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polymarket-kalshi-arb-mcp

polymarket-kalshi-arb-mcp

Polymarket & Kalshi Arbitrage MCP Server

MCP Compatible Zero Dependencies Free Tier Unlimited Pass License: MIT

Real-time Polymarket, Kalshi & Manifold prediction market odds aggregator and cross-venue arbitrage spread scanner for Claude, Cursor, Codex & AI agents.

Looking for a Polymarket MCP or Kalshi arbitrage MCP server? polymarket-kalshi-arb-mcp gives Claude Desktop, Cursor, OpenAI Codex, and autonomous trading agents live probability spreads, order-book volume, and cross-exchange mispricing alerts across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold Markets — with zero setup and zero npm dependencies.


Why Use polymarket-kalshi-arb-mcp?

  • Cross-Venue Arbitrage Detection (kalshi_polymarket_arb) — Scans matching contracts across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Manifold to surface probability spreads and implied arbitrage edges in real time.

  • Deep Polymarket Odds & Liquidity (prediction_markets) — Pulls active Polymarket event probabilities, 24h volume, liquidity depth, and resolution rules by topic (bitcoin, fed, elections, ai, tariffs, etc.).

  • Zero Dependencies & Dual Transport — Pure Node.js >=18 (readline + fetch) stdio binary OR zero-install Streamable-HTTP remote MCP.

  • 2 Free Calls / Day Out of the Box — Works immediately with zero configuration and no API key required.

  • Instant Unlimited Upgrade — Need high-volume production calls? Grab an instant API key at https://agent-kiosk.vercel.app/buy ($1 Starter 7-Day Pass or $5 Pro 30-Day Pass) or pay per request natively via x402 (USDC on Base).


Related MCP server: telekash-mcp-server

Option 1: Zero-Install Remote MCP URL (Fastest)

Connect directly via Streamable-HTTP MCP without installing anything locally:

  • Free Tier (2 Free Calls/Day, Zero Config):

    https://agent-kiosk.vercel.app/mcp
  • Paid Unlimited URL (With Prepaid Pass Key):

    https://agent-kiosk.vercel.app/mcp?api_key=ak_live_YOUR_KEY_HERE

Get an Instant API Key in 10 Seconds: https://agent-kiosk.vercel.app/buy

  • $1.00 USDC — 7-Day Starter Pass (Instant ak_live_... key)

  • $5.00 USDC — 30-Day Pro Pass (Full unmasked datasets across all endpoints)


Option 2: Local npx / Stdio Setup (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Codex)

This package is pure Node.js >= 18 with zero external npm dependencies, exposing only the 2 focused tools for this workflow so your LLM context window stays lean.

Claude Desktop (claude_desktop_config.json)

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "polymarket-kalshi-arb-mcp": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["-y", "github:ralf9090/polymarket-kalshi-arb-mcp"],
      "env": {
        "AGENT_KIOSK_API_KEY": ""
      }
    }
  }
}

(Leave AGENT_KIOSK_API_KEY empty for 2 free calls/day, or paste your ak_live_... key from agent-kiosk.vercel.app/buy for unlimited access.)

Cursor (.cursor/mcp.json)

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "polymarket-kalshi-arb-mcp": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["-y", "github:ralf9090/polymarket-kalshi-arb-mcp"],
      "env": {
        "AGENT_KIOSK_API_KEY": "ak_live_OPTIONAL_PASS_KEY"
      }
    }
  }
}

OpenAI Codex CLI (~/.codex/config.toml)

[mcp_servers.polymarket_kalshi_arb_mcp]
command = "npx"
args = ["-y", "github:ralf9090/polymarket-kalshi-arb-mcp"]
env = { AGENT_KIOSK_API_KEY = "" }

Run Directly via git clone + node index.js

git clone https://github.com/ralf9090/polymarket-kalshi-arb-mcp.git
cd polymarket-kalshi-arb-mcp
node index.js

Included MCP Tools (2)

kalshi_polymarket_arb

Unified Kalshi, Polymarket & Manifold Prediction Market Aggregator and Cross-Venue Probability Spread / Arbitrage Scanner ($0.015 USDC).

Parameter

Type

Required

Description

query

string

Yes

Topic or event keyword to scan across Kalshi, Polymarket & Manifold (e.g., 'bitcoin', 'fed', 'ai')

limit

number

No

Max markets to return (1-25, default: 10)

x_api_key

string

No

Optional ak_live_... 30-day Prepaid API Pass key to unlock the full unmasked dataset

prediction_markets

Query live prediction market odds & real-money implied probabilities (%) from Polymarket and Manifold Markets for any crypto, macro-economic, political, or technology event.

Parameter

Type

Required

Description

query

string

Yes

Event or topic to search (e.g., 'bitcoin', 'fed rate', 'AI', 'election')

limit

number

No

Number of markets to return (1-15, default: 5)

x_api_key

string

No

Optional ak_live_... 30-day Prepaid API Pass key to unlock the full unmasked dataset


Example Prompts

  • "Scan Kalshi and Polymarket for Bitcoin and Fed rate cut arbitrage spreads right now."

  • "What are the highest-volume Polymarket prediction markets on AI regulation and US macro?"

  • "Compare Kalshi vs Polymarket implied probabilities on recession markets and flag spreads > 3%."


Pricing & Rate Limits

Tier

Cost

Quota

Setup

Free Trial

$0

2 Free Calls / Day

Zero config — works out of the box

Starter Pass

$1 USDC

7 Days Unlimited

Get ak_live_... at agent-kiosk.vercel.app/buy

Pro Pass

$5 USDC

30 Days Unlimited

Get ak_live_... at agent-kiosk.vercel.app/buy

x402 Pay-Per-Call

$0.008–$0.10

Unlimited autonomous

Pass payment_signature (Base USDC EIP-3009)


License

MIT © ralf9090 — Powered by Agent Kiosk (Upgrade / Buy API Key).

Available Tools

2 tools
kalshi_polymarket_arbB
Read-onlyIdempotent
Inspect

Unified Kalshi, Polymarket & Manifold Prediction Market Aggregator and Cross-Venue Probability Spread / Arbitrage Scanner ($0.015 USDC).

Inputs: query (required), limit, x_api_key, payment_signature.

prediction_marketsA
Read-onlyIdempotent
Inspect

Query live prediction market odds & real-money implied probabilities (%) from Polymarket and Manifold Markets for any crypto, macro-economic, political, or technology event.

Inputs: query (required), limit, x_api_key, payment_signature.

Tool Schema Changelog

Recent tool additions, removals, and schema changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

Loading tool schema changelog…

    TDQS

    B3.2/5.0

    Scored across 2 tools

    Disambiguation3/5

    Both tools query overlapping venues (Polymarket and Manifold, plus Kalshi in one) for prediction market data, so an agent could be unsure which to call just to get odds. The descriptions do offer a meaningful distinction — one is a cross-venue arbitrage/spread scanner (paid), the other is a raw odds/probability lookup — which helps separate them, but the shared venue coverage creates real overlap.

    Naming Consistency3/5

    Both names use snake_case, but they follow different conventions: kalshi_polymarket_arb is a venue-listing compound noun while prediction_markets is a generic noun with no verb or action cue. It is readable but there is no predictable verb_noun pattern to guide selection.

    Tool Count3/5

    Two tools is thin for the stated scope of aggregating and scanning across three prediction markets. A single focused service could justify this, but the two tools carry a lot of combined responsibility (both multi-venue aggregation and arbitrage), leaving little granularity.

    Completeness2/5

    There is no way to list available markets/events, retrieve details or historical odds for a specific market, or select venues — the surface jumps straight to odds lookup and arbitrage scanning. For a prediction market aggregator this leaves significant gaps that could cause agent failures when it needs to discover what can be queried.

    Maintenance

    ActivityMaintained
    ResponsivenessNo recent community issues

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