StillOS — Calibrated Prediction Signals + Notary

MCP server for Kalshi CPI/GDP prediction markets and tamper-evident claim notarization.

What it does

• get_cpi_signal — Calibrated P(YES) for any KXCPI Kalshi market. Cleveland Fed Nowcast source. Returns model_p, market_p, edge_cents, and a signed Ed25519 receipt.

• get_gdp_signal — Calibrated P(YES) for KXGDP markets. Atlanta Fed GDPNow source.

• get_active_signals — All signals with edge ≥ 10¢, ranked. No payment required.

• commit_claim — Notarize any claim string. SHA256-chained, Ed25519-signed, permanently verifiable receipt.

• verify_receipt — Verify any StillOS receipt by hash. Always free.

• grade_strategy — Submit trade history → REAL_EDGE | REGIME_LUCK | NEGATIVE_EV verdict with signed receipt.

• get_trust_record — Read honest Brier scores before trusting signals.

Related MCP server: Hunch

Trust record

• 1,299 forward-committed predictions (SHA256-committed before outcome)

• Brier score: 0.0011 (lower is better)

• All outputs Ed25519-signed with key fingerprint f3dcf55117d29e0a

• Every miss published same size as every win

Pricing

• Free tier: 5 signals/day per agent identity

• Paid: $0.01 USDC on Base (x402) per signal beyond free tier

• Notarization: free (first 10/day)

• Verification: always free

Install via MCP

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "stillos": {
      "type": "stdio",
      "command": "node",
      "args": ["stillos_mcp_server.cjs"],
      "env": {
        "MIL_BASE": "https://nolawealthfinancial.com"
      }
    }
  }
}

Endpoints

• Agent card: https://nolawealthfinancial.com/.well-known/agent.json

• OpenAPI: https://nolawealthfinancial.com/identity/openapi.json

• Notary: https://nolawealthfinancial.com/notary/

• Verify: https://nolawealthfinancial.com/verify

• Reputation: https://nolawealthfinancial.com/reputation

Verification

Every receipt is independently verifiable:

GET https://nolawealthfinancial.com/notary/verify?hash=<receipt_hash>

No account required.