varrd_ai
Test a single trading hypothesis by describing it in plain language. The system loads market data, charts the pattern, runs statistical tests, and provides exact entry, stop, and target prices.
Instructions
Talk to VARRD AI (~$0.25/turn). Describe any trading idea in plain language and the system handles everything — loading decades of market data, charting your pattern, running statistical tests, backtesting with stops, and generating exact trade setups.
MULTI-TURN: First call creates a session. Keep calling with the same session_id, following context.next_actions each time.
Your idea -> VARRD charts pattern
'test it' -> statistical test (event study or backtest)
'show me the trade setup' -> exact entry/stop/target prices
HYPOTHESIS INTEGRITY (critical): VARRD tests ONE hypothesis at a time — one formula, one setup. Never combine multiple setups into one formula or ask to 'test all' — each idea must be tested as a separate hypothesis for the statistics to be valid. Say 'start a new hypothesis' between ideas to reset cleanly.
ALLOWED: Test the SAME setup across multiple markets ('test this on ES, NQ, and CL') — same formula, different data.
NOT ALLOWED: Test multiple DIFFERENT formulas/setups at once — each is a separate hypothesis requiring its own chart-test-result cycle. If ELROND council returns 4 setups, test each one separately: chart setup 1 -> test -> results -> 'start new hypothesis' -> chart setup 2 -> etc.
KEY CAPABILITIES you can ask for:
'Use the ELROND council on [market]' -> 8 expert investigators
'Optimize the stop loss and take profit' -> SL/TP grid search
'Test this on ES, NQ, and CL' -> multi-market testing
'Simulate trading this with 1.5 ATR stop' -> backtest with stops
EDGE VERDICTS in context.edge_verdict after testing:
STRONG EDGE: Significant vs zero AND vs market baseline
MARGINAL: Significant vs zero only (beats nothing, but real signal)
PINNED: Significant vs market only (flat returns but different from market)
NO EDGE: Neither significant test passed
TERMINAL STATES: Stop when context.has_edge is true (edge found) or false (no edge — valid result). Always read context.next_actions.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| message | Yes | Your trading idea, research question, or instruction (e.g. 'test it', 'show trade setup'). | |
| session_id | No | Session ID from a previous call. Omit to start a new research session. |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| text | No | AI response text | |
| context | No | Workflow state, edge verdict, next actions | |
| widgets | No | Chart, event study, backtest, or trade setup widgets | |
| session_id | No | Session ID for multi-turn conversation |