register_prediction
Record a falsifiable, machine-checkable prediction with a stated probability and optional baseline comparison so it can be verified later against series data; ledger and git seal registration time.
Instructions
Register a falsifiable, machine-checkable prediction. Example: 'the median of AAVSO:V between start and end will be more than 0.3 mag fainter (op '>', value 0.3) than its median over the baseline window'. Without a baseline, value is an absolute magnitude. probability = your stated chance the check comes out true. The registration time is sealed by the ledger and git.
Tool call template
Replace each placeholder with a value matching the input schema. Only required parameters are included; add optional parameters as needed.
{
"id": 1,
"jsonrpc": "2.0",
"method": "tools/call",
"params": {
"arguments": {
"case": "<case>",
"statement": "<statement>",
"probability": "<probability>",
"series": "<series>",
"start": "<start>",
"end": "<end>",
"op": "<op>",
"value": "<value>"
},
"name": "register_prediction"
}
}Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| op | Yes | ||
| end | Yes | ||
| case | Yes | ||
| start | Yes | ||
| value | Yes | ||
| series | Yes | ||
| statement | Yes | ||
| statistic | No | median | |
| hypothesis | No | ||
| resolve_by | No | ||
| probability | Yes | ||
| baseline_end | No | ||
| baseline_start | No |