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Polymarket Edge Tracker

polymarket_edge_tracker
Read-onlyIdempotent

Edge persistence and decay telemetry built from daily polymarket_edges snapshots. Answers "how long has this edge existed and is it shrinking?" — a fresh wide edge and a 3-week-old wide edge are different trades (the latter is wide for a reason nobody is willing to take). Args: days (lookback, default 14, max 30), window (snapshot family, default "1wk"). RESPONSE: tracked[] = every opportunity in the LATEST snapshot with its full edge_pp_net time-series across prior snapshots, first_seen, trend (new | widening | stable | decaying) and decay_pp_per_day (both computed on |edge_pp_net| — the value itself is signed by trade direction, negative = SELL YES); expired[] = opportunities that appeared in earlier snapshots but are GONE from the latest (closed, resolved, or arbed away) with their lifespan_days — the median lifespan is your competition clock; snapshot_dates[] = which days actually have data (snapshots are written when polymarket_edges runs on a cache-miss, so gaps mean nobody scanned that day). LIMITS: history depth is bounded by the 60-day snapshot TTL and starts from when snapshotting was enabled; decay numbers come from daily closes of edge_pp_net (net of default slippage), not intraday.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
daysNoLookback in days (default 14, clamp 2-30).
windowNoWhich polymarket_edges window family to read snapshots for: 24hr | 1wk | 1mo (default 1wk).

TDQS

A4.6/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations declare readOnlyHint, openWorldHint, idempotentHint, and destructiveHint. The description adds critical behavioral details: data source (daily snapshots), response structure (tracked, expired, snapshot_dates), limits (60-day TTL, not intraday), and edge_pp_net sign meaning. No contradictions.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is dense and front-loaded with the core question. It could be slightly more concise but every sentence provides unique value. No fluff.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Despite lacking an output schema, the description fully explains the response structure (tracked[], expired[], snapshot_dates[]), edge_pp_net sign, and limits. Covers all necessary context for correct use.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100% for both parameters. The description adds context: default values (14 days, '1wk'), clamp for days, and explanation of window family. Only minor additions beyond schema.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool provides edge persistence and decay telemetry, answering 'how long has this edge existed and is it shrinking?'. It distinguishes from sibling tools like polymarket_edges by focusing on temporal analysis.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description explicitly explains when to use the tool (to differentiate fresh vs. old edges) and provides context for interpreting results. It does not name alternative tools but the purpose is clear enough to infer.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A4/5.0
Disambiguation3/5

While many tools target distinct resources, there is notable overlap between ask_pipeworx variants (ask_pipeworx, ask_pipeworx_beta, ask_pipeworx_grounded) and between discovery tools (discover_tools vs suggest_questions). The Polymarket prediction tools also have blurred boundaries (polymarket_edges, polymarket_edge_tracker, polymarket_arbitrage). This overlap can confuse an agent trying to select the right tool.

Naming Consistency4/5

Tool names consistently use snake_case and are mostly descriptive. However, naming patterns vary: some start with verbs (list_subscriptions, validate_claim), others with nouns (ask_pipeworx, bet_research). The memory tools use single-word imperatives (remember, recall, forget), which differ from the multi-word pattern. Overall, it's readable but not rigidly consistent.

Tool Count3/5

34 tools is on the high side for a single server, but the breadth of domains (data access, prediction markets, biotech, subscriptions) justifies the count. Some tools feel peripheral (gene_annotations, generate_llms_txt) and could be split off, making the set slightly bloated for the core purpose of business/financial data and prediction markets.

Completeness4/5

The tool surface covers a wide range of data sources (SEC, FDA, FRED, patents, news) and prediction market analysis comprehensively. However, there are minor gaps: no direct web search tool, no tool for fetching a specific SEC filing by accession (though ask_pipeworx may cover it). The set supports most core workflows without dead ends.