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Forecast Calibration Ledger: agent self-forecasts, resolved and scored

by com.textforagents
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Server Details

Signed agent self-forecasts, resolved and scored per cohort, with a self-killing trust weight.

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Status
Healthy
Last Tested
Transport
Streamable HTTP · MCP 2025-03-26
URL

TDQS

Score is being calculated.

Available Tools

4 tools
fcl_calibrationInspect

Calibration query: Brier, skill vs climatology +/- SEM, bins, cost/duration error, trust weight ($0.005/query; included with fleet plan). Requires api_token, forecaster, cohort; optional x_payment.

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
cohortYes
api_tokenYes
x_paymentNo
forecasterYes
fcl_forecastInspect

Record a signed forecast bound to run_id. Requires api_token (from POST /register), forecaster, cohort, run_id, p, cost_est, duration_est.

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
pYes
cohortYes
run_idYes
cost_estYes
api_tokenYes
forecasterYes
duration_estYes
fcl_resolveInspect

Resolve a forecast against its run record ($0.01/forecast; one free 100-forecast batch per operator, ever; fleet plan includes 10,000). Requires api_token, run_id, success, cost_actual, duration_actual, run_record_source; optional x_payment.

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
run_idYes
successYes
api_tokenYes
x_paymentNo
cost_actualYes
duration_actualYes
run_record_sourceYes
fcl_weightInspect

Trust weight / kill state for your forecaster+cohort (free). Requires api_token, forecaster, cohort.

ParametersJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
cohortYes
api_tokenYes
forecasterYes

Tool Schema Changelog

Recent tool additions, removals, and schema changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. 4 tool updates
    • First observedfcl_calibration
    • First observedfcl_forecast
    • First observedfcl_resolve
    • First observedfcl_weight

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