leo_golub.txt•2.61 kB
📊 Analyzing lenny_golub portfolio...
📊 Analyzing lenny_golub portfolio (5 stocks)...
🔬 COIN: Running fresh analysis...
✅ ARIMA((1, 1, 1)) forecast for COIN: $353.58
✅ Volume features added successfully
✅ Using 10 features: ['Lag_1', 'Lag_2', 'Lag_3', 'Lag_4', 'Lag_5', 'SMA_5', 'SMA_10', 'Price_Change', 'Volatility', 'Volume_Ratio']
✅ Enhanced XGBoost Performance:
MSE: 18.138967
MAE: 2.203630
R²: 0.9007
Features: 10
✅ 🔴 COIN: SELL | Change: -4.33% | Confidence: 66.3%
🔬 GBTC: Running fresh analysis...
✅ ARIMA((1, 1, 1)) forecast for GBTC: $84.15
✅ Volume features added successfully
✅ Using 10 features: ['Lag_1', 'Lag_2', 'Lag_3', 'Lag_4', 'Lag_5', 'SMA_5', 'SMA_10', 'Price_Change', 'Volatility', 'Volume_Ratio']
✅ Enhanced XGBoost Performance:
MSE: 0.122142
MAE: 0.276636
R²: 0.9532
Features: 10
✅ 🟡 GBTC: HOLD | Change: -1.08% | Confidence: 35.3%
🔬 HOOD: Running fresh analysis...
✅ ARIMA((1, 1, 1)) forecast for HOOD: $83.02
✅ Volume features added successfully
✅ Using 10 features: ['Lag_1', 'Lag_2', 'Lag_3', 'Lag_4', 'Lag_5', 'SMA_5', 'SMA_10', 'Price_Change', 'Volatility', 'Volume_Ratio']
✅ Enhanced XGBoost Performance:
MSE: 1.033872
MAE: 0.726307
R²: 0.7409
Features: 10
✅ 🟡 HOOD: HOLD | Change: -1.14% | Confidence: 28.4%
🔬 MSTR: Running fresh analysis...
✅ ARIMA((1, 1, 1)) forecast for MSTR: $383.68
✅ Volume features added successfully
✅ Using 10 features: ['Lag_1', 'Lag_2', 'Lag_3', 'Lag_4', 'Lag_5', 'SMA_5', 'SMA_10', 'Price_Change', 'Volatility', 'Volume_Ratio']
✅ Enhanced XGBoost Performance:
MSE: 16.603901
MAE: 3.225535
R²: 0.8486
Features: 10
✅ 🟡 MSTR: HOLD | Change: -0.11% | Confidence: 10.0%
🔬 PYPL: Running fresh analysis...
✅ ARIMA((1, 1, 1)) forecast for PYPL: $73.60
✅ Volume features added successfully
✅ Using 10 features: ['Lag_1', 'Lag_2', 'Lag_3', 'Lag_4', 'Lag_5', 'SMA_5', 'SMA_10', 'Price_Change', 'Volatility', 'Volume_Ratio']
✅ Enhanced XGBoost Performance:
MSE: 0.045390
MAE: 0.175931
R²: 0.9672
Features: 10
✅ 🟡 PYPL: HOLD | Change: +0.38% | Confidence: 12.7%
📊 LENNY_GOLUB PORTFOLIO RESULTS:
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🔴 COIN : SELL (-4.33%, 66.3% conf)
🟡 GBTC : HOLD (-1.08%, 35.3% conf)
🟡 HOOD : HOLD (-1.14%, 28.4% conf)
🟡 PYPL : HOLD (+0.38%, 12.7% conf)
🟡 MSTR : HOLD (-0.11%, 10.0% conf)
📈 Portfolio Metrics:
Expected Return: -1.26%
Quality Score: 46.2/100
Risk Level: 2.94%
Buy Signals: 0
Sell Signals: 1