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Predict.fun Subgraphs

A suite of three subgraphs indexing Predict.fun — a prediction market protocol on BNB Chain (Polymarket fork) with $1.7B+ volume and novel yield-bearing mechanics via Venus Protocol.

Subgraphs

1. predictfun-orderbook

Indexes orderbook activity across all CTF and NegRisk exchanges.

Entities: Markets, Orderbooks, OrderFilled/Matched/Cancelled events, Fee tracking, Account stats, NegRisk markets, TradeData timeseries with hourly/daily aggregations

Contracts:

Contract

Address

CTFExchange (Non-Yield)

0x8BC070BEdAB741406F4B1Eb65A72bee27894B689

CTFExchange (Yield)

0x6bEb5a40C032AFc305961162d8204CDA16DECFa5

NegRiskCtfExchange (Non-Yield)

0x365fb81bd4A24D6303cd2F19c349dE6894D8d58A

NegRiskCtfExchange (Yield)

0x8A289d458f5a134bA40015085A8F50Ffb681B41d

NegRiskAdapter (Non-Yield)

0xc3Cf7c252f65E0d8D88537dF96569AE94a7F1A6E

NegRiskAdapter (Yield)

0x41dCe1A4B8FB5e6327701750aF6231B7CD0B2A40

+ 4 Fee Module contracts

2. predictfun-positions

Indexes position lifecycle — splits, merges, redemptions, and open interest tracking.

Entities: Conditions, UserPositions, MarketOpenInterest, Split/Merge/Redemption events, NegRisk conversions, TransferSingle events

Contracts:

Contract

Address

ConditionalTokens (Non-Yield)

0x22DA1810B194ca018378464a58f6Ac2B10C9d244

ConditionalTokens (Yield)

0x9400F8Ad57e9e0F352345935d6D3175975eb1d9F

NegRisk ConditionalTokens (Yield)

0xF64b0b318AAf83BD9071110af24D24445719A07F

NegRiskAdapter (Non-Yield)

0xc3Cf7c252f65E0d8D88537dF96569AE94a7F1A6E

NegRiskAdapter (Yield)

0x41dCe1A4B8FB5e6327701750aF6231B7CD0B2A40

NegRiskOperator (Yield)

0xBB7250101e0e3611D7e136fFE73Bc24b98E3e175

NegRiskOperator (Non-Yield)

0x56020F5024641d577Cb54032aF70a23a986ECfFD

3. predictfun-yield

Indexes Predict.fun's novel yield-bearing mechanics — Venus Protocol integration, reward distributions, and UMA oracle resolution.

Entities: TokenMappings (underlying/vToken pairs), YieldClaims, VTokenMints, RewardRounds, OracleRequests/Proposals/Settlements

Contracts:

Contract

Address

YieldBearingConditionalTokens

0x9400F8Ad57e9e0F352345935d6D3175975eb1d9F

RewardDistributor

0x14e3a0a4aB4e4Fa60FC6b4aCce200afAD9233ecE

UMA Optimistic Oracle

0x76F4632032d3E16fE15e06DDB60b53C67BCE17a0

Related MCP server: graph-polymarket-mcp

Architecture

predict.fun (BNB Chain)
├── predictfun-orderbook    ── Fills, matches, fees, market registration
├── predictfun-positions    ── Splits, merges, redemptions, open interest
└── predictfun-yield        ── Venus yield, reward claims, oracle resolution

All subgraphs share:

  • Network: BSC (BNB Smart Chain)

  • Collateral: USDT (18 decimals)

  • Start Block: 64,817,753

  • Spec Version: 1.3.0

Best Practices Applied

  • Bytes! IDs everywhere (cheaper than String!)

  • @entity(immutable: true) on all event logs

  • @derivedFrom for reverse lookups (no redundant storage)

  • No eth_calls (events only)

  • indexerHints: prune: auto for storage efficiency

  • nonFatalErrors feature enabled

  • concatI32(logIndex) for unique event IDs

MCP Server

An MCP (Model Context Protocol) server that gives AI agents structured access to all three subgraphs.

Setup

  1. Get a Graph API key from Subgraph Studio (docs)

  2. Add to your Claude Code config (~/.claude/settings.json):

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "predictfun": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["predictfun-mcp"],
      "env": {
        "GRAPH_API_KEY": "your-api-key-here"
      }
    }
  }
}

Subgraph IDs are built in. Queries go through The Graph Gateway and are billed to your API key.

OpenClaw / Remote Agents (SSE)

# Dual transport — stdio + SSE on port 3850
GRAPH_API_KEY=your-key npx predictfun-mcp --http

# SSE only (for remote/server deployments)
GRAPH_API_KEY=your-key npx predictfun-mcp --http-only

# Custom port
MCP_HTTP_PORT=4000 GRAPH_API_KEY=your-key npx predictfun-mcp --http

Point your agent at: http://localhost:3850/sse

Invocation

Transports

Use case

npx predictfun-mcp

stdio

Claude Desktop, Cursor, Claude Code

npx predictfun-mcp --http

stdio + SSE :3850

Dual — local + remote agents

npx predictfun-mcp --http-only

SSE :3850

OpenClaw, remote deployments

Tools (14)

Data Tools

Tool

Description

get_platform_stats

Full platform overview — volume, OI, yield, sync status

get_top_markets

Rank markets by volume, open interest, or trade count

get_market_details

Deep dive: OI, resolution, top holders, orderbook stats

get_trader_profile

Full P&L: trades, positions, payouts, yield rewards

get_recent_activity

Latest trades, splits, merges, redemptions, or yield claims

get_yield_overview

Venus Protocol deposits, redemptions, yield stats

get_whale_positions

Largest holders with % of market OI

get_leaderboard

Top traders by volume, payouts, or trade count

get_resolved_markets

Recently settled markets with outcomes

query_subgraph

Custom GraphQL against any subgraph

Meta-Tools (agent reasoning layer)

Tool

Description

find_trader_persona

Classify a trader into archetypes: whale accumulator, yield farmer, arbitrageur, early mover, resolution sniper

scan_trader_personas

Find traders matching a specific behavioral archetype across the platform

tag_market_structure

Tag a market by resolution latency, liquidity profile, oracle type, and tail-risk indicators

scan_markets_by_structure

Find markets by structural filter: resolution speed, liquidity depth, oracle type, OI concentration, tail risk

Meta-tools return structured JSON so agents can reason programmatically over trader behavior and market quality — not just raw volume and OI.

Prompts (9)

Pre-built workflows: platform_overview, analyze_trader, market_deep_dive, yield_analysis, whale_alert, market_scanner, custom_query_examples, trader_persona_analysis, market_quality_scan

Subgraph Development

cd predictfun-<subgraph>
npm install
npx graph codegen
npx graph build
npx graph deploy predictfun-<subgraph> --version-label v0.0.1

License

MIT

Install Server
A
license - permissive license
A
quality
C
maintenance

Maintenance

Maintainers
Response time
1dRelease cycle
2Releases (12mo)
Commit activity

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