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lag_analysis

Read-onlyIdempotent

Identify leading or lagging relationships between economic indicators using cross-correlation at multiple lags. Determine if one series precedes another and by how many periods.

Instructions

Cross-correlation at multiple lags. Answers "does A lead or lag B?". Peak |r| at positive lag means A precedes B by that many periods. Common use: "is consumer confidence a leading indicator of retail sales?".

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
aYesFirst indicator id (candidate leading series)
bYesSecond indicator id (candidate lagging series)
entityYesEntity code (e.g. USA)
max_lagNoMax lag in periods (1-20, default 5)
timeNo
Behavior3/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnlyHint=true, idempotentHint=true. Description adds that it computes cross-correlation at multiple lags and interprets peaks, but does not discuss computational limits or data requirements.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Two concise sentences plus a common use example. Every sentence adds value, no fluff. Front-loaded with core purpose.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With annotations covering safety and no output schema, the description explains output interpretation (peak |r|). Could specify output format or handling of no correlation, but still fairly complete.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema covers 80% of parameters with descriptions (a, b, entity, max_lag). Description does not add new parameter-specific details beyond what schema provides. Baseline of 3 is appropriate.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

Description clearly states the tool computes cross-correlation at multiple lags to answer 'does A lead or lag B?', with example interpretation. Distinguishes from sibling tools like 'correlate' by focusing on lag analysis.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Provides a common use case ('is consumer confidence a leading indicator of retail sales?') and explains how to interpret results. While it doesn't explicitly list when not to use or alternatives, the guidance is sufficient for typical scenarios.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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