Market Intelligence MCP Server

Recession probability, sector rotation, institutional positioning, macro cascade scenario analysis, real estate calculators, and real-time economic data — for Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor, and any MCP client.

Powered by the BullrunData API.

Quick Start

Claude Desktop

Add to your claude_desktop_config.json:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "market-intelligence": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["-y", "@bullrundata/market-intelligence"],
      "env": {
        "BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY": "your-api-key"
      }
    }
  }
}

Claude Code

claude mcp add market-intelligence -- npx -y @bullrundata/market-intelligence

Get Your API Key

Sign up free at bullrundata.com — 100 calls/day, no credit card required.

Available Tools (23)

Macro Intelligence

Markets & Institutional

Real Estate Calculators

Economic Data

Cascade Engine (Macro Scenario Analysis)

Available Catalysts: Oil Supply Shock, Dollar Liquidity Squeeze, Fed Emergency Rate Cut, US Recession, China-Taiwan Escalation, Yield Curve Inversion, Credit Market Freeze, EM Currency Crisis, Trade War Escalation, Sovereign Debt Crisis

Example Conversations

"What's the current recession risk?"

Claude uses recession_probability and returns:

Current recession probability is 37.9% (moderate risk). Fed stance: neutral. Market regime: mid-cycle. 0 of 4 coincident indicators confirming. Recommendation: Mixed signals require caution. Begin defensive rotation.

"Is this a good time to buy an investment property at $450K?"

Claude uses investment_property_analysis + interest_rates:

At $450K with 20% down at 7%, monthly cash flow is $287. Cap rate: 5.3%. Cash-on-cash: 4.2%. DSCR: 1.18 (healthy). Current 30Y mortgage rate: 6.38%.

"What's the market risk-on/risk-off signal?"

Claude uses sectors_rotation + institutional_cftc:

Sector rotation signal: RISK_ON. Cyclical sectors leading (XLK +19.7%, XLY +7.2%) vs defensive lagging (XLU -0.5%, XLV -2.6%). Rotation spread +4.4. CFTC institutional positioning: e-mini S&P long, gold short — risk-seeking. Playbook: stay overweight cyclicals, watch for rotation breakdown.

"What happens if oil hits $120?"

Claude uses cascade_analysis + sectors_rotation:

Oil Supply Shock cascade: Dollar demand surges (mechanical) -> Asian FX reserves drain (likely, weeks) -> Asian equity outflows (likely) -> Forced rate hikes in Asia (probable, months). Current sector rotation: RISK_ON, but energy (XLE) lagging at -3.6% suggests market hasn't priced supply risk yet. Playbook: inflation hedges (XLE, TIP) and cash reserves. Watch Fed swap line usage for systemic signal.

Configuration

Pricing

Troubleshooting

Tools don't appear in Claude after install

1. Confirm the MCP server is registered: in Claude Desktop, check Settings → Connectors (or Developer) for market-intelligence. In Claude Code, run claude mcp list.

2. Restart Claude Desktop fully (quit, not just close window) — connector changes don't hot-reload.

3. Verify your BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY env var is set and valid. Without it, tools fail at first call.

4. If using the remote server (https://market.bullrundata.com/mcp) directly, complete the OAuth flow in your browser when prompted — Claude needs the bearer token before it can call tools.

401 Unauthorized from a tool

Your API key is missing, expired, or inactive. Get a fresh one at bullrundata.com/login. For the remote server flow, re-authenticate via the OAuth screen; the connector auto-provisions a free-tier key on first connect.

429 Too Many Requests

You hit your daily rate limit. Limits reset at 00:00 UTC.

Upgrade at bullrundata.com/pricing or wait for the UTC reset.

OAuth flow stuck or times out (remote server)

The remote server uses GitHub OAuth. If the redirect hangs:

1. Confirm cookies and pop-ups are allowed for market.bullrundata.com and claude.ai

2. Try authorizing in an incognito window (clears cached OAuth state)

3. Check that https://market.bullrundata.com/.well-known/oauth-authorization-server returns 200 in your browser

First request is slow (~2–4 seconds)

Vercel cold-start latency on the serverless function. Subsequent requests in the same session should respond in <500ms.

cascade_analysis returns "live data unavailable"

The cascade tool optionally enriches with live BullrunData market data. If the upstream API is briefly unreachable, you'll still get the full catalyst tree — only the live overlay is skipped. Pass include_live_data: false to skip the live fetch entirely.

Tool returns stale data

Most economic indicators refresh on FRED's release schedule (daily for Treasury rates and equity indicators; monthly for CPI, employment, housing). Check data_freshness in dashboard_summary for the last refresh timestamp.

Still stuck

Open an issue at GitHub Issues or email support@bullrundata.com with: tool name, full error message, and approximate timestamp.

Support

• Website: bullrundata.com

• Docs: bullrundata.com/docs

• Issues: GitHub Issues

License

MIT