Prediction-market tools: check if a yes/no claim is decidable, desk Brier track record.
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Scored across 2 tools
The two tools are completely distinct: one aggregates Brier scores and resolved counts, the other checks claim decidability. There is no overlap or ambiguity between them.
Both tool names are two-word noun compounds using underscores (brier_summary, claim_decidability). They follow a consistent pattern, though neither uses a verb_noun convention.
With only 2 tools, the server feels thin for a 'Forecast Desk' purpose. It is borderline, not extreme, but the surface is minimal.
The domain implies a forecasting workflow, but there are no tools to create, resolve, or manage claims. Only a reporting summary and a validation check exist, leaving significant gaps.
Recent tool additions, removals, and schema changes observed during successful MCP inspections.
brier_summaryclaim_decidabilityReference data for prediction markets: graded resolution clarity, cross-venue links, provenance.
Polymarket, Manifold, Metaculus compared: one fair probability per question. No API key needed.
Risk-scores Polymarket/Kalshi settlement rules; Kalshi weather settlements. Not advice.
Bitcoin-anchored sealed-forecast record: search, grades, calibration, luck test. Read-only, no key.
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