-y", "@notionhq/notion-mcp-server"],
      "env": {
        "OPENAPI_MCP_HEADERS": "{\"Authorization\": \"Bearer ntn_YOUR_TOKEN\", \"Notion-Version\": \"2022-06-28\"}"
      }
    }
  }
}

3. Bootstrap Your Workspace

In Claude Desktop, say: "Call polydesk setup"

This creates the full Notion workspace and starts auto-watching.

4. Start Researching

Just check the 🔬 Research box on any market in Notion. No commands needed — research appears automatically.

You can also use Claude Desktop directly:

"Scan trending markets and research the top 5"
"Find markets about bitcoin and analyze the best opportunity"
"Run the daily research loop"

No Polymarket API Key Required

PolyDesk uses the public Polymarket Gamma API — no authentication needed for market data.

Development

npm run dev    # Run with tsx (hot reload)
npm run check  # Type-check
npm run build  # Compile to dist/

License

MIT

F
license - not found
-
quality - not tested
D
maintenance

Maintenance

Maintainers
Response time
Release cycle
Releases (12mo)
Commit activity

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