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Commodities Markets Desk

Commodity Edge (Gold / Silver / Oil / Bitcoin)

commodity_edge
Read-only

Get today's highest-conviction gold, silver, WTI oil or bitcoin trade signal from the PMP edge model — the Kalshi daily gold (KXGOLDD), daily silver (KXSILVERD), daily WTI (KXWTI) or hourly bitcoin (KXBTCD) strike with the largest model edge, as a trade ticket: entry side and price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge in percentage points, confidence tier, and quarter-Kelly sizing. Pro key required. Use for "gold edge today", "silver edge today", "oil trade signal", "bitcoin trade signal", "is there a commodity edge". Pass tickers[] to check specific Kalshi markets — e.g. paste your Kalshi Pro screener watchlist (returns the signal only if it matches the strike PMP is modeling).

Input Schema

TableJSON Schema
NameRequiredDescriptionDefault
tickersNoOptional Kalshi ticker watchlist (up to 25) — e.g. paste the tickers from your Kalshi Pro screener or Canvas to get PMP's edge on exactly those markets. Full market or 3-segment event tickers both work. Tickers PMP doesn't model are returned as not_covered (never a fabricated edge).
commodityYesWhich commodity edge to read. One of: silver · bitcoin · gold · oil.

Schema Changelog

Changes observed during successful MCP inspections.

  1. First observed

TDQS

A4.5/5.0
Behavior5/5

Does the description disclose side effects, auth requirements, rate limits, or destructive behavior?

Annotations only declare readOnlyHint=true and openWorldHint=true. The description adds substantial behavioral context: the exact trade-ticket fields returned, the Pro key requirement, and the honesty guarantee that unmodeled tickers return not_covered rather than a fabricated edge. No contradiction with annotations.

Agents need to know what a tool does to the world before calling it. Descriptions should go beyond structured annotations to explain consequences.

Conciseness4/5

Is the description appropriately sized, front-loaded, and free of redundancy?

Dense and front-loaded with the core action and ticket contents, followed by natural-language examples and tickers usage. Almost every sentence earns its place, though 'highest-conviction' and 'largest model edge' are slightly redundant and the paragraph could be tightened.

Shorter descriptions cost fewer tokens and are easier for agents to parse. Every sentence should earn its place.

Completeness4/5

Given the tool's complexity, does the description cover enough for an agent to succeed on first attempt?

Given full schema coverage and no output schema, the description covers the returned ticket fields, authentication, example queries, and edge-case honesty for tickers. The only notable gap is an explicit statement of the fallback when no edge exists for a bare commodity request without tickers.

Complex tools with many parameters or behaviors need more documentation. Simple tools need less. This dimension scales expectations accordingly.

Parameters4/5

Does the description clarify parameter syntax, constraints, interactions, or defaults beyond what the schema provides?

Schema coverage is 100% and both parameters already have meaningful in-schema descriptions. The description still adds value beyond the schema by explaining how to use tickers[] (paste watchlist, full vs 3-segment tickers, not_covered behavior), which justifies a score above the baseline 3.

Input schemas describe structure but not intent. Descriptions should explain non-obvious parameter relationships and valid value ranges.

Purpose5/5

Does the description clearly state what the tool does and how it differs from similar tools?

States a specific verb ('Get') and resource (highest-conviction PMP edge-model trade signal for gold, silver, WTI oil, or bitcoin), and enumerates exact Kalshi contracts (KXGOLDD, KXSILVERD, KXWTI, KXBTCD). The commodity focus clearly separates it from siblings like combo_edge, nfl_edge, and calculate_ev.

Agents choose between tools based on descriptions. A clear purpose with a specific verb and resource helps agents select the right tool.

Usage Guidelines4/5

Does the description explain when to use this tool, when not to, or what alternatives exist?

Provides explicit 'Use for' query mappings and a precise condition for passing tickers[] (to check specific Kalshi markets, e.g. a Pro screener watchlist). It does not name alternative tools or say when not to use this tool, which would raise it to a 5.

Agents often have multiple tools that could apply. Explicit usage guidance like "use X instead of Y when Z" prevents misuse.

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