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Prediction Markets Quant

Kalshi Weather Board — daily-high strikes vs the NWS forecast

weather_board
Read-only

Use for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds". Every open Kalshi daily-high strike in 13 cities: YES price, settlement station and source, the strict-comparison rule, close time, and the NWS forecast high beside it. Pass city ("nyc", "KXHIGHCHI"). Market data only.

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
dayNotoday · tomorrow · all (default).
cityNoCity name or series ("nyc", "KXHIGHTBOS"). Omit for all.

Output Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
ruleNoThe strict comparison Kalshi settles on.
as_ofNoWhen the board was read.
citiesNoPer city and settlement day: NWS high, bias-adjusted high, close time, strikes with two-sided YES mids.
sourcesNo
tell_userNoShow this sentence to the user first.
timestampNo
needs_inputNo
example_callNo
data_freshnessNo

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. Added

TDQS

A4.3/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already declare readOnly/openWorld/destructive=false, so the safety profile is covered. The description adds real context beyond that: the strict-comparison settlement rule, the settlement station and source, and the close time — meaningful for interpreting the odds. No access requirements or throttling mentioned.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness5/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Three tight sentences: trigger phrase first, payload contents second, parameter hint and scope guard last. No redundant restatement of the title, and the "Market data only" fragment earns its place as a routing guard.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness5/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

With an output schema present and both parameters fully documented, the remaining burden is scope and semantics — both covered (13 cities, settlement rule, market-data-only). An agent has everything needed to decide and call correctly.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters3/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so both parameters (day, city) are already fully documented with examples and defaults. The description repeats the same city examples without adding syntax, format, or fallback behavior beyond what the schema provides, so baseline 3 is correct.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

States a clear resource (Kalshi daily-high temperature markets across 13 cities) and enumerates exactly what each row contains: YES price, settlement station/source, strict-comparison rule, close time, and NWS forecast high. No sibling tool touches weather markets, so the agent can identify this as the weather-market board without ambiguity.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

"Use for 'Kalshi NYC high temperature odds'" gives a direct trigger, and "Market data only" implicitly routes EV/edge/arbitrage needs to siblings like calculate_ev or find_arbitrage. It stops short of naming an alternative explicitly, so it lands just below the top band.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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