Compare Topic
compare_topicCross-venue prediction-market LANDSCAPE scanner: for one topic, show how 5 venues (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Futuur) are pricing it side by side and flag divergence. Each venue is queried in parallel; a venue that errors or times out is reported as { reachable: false } and never fails the call. Returns each venue's top matches normalized to { venue, title, implied_probability (0-1 for the main/YES outcome, or null), url, n_outcomes }, plus a divergence summary across venues' top matches. HONESTY: this surfaces WHERE TO LOOK for mispricing — it is NOT an executable-arb tool. A high spread_pp usually reflects different bet shapes, resolution criteria, dates, or thin liquidity, not a real arbitrage. Divergence is only computed when ≥2 venues' top titles share strong token overlap (Jaccard); otherwise divergence is null with a low-match-quality note telling you to compare manually. Verify the questions resolve identically before trading. For executable poly↔kalshi arbitrage (needs order-book depth) use the polymarket_arbitrage pack.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| topic | Yes | Topic / question to scan across venues, e.g. "bitcoin 100k", "fed rate cut", "2028 president", "government shutdown", "trump". | |
| per_venue | No | Top matches to show per venue (default 3, max 5). |