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christianashworth

horizon-predictive-model-mcp

horizon-mcp-demo-extended

Extends the horizon-mcp-demo with a second MCP server wrapping the Horizon Data Predictive Model, demonstrating the Claudeception pattern — a single Claude agent connecting to two governed data systems simultaneously.

Built as research and reference material for the Horizon Data Partners white paper: The Governed Data Layer: Why AI Agents Fail Without One, and How to Build It.


What this demonstrates

The core pattern: Two governed data systems, one agent, reasoning across both simultaneously.

System

Transport

What it exposes

Tools

Insurance Data (from horizon-mcp-demo)

MCP via stdio

P&C insurance semantic layer — loss ratio, claim frequency, earned premium by segment

list_models, get_model_details, get_metric_definitions, query_data

Predictive Model (this repo)

Direct Python calls

Professional services pipeline prediction model — win probability, fees, margin, milestone timing

describe_inputs, describe_outputs, validate_payload, score_opportunity

The agent connects to both servers simultaneously, discovers what each one exposes, and reasons about how to bridge them — including explicitly surfacing the schema mismatch between the two systems and the governance risks of any mapping it proposes.


Related MCP server: Agency AI MCP Server

The schema mapping problem (Option C)

The two systems use completely different schemas:

Insurance data: product_type (auto/homeowners), state (TX/CA/FL/NY)

Predictive model: ServiceLine (Audit/Tax/Advisory), ClientType (Business/Individual), Industry (Healthcare/Financial Services/Technology/Manufacturing), NewVsExisting (Existing/New), LeadSource (Referral/Competitive)

These fields do not map cleanly to each other. The demo provides a pre-specified mapping for some questions, but Question 3 deliberately asks the agent to reason about the mapping problem before applying it — surfacing the governance risks of cross-system field mapping in a way that documents rather than hides the assumption.

This is the real-world use case: someone has a predictive model and a data source with different schemas, and needs an agent to connect them intelligently.


Project structure

horizon-mcp-demo-extended/
├── data/
│   └── seed_predictive_model.py    # Generates predictive_model.duckdb from scratch
├── mcp_server/
│   └── predictive_model_mcp_server.py  # Model-side MCP server (4 tools)
├── scripts/
│   └── run_two_server_agent.py     # Claudeception demo — two servers, one agent
├── logs/                           # Created at runtime — token logs per run
├── docs/                           # Additional documentation
├── requirements.txt
├── .gitignore
└── README.md

Prerequisites

  • Python 3.12

  • horizon-mcp-demo cloned at the same directory level as this repo

    • The two-server agent looks for the insurance MCP server at ../horizon-mcp-demo/mcp_server/horizon_mcp_server.py

  • horizon-mcp-demo fully built (dbt seed && dbt run completed)


Setup (Windows)

1. Clone this repo

git clone https://github.com/christianashworth/horizon-mcp-demo-extended.git
cd horizon-mcp-demo-extended

2. Create and activate virtual environment

py -3.12 -m venv .venv
.venv\Scripts\activate

3. Install dependencies

python -m pip install --upgrade pip
pip install -r requirements.txt

4. Generate the predictive model database

python data/seed_predictive_model.py

This generates data/predictive_model.duckdb — a DuckDB replica of the SQL Server model's trained segment estimates. Takes about 30 seconds.

5. Run the two-server demo

$env:ANTHROPIC_API_KEY = "your-api-key-here"
python scripts/run_two_server_agent.py

Demo questions

#

Question type

Servers used

1

Model understanding — what does the predictive model need?

Predictive Model only

2

Governed data query — insurance loss ratios by segment

Insurance Data only

3

Schema mapping surfaced — reason about mapping insurance fields to model inputs before scoring

Both

4

Cross-server analysis — score all homeowners segments and combine with loss ratio data

Both

5

Governance reflection — what decisions need to be made before using this mapping in production?

Both


Predictive model input contract

Field

Type

Allowed values

Notes

ServiceLine

string

Audit, Tax, Advisory

Required. Highest priority — dropped last.

ClientType

string

Business, Individual

Required

Industry

string

Healthcare, Financial Services, Technology, Manufacturing

Optional (nullable for Individuals)

NewVsExisting

string

Existing, New

Required

LeadSource

string

Referral, Competitive

Required. Lowest priority — dropped first.

Predictive model outputs

Output

Description

WinPct

Probability of winning (0.0–1.0)

NetFees

Estimated net fees in USD if won

MarginPct

Estimated margin percentage

DaysSellToStart

Estimated days from contract signing to work start

DaysStartTo50Pct

Estimated days from work start to 50% completion

DaysStartTo100Pct

Estimated days from work start to 100% completion


Notes

  • The predictive model database (data/predictive_model.duckdb) is excluded from version control — generated locally by the seed script.

  • The predictive model tools run as direct Python function calls — this avoids a Windows asyncio/anyio compatibility issue with nested stdio MCP clients while preserving the same agent behavior.

  • Token usage is logged per question per server in logs/two_server_run_<timestamp>.json.

  • The Claudeception pattern works with any MCP-compatible agent, not just Claude — the two servers are independent and do not communicate with each other directly.

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