aetre_correlated_posterior_update
Calculate Bayesian posterior mean and uncertainty for candidate quality, accounting for correlated evaluator noise to prevent overconfidence from redundant LLM outputs.
Instructions
Calculates Bayesian posterior mean and uncertainty under correlated multi-agent evaluator noise (rho_corr), preventing artificial overconfidence from redundant LLM outputs.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| api_key | No | Enterprise license key required. | |
| prior_mean | Yes | Prior mean of candidate quality (mu_0). | |
| evaluations | Yes | List of evaluator agent scores and noise standard deviations. | |
| prior_variance | Yes | Prior variance of candidate quality (sigma_0^2). | |
| inter_agent_correlation | No | Pairwise correlation coefficient between evaluator errors (rho in [0, 1)). Defaults to 0.5. |