Smart-money score calibration
hl_score_calibrationValidates a predictive score by correlating wallet scores with realized forward PnL, reporting Spearman rank correlation and mean forward PnL per quartile to assess predictive power.
Instructions
Out-of-sample evidence for whether the hl_smart_money_score actually predicts anything: Spearman rank correlation between each wallet's score and the realized PnL it went on to earn over the forward window, plus mean forward PnL per score quartile. Verdicts: insufficient_data (not enough resolved observations yet), inverted (significantly NEGATIVE — higher-scored wallets did worse), no_evidence, weak_positive, positive. Only server-selected cohorts enter the sample, so a caller cannot steer this figure. Read this before treating the score as a forecast.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
No arguments | |||
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| n | Yes | ||
| pValue | Yes | ||
| verdict | Yes | ||
| spearman | Yes | ||
| quartiles | Yes | ||
| methodology | Yes | ||
| observations | Yes |