Copy trading check
copy_trading_checkWhether copying the top traders works, measured. Accounts in the top 10% or 1% of Hyperliquid one month, by return or by dollar profit: how many were in the top again the next month, next to chance, how many fell to the bottom instead, and how many made money the month you would have copied them for, next to every active account. 4,000 accounts sampled at random, not today's leaders; about 30 month pairs.
Use when someone proposes copying top traders, a leaderboard or signal leaders. Takes no account address. To place one specific return on the leaderboard use leaderboard_rank_check; to ask whether luck explains a record, overfitting_odds.
Input Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| top_pct | Yes | 10 (default) or 1. 0.1 is read as 10. | |
| ranked_by | Yes | return (default) or profit. | return |
Output Schema
| Name | Required | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
| ok | No | false when we do not hold that data. Never a zero standing in for an answer. | |
| error | No | no_data when ok is false. | |
| model | No | The method, stated. | |
| reason | No | Why, in one sentence, and what we do have instead. | |
| source | No | The public file these numbers come from. | |
| repeated | No | Of those, times it was in the top again next month. | |
| chance_pct | No | What picking accounts at random gives. The alternative, always. | |
| repeated_pct | No | The same as a share. | |
| times_in_top | No | Times an account finished a month in the top group. | |
| stopped_trading | No | Counted as not repeating. | |
| fell_to_bottom_pct | No | Share that fell to the bottom group instead: the size control. | |
| in_profit_next_month_pct | No | Share that made money the next month. | |
| in_profit_next_month_all_accounts_pct | No | The same for every active account. |