List current prediction markets from Kalshi and Polymarket.

Args: source: Filter by platform: "kalshi", "polymarket", or "" for all. limit: Maximum number of markets to return (1-100).

Get detailed information about a specific prediction market.

Args: market_id: Platform-specific market identifier (e.g. Kalshi ticker or Polymarket slug). source: Platform hint: "kalshi", "polymarket", or "" to search both.

Search prediction markets by keyword in market title.

Args: query: Search query string to match against market titles. limit: Maximum number of results to return.

Get price history for a prediction market over a configurable period.

Args: platform: Platform: "kalshi" or "polymarket". market_id: Platform-specific market identifier. period: History window: "48h", "7d", or "30d". max_points: Maximum data points to return.

Get resolution intelligence for a market — time urgency, mechanism, theta estimate.

Args: platform: Platform: "kalshi" or "polymarket". market_id: Platform-specific market identifier.

Get execution guidance for a market — spread analysis, slippage estimate, order recommendation.

Args: platform: Platform: "kalshi" or "polymarket". market_id: Platform-specific market identifier.

Batch screen markets by score, volume, or specific IDs.

Returns scored markets with an action recommendation: "analyze", "watch", or "skip".

Args: market_ids: Optional list of specific market IDs to screen. platform: Filter by platform: "kalshi", "polymarket", or "" for all. min_volume_24h: Minimum 24h volume filter. min_score: Minimum composite score filter. limit: Maximum number of results to return.

Get signal accuracy and calibration metrics — Brier score, hit rates, total signals.

Args: category: Filter by category (e.g. "crypto", "politics") or "" for all. period: Time period: "7d", "30d", "90d", or "all". mode: Trading mode: "shadow" or "live".

Start a deep research analysis pipeline for a prediction market bet.

Returns immediately with an analysis_id. Poll with check_analysis_status every 5 seconds until complete, then retrieve results with get_analysis.

Args: bet_text: Description of the bet or market question to analyze. platform: Source platform hint: "kalshi", "polymarket", or "".

Check the current status of a running or completed analysis.

Args: analysis_id: Analysis identifier returned by analyze_market.

Retrieve the full structured analysis result for a completed analysis.

Includes probability estimate, edge assessment, scenarios, key factors, risks, and trading recommendation.

Args: analysis_id: Analysis identifier for a completed analysis.

List recent analyses with summary information.

Args: limit: Maximum number of analyses to return.

Run a full analysis and return a strategy signal with causal decomposition.

This is a blocking call that takes 30-90 seconds. For async control, use analyze_market + check_analysis_status + get_analysis instead.

Args: market_query: Description of the bet or market question to analyze. risk_limit: Reserved for position sizing constraints.

Get a portfolio-aware strategy signal with position context and correlation analysis.

Args: market_query: Description of the bet or market question to analyze. portfolio: Optional list of current positions (dicts with ticker, side, size_usd). bankroll_usd: Total bankroll in USD for position sizing. max_position_pct: Maximum fraction of bankroll per position.

Get consensus probability from aggregated agent trades.

Args: market_id: Platform-specific market identifier. platform: Platform: "kalshi" or "polymarket". period: Lookback period: "48h", "7d", or "30d".

Get cross-platform arbitrage opportunities between Kalshi and Polymarket (cached).

Args: min_spread: Minimum spread threshold (0.0-1.0). Default 0.02 (2%).

Run a fresh cross-platform arbitrage scan (may take 10-30 seconds).

Args: min_spread: Minimum spread threshold (0.0-1.0). Default 0.02 (2%).

Compute cross-market correlation graph for portfolio diversification analysis.

Args: market_ids: List of market IDs to correlate (minimum 2). platform: Platform: "kalshi" or "polymarket". period: Lookback period: "48h", "7d", or "30d".

Place a paper (shadow) trade on a prediction market for tracking purposes.

Args: ticker: Market ticker symbol (e.g. "KXBTC-100K"). side: Trade direction: "yes" or "no". size_usd: Trade size in USD.

Report a trade for consensus probability aggregation.

Args: market_id: Platform-specific market identifier. platform: Platform: "kalshi" or "polymarket". side: Trade direction: "yes" or "no". size_usd: Trade size in USD. price: Execution price (0.0-1.0).

Get current portfolio positions and performance summary.

Args: mode: Portfolio mode: "shadow" for paper trades, "live" for real trades.

Get aggregate trading performance statistics.

Args: mode: Portfolio mode: "shadow" for paper trades, "live" for real trades.

Check all open trades for market resolution and update P&L.

Fetch fresh market data from a platform scraper.

Args: source: Which scraper to run: "kalshi", "polymarket", or "arbitrage".

Register a webhook for real-time event notifications.

Args: url: HTTPS URL to receive POST notifications. events: Event types: "whale_alert", "price_shift", "analysis_complete". secret: Optional shared secret for HMAC signature verification.

List registered webhooks.

Remove a registered webhook.

Args: webhook_id: Webhook identifier returned by create_webhook.