Market Intelligence MCP
OfficialMarket Intelligence MCP Server
Recession probability, capital rotation, macro cascade scenario analysis, investment calculators, and real-time economic data — for Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor, and any MCP client.
Powered by the BullrunData API.
Quick Start
Claude Desktop
Add to your claude_desktop_config.json:
{
"mcpServers": {
"market-intelligence": {
"command": "npx",
"args": ["-y", "@bullrundata/market-intelligence"],
"env": {
"BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY": "your-api-key"
}
}
}
}Claude Code
claude mcp add market-intelligence -- npx -y @bullrundata/market-intelligenceGet Your API Key
Sign up free at bullrundata.com — 100 calls/day, no credit card required.
Available Tools (23)
Recession Intelligence
Tool | Description |
| Current recession probability (0-95%) from 15-indicator weighted model |
| All model indicators with scores and values |
| Federal Reserve policy stance and weight impacts |
| Market cycle phase (early/mid/late/recession) |
| 4 coincident indicators confirming or denying signals |
| Sahm Rule calculation — predicted every recession since 1970 |
Capital Rotation
Tool | Description |
| Risk-on/risk-off composite (-100 to +100) from 9 macro instruments |
| All instruments with prices, signals, and scores |
| Correlation breakdowns and momentum shifts |
Investment Calculators
Tool | Description |
| Rental property analysis: cap rate, DSCR, cash flow, 1% rule |
| BRRRR deal scoring (0-100) with 70% rule and full breakdown |
Economic Data
Tool | Description |
| Any economic indicator by series ID (GDP, CPI, UNRATE, etc.) |
| Search available indicators by keyword |
| Fed funds, treasury yields, mortgage rates |
| CPI, PCE, breakeven inflation, expectations |
| Unemployment, payrolls, claims, JOLTS |
| Mortgage rates, starts, permits, home prices |
| Yield spreads and inversion detection |
| VIX, financial conditions, stress, consumer sentiment |
Cascade Engine (Macro Scenario Analysis)
Tool | Description |
| List all 10 macro catalyst scenarios |
| Full chain reaction for a catalyst with live data enrichment |
| Search catalysts by keyword (e.g., "oil", "dollar", "china") |
| Filter by category: geopolitical, monetary, credit, commodity, currency, structural |
Available Catalysts: Oil Supply Shock, Dollar Liquidity Squeeze, Fed Emergency Rate Cut, US Recession, China-Taiwan Escalation, Yield Curve Inversion, Credit Market Freeze, EM Currency Crisis, Trade War Escalation, Sovereign Debt Crisis
Example Conversations
"What's the current recession risk?"
Claude uses recession_probability and returns:
Current recession probability is 37.9% (moderate risk). Fed stance: neutral. Market regime: mid-cycle. 0 of 4 coincident indicators confirming. Recommendation: Mixed signals require caution. Begin defensive rotation.
"Is this a good time to buy an investment property at $450K?"
Claude uses investment_property_analysis + interest_rates:
At $450K with 20% down at 7%, monthly cash flow is $287. Cap rate: 5.3%. Cash-on-cash: 4.2%. DSCR: 1.18 (healthy). Current 30Y mortgage rate: 6.38%.
"What's the market risk-on/risk-off signal?"
Claude uses capital_rotation_score + divergence_alerts:
Capital rotation score: -3 (NEUTRAL / MIXED SIGNALS). VIX elevated at 27. Gold catching a fear bid. Copper holding — not a structural breakdown. Playbook: quality and diversification over concentrated bets.
"What happens if oil hits $120?"
Claude uses cascade_analysis + capital_rotation_score:
Oil Supply Shock cascade: Dollar demand surges (mechanical) -> Asian FX reserves drain (likely, weeks) -> Asian equity outflows (likely) -> Forced rate hikes in Asia (probable, months). Current capital rotation score: -13 (neutral/mixed). Playbook: inflation hedges (XLE, TIP) and cash reserves. Watch Fed swap line usage for systemic signal.
Configuration
Environment Variable | Required | Description |
| Yes | Your API key from bullrundata.com |
Pricing
Tier | Calls/Day | Price |
Free | 100 | $0 |
Pro | 10,000 | $29/mo |
Business | 100,000 | $99/mo |
Support
Website: bullrundata.com
Docs: bullrundata.com/docs
Issues: GitHub Issues
License
MIT
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