The Ladder — NFL strike ladders: every Kalshi strike vs the PMP distribution
nfl_ladderFor every NFL contract that trades as a LADDER of strikes — game spreads (KXNFLSPREAD), season win totals (KXNFLWINS) and player props — the Kalshi price at every listed strike beside our full probability distribution, and the derived verdict: SHAPE (we disagree about the tail, not the middle), LOCATION (we think the median sits elsewhere), PRICED (under 5pp everywhere), or PARTIAL (fewer than 3 model rungs). Ranked by the widest published gap. Our number is published only between 30% and 70% where it is measured calibrated; other rungs return the market only. Free, no key. Use for "where does the model disagree with Kalshi on the Rams spread", "which win-total rung is mispriced", "is the Kyren Williams rushing disagreement about the tail or the median", "biggest ladder gaps this week".
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| kind | No | Verdict filter. | |
| team | No | Team abbrev (SEA, LAR, JAX) — ladders involving that club. | |
| limit | No | Max ladders (default 8). | |
| family | No | Ladder family. Omit for all three. | |
| player | No | Player name (partial, case-insensitive) — prop ladders only. |