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NFL Edge (model vs Kalshi)

nfl_edge
Read-only

Where the PredictionMarketsPicks NFL model disagrees with live Kalshi prices — the actionable edge across every NFL market: game moneylines this week, season win-total futures, MVP, and championship (playoff / conference / Super Bowl) odds. Returns model probability, Kalshi price, edge in percentage points, and the side, biggest edges first. Pro key required. Use for "which NFL games are mispriced on Kalshi", "NFL win total edges", "NFL MVP value", "Super Bowl odds edge", "NFL prediction market picks". Pass tickers[] to check specific Kalshi markets — e.g. paste your Kalshi Pro screener watchlist (applies to the futures / mvp / championship markets, which are ticker-addressable).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
limitNoMax rows (default 10).
marketNogame = this week moneyline edges; futures = season win totals; mvp = KXNFLMVP; championship = playoff/conference/Super Bowl.game
minEdgeNoMinimum absolute edge in pp to include (default 4). Ignored when tickers[] is passed. Accepts a number or a numeric string ("3", "3pp", "3%").
tickersNoOptional Kalshi ticker watchlist (up to 25) — e.g. paste the tickers from your Kalshi Pro screener or Canvas to get PMP's edge on exactly those markets. Full market or 3-segment event tickers both work. Tickers PMP doesn't model are returned as not_covered (never a fabricated edge).

TDQS

A4.3/5.0
Behavior4/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations already provide readOnlyHint=true and openWorldHint=true, so the bar for additional disclosure is lower. The description adds value beyond annotations by stating the output format (model probability, Kalshi price, edge, side, sorted by biggest edge first), requiring a Pro key, and guaranteeing that unsupported tickers return 'not_covered' rather than a fabricated edge. No contradictions with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

The description is a single paragraph of about five sentences with good front-loading of the core purpose. Every sentence adds information. It could be slightly more structured (e.g., bullet points for use cases) but is not verbose or wasteful. Gains a 4 for being efficient without being terse.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given the moderate complexity (4 parameters, no output schema), the description covers what the tool returns, how to use parameter combinations (default vs tickers), and the prerequisite (Pro key). The annotations handle safety context. There is no missing critical detail that would prevent correct invocation, though a brief note on pagination or total result count would have pushed it to 5.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100%, so baseline is 3. The description adds meaning beyond the schema: it explains the 'market' enum values in plain language (e.g., 'game = this week moneyline edges'), describes how 'minEdge' is ignored when tickers[] is passed, and gives actionable advice for 'tickers' (pasting a Kalshi Pro watchlist). This elevates the score above baseline.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

The description clearly states the tool finds actionable edges where the PredictionMarketsPicks NFL model disagrees with live Kalshi prices, covering specific market types (game moneylines, futures, MVP, championship). It uses strong verb+resource phrasing ("disagrees with live Kalshi prices — the actionable edge") and distinguishes from sibling tools like nfl_prop_edge and nfl_win_probability by focusing on model-vs-market edge across these categories.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

The description provides explicit example use cases ('Use for...') and explains when to pass tickers[] (for specific Kalshi markets) vs using the default behavior. It also notes 'Pro key required' as a prerequisite. However, it does not explicitly mention when not to use this tool or suggest alternatives among the 22 sibling tools, so it lacks exclusions.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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TDQS

A3.9/5.0
Disambiguation4/5

Most tools target distinct workflows with explicit usage hints, such as best_available vs who_do_i_draft vs compare_players. The main risk is the cluster of 'edge' tools—calculate_ev, scan_mispricings, edge_alerts, nfl_edge, nfl_prop_edge—but descriptions narrow them by venue, asset, and scope well enough.

Naming Consistency3/5

All names use lowercase snake_case, but there is no stable verb_noun pattern: some are verbs (calculate_ev, scan_mispricings), many are noun phrases (draft_board, market_pulse, nfl_edge), and one is a full question (who_do_i_draft). The nfl_* prefix adds structure, but overall the convention is mixed though still readable.

Tool Count3/5

24 tools is on the heavy side and the set spans two fairly distinct domains: prediction-market edge tools and fantasy-football draft tools. Most tools serve a distinct function, but several 'edge' tools and the eight fantasy tools could feel redundant if consolidated.

Completeness4/5

The set covers the core prediction-market workflow: base rates, Bayesian updates, EV, Kelly sizing, mispricing scans, arbitrage, and vertical signals, plus a full fantasy-draft surface. Notable gaps are generic market/price lookup and portfolio-level tracking, but agents can work around these.